Under what circumstances does Gingrich drop out right after Super Tuesday? (user search)
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  Under what circumstances does Gingrich drop out right after Super Tuesday? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Under what circumstances does Gingrich drop out right after Super Tuesday?  (Read 996 times)
Erc
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,823
Slovenia


« on: February 25, 2012, 01:51:04 PM »

Posted some info on the chances Newt has to pick up delegates after Super Tuesday in my big thread.

Basically, there's a huge gap where Newt has essentially zero chance of picking up any delegates (outside of Puerto Rico) between March 13 (AL/MS primaries) and May 8 (NC primary), unless he drastically improves on a national level.

At the very least, if he fails to win any delegates in Alabama (there's a 20% threshold), he should drop out.

After a certain point, he's probably decreasing the chance of a brokered convention by staying in, by running the risk of acting as a spoiler and handing certain WTA states to Romney.
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