SD-Nielsen Brothers Polling: Republicans ahead of Obama in South Dakota

[Tender Branson]

45% Santorum
33% Obama

44% Romney
35% Obama

NBP released Friday the results of a poll it conducted between Feb. 15-17. Officials say they selected registered South Dakota voters are random. The question on choosing a GOP candidate drew 302 responses, with a margin of error of 5.64 percent. The question on a head-to-head race drew 559 responses, with a margin of error of 4.15 percent.

http://www.kdlt.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=15627&Itemid=57

[MilesC56]

I thought Obama floor would be higher than 33%...

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

I thought Obama floor would be higher than 33%...

Obviously they really didn't push people at all.

[I'm JewCon in name only.]

If the Dakota's are even remotely close, it'll be a great night for Obama and co.

[pbrower2a]

If the Dakota's are even remotely close, it'll be a great night for Obama and co.

Split the difference 50-50 (which may be charitable for Republicans), and President Obama loses the state 55-45, which is little worse than he did in SD in 2008. I doubt that the President will make many appearances in South Dakota because it will have only one nationally-important  contested race (the at-large House seat -- and that is now tied). 

[I Can't Get That Sound You Make, Out Of My Head]

Why the high undecided rate?

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Why the high undecided rate?

Most pollsters ask undecided voters which way they're leaning, and include this in the top-line; it's called pushing.  A lot of crappy pollsters, especially university ones, do not, and end up with absurdly high undecided rates.

[Senator Snowstalker]

THIS CHANGES EVERYTHING

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

Database entry: http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4620120217171