Official Michigan and Arizona Results thread (user search)
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  Official Michigan and Arizona Results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Official Michigan and Arizona Results thread  (Read 14821 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: February 28, 2012, 01:56:36 PM »
When will I have to wake up ?

3AM ?

Are the polls closing at 3AM like usual in the Presidential elections ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: February 28, 2012, 08:15:25 PM »
Newt talking about trees too right now. It's officially the "Tree Primary".
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: February 28, 2012, 08:26:15 PM »
Quote from: Torie on February 28, 2012, 06:06:39 PM
It is unclear if this exit poll leak is adjusted for absentee voters.  If it isn't, Mittens must be happy.


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Oh, and then there is this below, suggesting that it was so adjusted, but how can you ask absentee voters how they voted in an "exit poll?"  Perhaps it was a combo of an exit poll and a telephone poll of some sort. Or perhaps it is just f'ed up.


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This is NOT the official Exit Poll !

The official one is conducted by Edison Research, so this must be a regular poll.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: February 28, 2012, 08:47:31 PM »
Let's go, (p)Rick !
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: February 28, 2012, 08:51:05 PM »
Will CNN call AZ right after polls close in 10 minutes ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: February 28, 2012, 08:53:02 PM »
Quote from: retromike22 on February 28, 2012, 08:52:04 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 28, 2012, 08:51:05 PM
Will CNN call AZ right after polls close in 10 minutes ?

I'm pretty sure they will.

Not if the ARG poll was the correct one ... Wink
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: February 28, 2012, 09:02:45 PM »
MI Exit Poll:

40 Romney
37 Santorum
13 Paul
  7 Gingrich

AZ Exit Poll:

44 Romney
27 Santorum
16 Gingrich
12 Paul
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: February 28, 2012, 09:22:00 PM »
Quote from: Reds4 on February 28, 2012, 09:14:28 PM
Anyone have any idea what turnout is like this year compared to 2008 in Michigan so far?

Ca. 1 Mio. people voting (+/- 200.000)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: February 28, 2012, 09:23:31 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 28, 2012, 09:22:17 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 28, 2012, 09:02:45 PM
MI Exit Poll:

40 Romney
37 Santorum
13 Paul
  7 Gingrich

AZ Exit Poll:

44 Romney
27 Santorum
16 Gingrich
12 Paul

Where's the exit poll?  I don't see it on CNN's website in the usual place.


http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/mi

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/az
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: February 28, 2012, 09:33:12 PM »
Phil has left the building (or the Forum in this case) !
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: February 28, 2012, 09:37:21 PM »
Romney does pretty well in the upper glove (or should we say "mitten" ?) ... Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: February 28, 2012, 09:49:47 PM »
Looks like every pollster screwed up at least 1 race so far this year ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: February 28, 2012, 09:55:34 PM »
Are the vote counters taking a nap in AZ ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: February 28, 2012, 09:59:59 PM »
Turnout is now about 1 Mio. (+/- 100.000)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #14 on: February 28, 2012, 10:03:28 PM »
Obama has 88% right now. Will probably end up higher, once the more urban areas are all in.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #15 on: February 29, 2012, 01:48:21 AM »
Quote from: redcommander on February 29, 2012, 12:27:02 AM
Did Michigan and Arizona both have record turn out?

No.

In Michigan, turnout is now about 1 Mio. with almost everything in. This is up from 2008, but down from the 1.25 Mio. in the 2000 primaries. If you adjust the numbers for the Democrats and Indys taking part tonight, Republican "only" turnout could even be lower or the same as 2008. Need to do some calculations later.

In Arizona, turnout is even down from 2008, with only 470.000 or so turning out. That is down by about 100.000 from 2008.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #16 on: February 29, 2012, 02:25:07 AM »
Quote from: SANTORUM:  NO WELFARE FOR BLACKS ER I MEAN FOR BLAHS on February 29, 2012, 02:09:25 AM

I don't smoke, anything, and do not take any illicit drugs of any kind.

It was on CNN when they were talking to, I believe, the Chairman of the Arizona Republican Party.

If I am mistaken, I stand corrected.  But that is my understanding of what was said.


http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/AZ/36496/71939/en/summary.html

Romney is at 47%, with just a few precincts from a tiny county left.
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