MI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Santorum leads by 1 in combined sample, 5 today (user search)
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  MI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Santorum leads by 1 in combined sample, 5 today (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Santorum leads by 1 in combined sample, 5 today  (Read 4718 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« on: February 27, 2012, 10:43:51 PM »

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Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2012, 11:20:57 PM »

Nate Silver's (pbuh) model now has Rick and Mitt tied at 37.6%.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942


« Reply #2 on: February 29, 2012, 12:29:17 AM »


The polls severely underestimated Romney in 2008 as well, which was why my prediction in the other thread was as such. 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mi/michigan_republican_primary-237.html

Home-state effect? I don't know why polls wouldn't pick up on that though.
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