The "PPP leaks stuff about their polls" thread

[Minnesota Mike]

With the delegate allocation rules in the two states we are probably looking at a pretty even 3 way split of the delegates. That is good news and bad news for Mittens. Good news nobody is gaining on him,  bad news it makes it a little tougher to get 50% of the total before the convention.

[Minnesota Mike]

Well, if you want to get technical, Hawaii doesn't "award" any delegates on Tuesday, because their caucus isn't a binding process (and at any rate, they may not even have a straw poll; I haven't seen confirmation of this).

Yes they do award delegates. They may call it a caucus but in reality is more like a primary with limited polling places and limited hours than an Iowa type Caucus. 17 delegates are awarded proportionally by the results (3 each CD and 11 statewide).

http://www.weeklystandard.com/sites/all/files/docs/2012%20RNC%20Delegate%20Summary.pdf

[Minnesota Mike]

Anything from PPP?

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Final Illinois numbers: Romney 45, Santorum 30, Gingrich 12, Paul 10


If this turns out to be the case then Romney will pull at least 40 delegates out of this state. Very bad news for Santorum. About over for him.

It's all over but the shouting. Santorum will probably win Louisiana next Saturday but April looks brutal for him. Hard to see how he is seen as viable much longer.

[Minnesota Mike]

So much for a convention bounce in Florida.

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[Minnesota Mike]

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This flies in the face of the right wing CW that Democrats and minorities are not enthusiastic and will not vote in the same numbers as 2008.

[Minnesota Mike]

That's all for tonight. We haven't polled Pennsylvania forever so we snuck an extra poll in there for tomorrow. CO, IA, NH later in the week

I'm curious about Iowa.

I am curious about all three.