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Atlas Forum
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Congressional Elections
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2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)
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Topic: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA) (Read 19191 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)
«
on:
February 29, 2012, 02:51:10 pm »
Omnibus thread for this year's congressional/statewide primaries.
Check
The Green Papers
for who's running.
Calendar:
3/6 - Ohio
3/13 - Alabama, Mississippi
3/20 - Illinois
4/3 - Maryland
4/24 - Alabama (runoff), Pennsylvania
5/8 - Indiana, North Carolina, West Virginia
5/15 - Idaho, Nebraska, Oregon
5/22 - Arkansas, Kentucky
5/29 - Texas
6/5 - California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota
6/12 - Arkansas (runoff), Maine, North Dakota, Nevada, South Carolina, Virginia
6/26 - Colorado, New York (tentative), North Carolina (runoff), Oklahoma, South Carolina (runoff), Utah
7/31 - Georgia, Texas (runoff)
8/2 - Tennessee (tentative)
8/7 - Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Washington
8/11 - Hawaii
8/14 - Connecticut, Florida, Minnesota, Wisconsin
8/21 - Georgia (runoff), Wyoming
8/28 - Alaska, Arizona, Oklahoma (runoff), Vermont
9/6 - Massachusetts
9/11 - Delaware (tentative), New Hampshire (tentative), Rhode Island
«
Last Edit: June 06, 2012, 07:08:46 am by JohnnyLongtorso
»
Logged
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56594
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/6 - OH, 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #1 on:
February 29, 2012, 03:00:51 pm »
I approve of this thread.
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/6 - OH, 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #2 on:
February 29, 2012, 04:57:32 pm »
For next Tuesday's Ohio primaries, the races of note are OH-02 (Schmidt has a primary challenger), OH-03 (Dem primary, open seat), and OH-09 (our first of several incumbent-on-incumbent smackdowns, Kaptur vs. Kucinich).
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/6 - OH, 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #3 on:
March 06, 2012, 06:55:35 pm »
Bumping because Ohio is tonight.
AP results here.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/6 - OH, 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #4 on:
March 06, 2012, 09:54:49 pm »
Nobody seems to care, but Jean Schmidt looks to be in a bit of trouble; she's ahead 49-41, but her lead appears to only be because of the small rural counties that are mostly in.
Joyce Beatty narrowly leads Mary Jo Kilroy in OH-03, while Kaptur/Kucinich is probably going to be very close.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/6 - OH, 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #5 on:
March 06, 2012, 10:04:41 pm »
Republican wunderkind Josh Mandel is only getting 62% in his primary, against a bunch of nobodies.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/6 - OH, 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #6 on:
March 06, 2012, 10:34:38 pm »
Looks like Joyce Beatty will be the next Congresswoman from OH-03, not Mary Jo Kilroy.
Also, I don't think Kucinich has much of a chance at this point.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/6 - OH, 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #7 on:
March 06, 2012, 11:16:31 pm »
Kucinich is toast, and it looks like Jean Schmidt will narrowly lose as well.
Logged
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56594
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/6 - OH, 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #8 on:
March 07, 2012, 05:34:36 am »
lol at the first and second district Democratic primaries, too. Oh, and the "plumber" is Kaptur's GE opponent.
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #9 on:
March 07, 2012, 08:29:00 am »
So next week is Alabama and Mississippi. Not much going on, just some challengers to incumbents in AL-01, 05, 06, and MS-02. Parker Griffith, for some inexplicable reason, is running again in AL-05.
Logged
Hashemite
YaBB God
Posts: 30171
Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #10 on:
March 07, 2012, 08:50:58 am »
Roy Moore is running for some judicial office in Alabama as well.
Logged
Quote
20:12 oakvale Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate
Quote
20:49 Snowstalker yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57 Snowstalker sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #11 on:
March 12, 2012, 04:46:25 pm »
Bumping for tomorrow's AL/MS primaries. One of the Democrats running for the Senate in Mississippi is named Albert Gore Jr. Just putting that out there.
Logged
jimrtex
YaBB God
Posts: 5089
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #12 on:
March 12, 2012, 06:55:31 pm »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on February 29, 2012, 02:51:10 pm
Omnibus thread for this year's congressional/statewide primaries.
Check
The Green Papers
for who's running.
