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Atlas Forum
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Congressional Elections
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2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)
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Topic: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA) (Read 19567 times)
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #75 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:02:31 pm »
At 59%, Kane is up by 8. WOW!
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6854
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #76 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:10:45 pm »
Schuylkill's out of votes, and all of Northampton and most of Luzerne are still out, so Cartwright wins.
Logged
MilesC56
YaBB God
Posts: 8616
Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: 3.48
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #77 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:13:24 pm »
Critz has almost 52% with 88% in.
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #78 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:14:05 pm »
Critz just pulled ahead with 88% in in PA-12.
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #79 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:15:10 pm »
Cartwright just declared in PA-17.
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #80 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:17:08 pm »
PA-12 @90% C 51 A 49!
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
MilesC56
YaBB God
Posts: 8616
Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: 3.48
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #81 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:19:01 pm »
Quote from: J. J. on April 24, 2012, 09:17:08 pm
PA-12 @90% C 51 A 49!
Well, I'm glad whomever loses at least makes a good showing.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 8071
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #82 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:19:02 pm »
Twitter reports that Altmire has conceded.
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #83 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:23:34 pm »
Quote from: Frontline: Wisconsin on April 24, 2012, 09:19:02 pm
Twitter reports that Altmire has conceded.
Critz has opened up to 4 points at 91% in.
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
MilesC56
YaBB God
Posts: 8616
Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: 3.48
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #84 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:41:21 pm »
From DKE:
"...Critz's old portion of PA-12 is only 27% of the voters in the new 12th, but it accounted for 40% of the turnout tonight. That's some pretty amazing home-turf GOTV."
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #85 on:
April 24, 2012, 09:56:29 pm »
Called for Critz and Kane.
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
Posts: 13924
Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #86 on:
April 24, 2012, 10:10:58 pm »
Altmire basically did everything in his power to lose that race.
Logged
Svensson
NVTownsend
YaBB God
Posts: 749
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #87 on:
April 24, 2012, 10:15:47 pm »
Looks like the anti-incumbent bent has spread to the Democrats' field this year. I am quite alright with this.
Logged
nclib
YaBB God
Posts: 8510
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #88 on:
April 24, 2012, 10:40:03 pm »
Quote from: blood red X's for every 24 hours ive suffered through on April 23, 2012, 02:40:04 pm
Upon a little research, I see that Gladys Knight also has converted to Mormonism. That equals three black Mormons I know of (the third being that guy in Mali.)
There's also basketball player Thurl Bailey who played at N.C. State (my alma mater) and the Utah Jazz.
Wonder if Love's race will work against her in the general. In any case, she'd also be the first black female Republican in Congress ever.
Logged
[George W. Bush] has shattered the myth of white supremacy once and for all. -- Congressman Charles Rangel (D-NY)
"George Bush supports abstinence. Lucky Laura."
- sign seen at the March for Women's Lives, 4/25/04
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
Posts: 49614
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #89 on:
April 24, 2012, 10:42:24 pm »
The Kane margin is surprising.
Quote from: J. J. on April 24, 2012, 08:56:44 pm
Quote from: RomneyGekko Situation Hairgel on April 24, 2012, 08:51:10 pm
Quote from: J. J. on April 24, 2012, 08:48:57 pm
Quote from: Frontline: Wisconsin on April 24, 2012, 08:43:47 pm
Neither the 12th nor the 17th have been called yet. Is everything expecting those to tighten towards the end?
PA-12 is at 36%, with Altmire up 24.
PA-17 is at 49%, with Holden down 24.
Critz can close it, but I think it is over for Holden.
I can tolerate Critz/Altmire considering where they are. As for Holden GOOD RIDDANCE!
That might end up as a GOP seat.
Uh, no. You don't know about the GOP nominee, I see...
Cartwright's margin is surprising, too. Altmire-Critz was pretty much dead on.
Logged
Support our boys in blue.
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #90 on:
April 24, 2012, 10:46:04 pm »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on April 24, 2012, 10:42:24 pm
The Kane margin is surprising.
Quote from: J. J. on April 24, 2012, 08:56:44 pm
Quote from: RomneyGekko Situation Hairgel on April 24, 2012, 08:51:10 pm
Quote from: J. J. on April 24, 2012, 08:48:57 pm
Quote from: Frontline: Wisconsin on April 24, 2012, 08:43:47 pm
Neither the 12th nor the 17th have been called yet. Is everything expecting those to tighten towards the end?
PA-12 is at 36%, with Altmire up 24.
PA-17 is at 49%, with Holden down 24.
Critz can close it, but I think it is over for Holden.
I can tolerate Critz/Altmire considering where they are. As for Holden GOOD RIDDANCE!
That might end up as a GOP seat.
Uh, no. You don't know about the GOP nominee, I see...
Cartwright's margin is surprising, too. Altmire-Critz was pretty much dead on.
Tea Party, I see. I'm not sure about how bad that will be this year. PA-12 is also a possibility.
