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Election Archive
2012 Elections
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Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
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Poll
Question:
Who wil win tonights Michigan primary?
Mitt Romney
32 (41%)
Rick Santorum
44 (56.4%)
Newt Gingrich
1 (1.3%)
Ron Paul
1 (1.3%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 78
Author
Topic: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan. (Read 1085 times)
Cory
Sr. Member
Posts: 425
Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
on:
February 28, 2012, 09:49:30 am »
So Atlasians, it's the big day and I was wondering what the final predictions of the board users are. For the record I voted Santorum, but by a slim margin. Romney will walk away with more delegates of course due to his win in Arizona. That being said, the narrative will hurt Romney and bolster Santorum going into Super Tuesday.
So, what's
your
take?
Logged
Volrath50
Sr. Member
Posts: 389
Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -4.87
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #1 on:
February 28, 2012, 09:51:47 am »
I've held out that Rick was going to pull off a win in MI since the 8th of February, I'm not going to abandon him now.
Logged
When I sharpen my flashing sword and my hand grasps it in judgment, I will take vengeance on my adversaries and repay those who hate me.
Senator Clarence
clarence
YaBB God
Posts: 4354
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #2 on:
February 28, 2012, 09:52:08 am »
IF Romney has this big a lead in early voters I think he will pull it out...very close one
Logged
"I have not yet begun to fight"
Likely Voter
YaBB God
Posts: 4016
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #3 on:
February 28, 2012, 10:46:50 am »
My heart says Rick, but my money is on Mitt.
He will again prove that money
can
buy you
love
votes
Logged
ZuWo
YaBB God
Posts: 3222
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #4 on:
February 28, 2012, 10:59:40 am »
Since the latest polls have shown that the momentum is shifting towards Santorum, I say Santorum wins with a considerable margin, i.e. he will be more than 5% ahead of Romney.
Logged
hotpprs
Jr. Member
Posts: 82
Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: 3.83
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #5 on:
February 28, 2012, 11:18:29 am »
One thing is apparent even if Rick comes in a close 2nd. The ground game is coming up huge for him.
His campaign staff, or maybe just the one or two top people advising him, have been greatly underestimated. It was widely reported that Mitt's "organization" was just vastly superior then anyone else in this primary battle. Does that really seem to be the case at this point?
After Iowa, Minnesota, Colorado and now Michigan, I don't think you can say it is all just about Rick himself. There are very subtle things happening in this campaign that have to be attributed to some very smart people behind the scenes. And I don't think with this crazy primary schedule any candidate has the time to plan all these moves for themselves.
For example, Rick had a horrible bump down after the Arizona debate. Most campaign's can't recover from something like that in just a week. (like Gov Perry).
But just a few subtle things may have helped Rick's campaign reverse things again.
Very very small things. Like Santorum's Ford NASCAR sponsorship during the Daytona 500, or the college "snob" comment, even though it was directed at Obama.
Logged
izixs
Sr. Member
Posts: 392
Political Matrix
E: -8.31, S: -6.51
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #6 on:
February 28, 2012, 11:23:17 am »
My prediction is Santorum by a very small margin. My lead in the prediction rankings is banking on this. :-p
Arizona will be closer than expected, but still strong Romney.
Logged
I'll come up with one later.
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
Posts: 20473
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #7 on:
February 28, 2012, 11:44:42 am »
I think, objectively, it's looking like a very slight Santorum lean....although I'm quite pessimistic for some reason.
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.
To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
Cheers.
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7666
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #8 on:
February 28, 2012, 11:53:16 am »
Mittens.
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
So the Heroes Fall
BRTD
YaBB God
Posts: 68067
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #9 on:
February 28, 2012, 12:07:02 pm »
My prediction locked in on Romney, so I'll have to vote for him.
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Cobbler
YaBB God
Posts: 624
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #10 on:
February 28, 2012, 12:53:02 pm »
Romney, but it will be very close.
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Quote
Economic score: +2.19
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 27998
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #11 on:
February 28, 2012, 12:54:34 pm »
Slight Santorum win, but below 40.
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© Tweed the Younger
Miamiu1027
YaBB God
Posts: 34294
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #12 on:
February 28, 2012, 12:57:03 pm »
W. Mitt Romney
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registered somewhere in Georgia AFE
Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 27123
Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -6.54
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #13 on:
February 28, 2012, 01:22:23 pm »
Just made the bet with my roommate. I am now all in for Senator Richard "Rick" Santorum.
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Proud Member of the International Posters' Union
Whacker77
YaBB God
Posts: 747
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #14 on:
February 28, 2012, 01:25:24 pm »
My head still says Romney, but my gut says Santorum. I went with my gut because I think Santorum has the conservative momentum.
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Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 31289
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #15 on:
February 28, 2012, 01:35:26 pm »
I'm not sure if we're seeing a dead cat bounce or momentum, and whether this momentum is enough to outdo Romney's higher commitment levels and early voting lead. I'm going to say Romney +0.5, which really means nearly nothing.
Logged
n/c
Prez Duke
AHDuke99
YaBB God
Posts: 16172
Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -6.35
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #16 on:
February 28, 2012, 01:42:22 pm »
My gut says Mittens wins by a slim margin, not enough to stop Rick from continuing his torrid rise in the polls. He could win by more given his large lead among early voters. I also want to factor that Democrats who are pushing for Rick might not be motivated to actually turn out and vote.
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I call that getting swindled and pimped
Grumps
GM3PRP
YaBB God
Posts: 27449
Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -6.09
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #17 on:
February 28, 2012, 01:44:35 pm »
Santorum
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Quote from: BushKenya on May 23, 2013, 11:03:29 am
I'm not going to follow all of her advice as she wants me to stay within 1500-1800 calories. That is just not going to happen.
Quote from: politicus on May 24, 2013, 03:30:51 pm
The upper class gay Californian wins AL, MS and SC?
Senator Napoleon
Napoleon
YaBB God
Posts: 11586
Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -8.17
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #18 on:
February 28, 2012, 01:47:40 pm »
Mitt
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Quote from: bgwah on April 20, 2013, 12:46:53 am
The only thing that is certain is that he's a douche! What he will infract is uncetain.
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24703
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #19 on:
February 28, 2012, 01:49:26 pm »
Quote from: Couple of Cadilacs Voter on February 28, 2012, 10:46:50 am
My heart says Rick, but my money is on Mitt.
Yep, same for me.
I like to be pessimistic, since it makes good surprises more likely.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Secretary of Labor Earthling
Earthling
Sr. Member
Posts: 437
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #20 on:
February 28, 2012, 01:50:39 pm »
Romney will probably win both states. And he needs to do that to stay in the race.
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Senator Snowstalker
Snowstalker
YaBB God
Posts: 11005
Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -3.13
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #21 on:
February 28, 2012, 01:54:28 pm »
<40% Romney
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Quote from: BushKenya on May 24, 2013, 02:30:04 pm
Anyway, does it really matter at this point? I still lost 2 pounds as a result of the 4 sloppy joes.
Proud Lieberal from Northeast
Kalwejt
YaBB God
Posts: 35732
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #22 on:
February 28, 2012, 01:55:41 pm »
Robot.
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I am not the champion of lost causes, but the champion of causes not yet won.
Norman Thomas
Marston
Sr. Member
Posts: 320
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #23 on:
February 28, 2012, 02:11:49 pm »
Santorum
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14739
Re: Last Call: Predict the winner tonight in Michigan.
«
Reply #24 on:
February 28, 2012, 05:06:19 pm »
Romney by a hair
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Moderate Liberal Populist
[Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'
Registered in Georgia for Fantasy Politics
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