Calendar:
3/6 - Ohio
3/13 - Alabama, Mississippi
3/20 - Illinois
4/3 - Maryland
4/24 - Alabama (runoff), Pennsylvania
5/8 - Indiana, North Carolina, West Virginia
5/15 - Idaho, Nebraska, Oregon
5/22 - Arkansas, Kentucky
6/5 - California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota
6/12 - Arkansas (runoff), Maine, North Dakota, Nevada, South Carolina, Virginia
6/26 - Colorado, New York (tentative), North Carolina (runoff), Oklahoma, South Carolina (runoff), Utah
7/31 - Georgia
8/2 - Tennessee (tentative)
8/7 - Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Washington
8/11 - Hawaii
8/14 - Connecticut, Florida, Minnesota, Wisconsin
8/21 - Georgia (runoff), Wyoming
8/28 - Alaska, Arizona, Oklahoma (runoff), Vermont
9/6 - Massachusetts
9/11 - Delaware (tentative), New Hampshire (tentative), Rhode Island
5/29 Texas
7/31 Texas (runoff)
Logged
Svensson
NVTownsend
YaBB God
Posts: 749
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #13 on:
March 12, 2012, 07:00:09 pm »
You know, personally, I'm hoping Alabama puts Bachus on the curb. His opponents might be crazies, certainly, but that's nothing new for Alabama - particularly his district - and probably represents them far better than the
Chairman of the House Banking Committee
does.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7609
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #14 on:
March 12, 2012, 07:01:47 pm »
Bachus is sleazy, hopefully he gets booted. Also hoping Kinzinger wins next week.
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
asexual trans victimologist
Nathan
YaBB God
Posts: 8983
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #15 on:
March 12, 2012, 07:02:44 pm »
Who exactly is running against Bachus and has there been any polling from the new AL-06?
Logged
Quote from: Averroës Nix on October 18, 2012, 07:59:32 pm
Professor
Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?
Quote from: Joe Republic on April 25, 2013, 03:29:18 pm
It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
Svensson
NVTownsend
YaBB God
Posts: 749
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #16 on:
March 12, 2012, 07:04:50 pm »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on March 12, 2012, 07:01:47 pm
Also hoping Kinzinger wins next week.
Also this. Generic Republican though he may be, I prefer new faces like him to old windbags like Manzullo.
Quote from: Nathan on March 12, 2012, 07:02:44 pm
Who exactly is running against Bachus and has there been any polling from the new AL-06?
State Rep. Scott Beason and Judge David Standridge - essentially Tea Party and Roy Moore lite. As to polling, I don't believe anyone's touched Alabama yet.
Logged
asexual trans victimologist
Nathan
YaBB God
Posts: 8983
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #17 on:
March 12, 2012, 07:08:49 pm »
Quote from: NVTownsend on March 12, 2012, 07:04:50 pm
State Rep. Scott Beason and Judge David Standridge - essentially Tea Party and Roy Moore lite. As to polling, I don't believe anyone's touched Alabama yet.
Oh Alabama. I'll always
love
have a fraught relationship with you and your people.
Logged
Quote from: Averroës Nix on October 18, 2012, 07:59:32 pm
Professor
Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?
Quote from: Joe Republic on April 25, 2013, 03:29:18 pm
It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #18 on:
March 12, 2012, 07:17:43 pm »
Neither of Bachus's opponents have raised much money. I wouldn't bank on an upset there, especially since there would be a runoff.
Quote from: jimrtex on March 12, 2012, 06:55:31 pm
5/29 Texas
7/31 Texas (runoff)
Thanks, added to OP.
Logged
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 53015
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #19 on:
March 12, 2012, 07:19:05 pm »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on March 12, 2012, 07:17:43 pm
I wouldn't bank on an upset there
Haha, good one.
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
Posts: 13927
Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #20 on:
March 12, 2012, 07:20:03 pm »
That shady anti-incumbent superPAC has spent six-figures against Bachus though.
Logged
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56594
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #21 on:
March 13, 2012, 04:28:59 am »
Quote from: NVTownsend on March 12, 2012, 07:00:09 pm
You know, personally, I'm hoping Alabama puts Bachus on the curb. His opponents might be crazies, certainly, but that's nothing new for Alabama - particularly his district - and probably represents them far better than the
Chairman of the House Banking Committee
does.
How? Pretty sure this is the most affluent district in Alabama. (Though I guess Mobile might beat it if its Blacks were excised like Birmingham's?)
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #22 on:
March 14, 2012, 06:40:05 am »
And that was uneventful. No incumbents lost. Albert Gore is the nominee in Mississippi.
Logged
Senator X
jdb
YaBB God
Posts: 6074
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/13 - AL/MS, 3/20 - IL)
«
Reply #23 on:
March 14, 2012, 08:44:29 am »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on March 14, 2012, 06:40:05 am
And that was uneventful. No incumbents lost. Albert Gore is the nominee in Mississippi.
I disagree that nothing significant happened on the congressional front. It is important to note that Bonner and Nunnelee (and to a lesser degree Bachus, since Beason had plenty of problems of his own) won by less than they should have. As was pointed on DKE, incumbents losing is not the only measure of anti-incumbent sentiment. It seems clear that many Republicans (and I suspect many Democrats, but their is currently less evidence on that front) are not happy with THEIR congressmen (as opposed to being angry at everyone else's congressmen). I'm not saying 2012 is going to be some mass anti-incumbent tidal wave. I'm just saying that this is an important, albeit predictable, development.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6862
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 3/20 - IL, 4/3 - MD, 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #24 on:
March 17, 2012, 07:27:02 am »
Illinois on Tuesday; most notable primaries are in IL-02, 08, 10, 12, 13, and 16.
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