I loathe Kane, but Murphy was probably a stronger candidate in the General
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
Posts: 49614
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #91 on:
April 24, 2012, 11:28:09 pm »
J.J., I'm not just talking about her being a Tea Partier. I'm talking about her...
Logged
Support our boys in blue.
Wrecking Ball and Chain
BRTD
YaBB God
Posts: 68313
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #92 on:
April 25, 2012, 12:21:06 am »
Isn't it like a 61% Obama district? The only seat comparable to that the GOP holds is that one in Illinois where the guy barely won by about 3 points against a terrible three time loser candidate in 2010 in Obama's home state with his inflated numbers. So a Tea Party candidate even Phil thinks is terrible is clearly not winning districts like that, but this is J. J. we are talking about...
Logged
Wrecking Ball and Chain
BRTD
YaBB God
Posts: 68313
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #93 on:
April 25, 2012, 12:27:38 am »
WOW@the geographic polarization. Holden won only two counties, Carbon and Schuylkill. But he got 85.4% in Schuylkill. In Lackawanna he only got 225 and in Luzerne only about 28%.
Schuylkill obviously probably won't vote for Cartwright in the general election, but the Democrats usually don't win it anyway. Better question is if
this woman
is going to appeal to Scranton.
«
Last Edit: April 25, 2012, 12:30:46 am by blood red X's for every 24 hours ive suffered through
»
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #94 on:
April 25, 2012, 12:59:36 am »
Quote from: blood red X's for every 24 hours ive suffered through on April 25, 2012, 12:27:38 am
WOW@the geographic polarization. Holden won only two counties, Carbon and Schuylkill. But he got 85.4% in Schuylkill. In Lackawanna he only got 225 and in Luzerne only about 28%.
Schuylkill obviously probably won't vote for Cartwright in the general election, but the Democrats usually don't win it anyway. Better question is if
this woman
is going to appeal to Scranton.
I don't know; something strange is happening. Kane defeated the favorite, Murphy. The "establishment" GOP candidate went down to Smith. Is it still R +6?
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
bore
YaBB God
Posts: 948
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #95 on:
April 25, 2012, 03:46:10 am »
Quote from: J. J. on April 25, 2012, 12:59:36 am
Quote from: blood red X's for every 24 hours ive suffered through on April 25, 2012, 12:27:38 am
WOW@the geographic polarization. Holden won only two counties, Carbon and Schuylkill. But he got 85.4% in Schuylkill. In Lackawanna he only got 225 and in Luzerne only about 28%.
Schuylkill obviously probably won't vote for Cartwright in the general election, but the Democrats usually don't win it anyway. Better question is if
this woman
is going to appeal to Scranton.
I don't know; something strange is happening. Kane defeated the favorite, Murphy. The "establishment" GOP candidate went down to Smith. Is it still R +6?
The new PA-17 is Obama 57-42
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6854
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #96 on:
April 25, 2012, 06:51:38 am »
Murphy wasn't exactly a favorite; Kane spent a ton of money and got Bill Clinton's endorsement.
Logged
krazen1211
YaBB God
Posts: 5161
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #97 on:
April 25, 2012, 08:25:43 am »
Quote from: J. J. on April 24, 2012, 09:14:05 pm
Critz just pulled ahead with 88% in in PA-12.
R+1.
Logged
Wrecking Ball and Chain
BRTD
YaBB God
Posts: 68313
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 4/24 - PA)
«
Reply #98 on:
April 25, 2012, 08:52:31 am »
Quote from: bore on April 25, 2012, 03:46:10 am
Quote from: J. J. on April 25, 2012, 12:59:36 am
Quote from: blood red X's for every 24 hours ive suffered through on April 25, 2012, 12:27:38 am
WOW@the geographic polarization. Holden won only two counties, Carbon and Schuylkill. But he got 85.4% in Schuylkill. In Lackawanna he only got 225 and in Luzerne only about 28%.
Schuylkill obviously probably won't vote for Cartwright in the general election, but the Democrats usually don't win it anyway. Better question is if
this woman
is going to appeal to Scranton.
I don't know; something strange is happening. Kane defeated the favorite, Murphy. The "establishment" GOP candidate went down to Smith. Is it still R +6?
The new PA-17 is Obama 57-42
Here's proof J. J. is trolling by deliberately being dense. Everyone who followed this in the slightest knows that the new PA-17 picked up Scranton and is far more Dem and thus pretty far from R+6, basically the inverse in fact.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 8071
Re: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (next: 5/8 - IN, NC, WV; 5/15 ID, NE, OR)
«
Reply #99 on:
April 25, 2012, 04:21:12 pm »
Lugar's getting increasingly desperate, throwing all sorts of mud at Mourdock in hopes that some will stick. Internal polling can't be pretty. At this rate I expect Mourdock to win by a narrow (3-4 at best) margin.
Any NC House primaries to watch for?
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
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