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| | |-+  2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)
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Author Topic: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)  (Read 31203 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #50 on: April 21, 2012, 08:55:18 am »
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Pennsylvania next week. There are two Republican primaries of note: for the Senate, that Smith guy seems poised to win, as he's spent nearly $4 million, four times what everyone else has spent combined, and he had an internal poll out showing him winning by double-digits. In the House, there's a Republican primary in PA-04 (formerly PA-19) which is essentially the general election; looks like the two candidates to watch are State Rep. Scott Perry and York County Commissioner Chris Reilly.

On the Democratic side, there's the Altmire/Critz smackdown in PA-12, and Tim Holden faces a tough primary challenge from Matt Cartwright in the newly-Democratic PA-17. Also, the primary for Attorney General has former Rep. Patrick Murphy facing off against Kathleen Kane, a former Lackawanna County ADA.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #51 on: April 21, 2012, 04:57:20 pm »
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I'm saying Smith, Critz and Cartwright win. No idea about the Platts' seat primary. Leaning towards a Kane quasi-upset in the AG race.
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« Reply #52 on: April 21, 2012, 08:52:55 pm »
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Mia Love won the UT-04 GOP nomination tonight; no primary will be held.
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Meeker
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« Reply #53 on: April 21, 2012, 09:09:51 pm »
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Chris Stewart won the UT-02 nomination and will win easily in November.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #54 on: April 22, 2012, 09:38:25 pm »
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Never imagined I'd be saying this (especially after the mild Winter) but it looks like a late April snow - yes, snow - storm could affect turnout in western PA. Some areas will get over a foot of snow. This directly affects the Altmire-Critz race and could dampen Smith's showing in the Senate primary. The snow is beginning Monday morning and lasting until early Tuesday. "Strange" doesn't even begin to describe this...
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« Reply #55 on: April 23, 2012, 02:34:08 pm »
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Mia Love won the UT-04 GOP nomination tonight; no primary will be held.

A black Mormon? Well I suppose she's young enough to not remember when they taught black skin was the mark of Cain, if she was even alive then (what year did they abandon that belief?)

Although did she convert? If not then that means her parents were Mormons during that time...
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« Reply #56 on: April 23, 2012, 02:40:04 pm »
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Upon a little research, I see that Gladys Knight also has converted to Mormonism. That equals three black Mormons I know of (the third being that guy in Mali.)
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redcommander
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« Reply #57 on: April 23, 2012, 10:47:31 pm »
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Upon a little research, I see that Gladys Knight also has converted to Mormonism. That equals three black Mormons I know of (the third being that guy in Mali.)

Isn't Sherri Shepard a Mormon?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #58 on: April 24, 2012, 07:53:17 pm »
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Wow, early results are brutal for Tim Holden. He's losing by nearly 50 points.
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J. J.
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« Reply #59 on: April 24, 2012, 08:16:59 pm »
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Wow, early results are brutal for Tim Holden. He's losing by nearly 50 points.

Yes, I saw that.  Altmire seems to be doing well.

I hate Kane, but she's leading the last time I checked.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
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The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #60 on: April 24, 2012, 08:27:45 pm »
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Looks like Scott Perry will be the next representative from PA-04, and Tom Smith will lose to Bob Casey in November. Not looking good for Patrick Murphy for AG.
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redcommander
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« Reply #61 on: April 24, 2012, 08:31:47 pm »
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Republicans really failed at giving Casey a competitive race. Welch is in third.
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redcommander
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« Reply #62 on: April 24, 2012, 08:32:31 pm »
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Murphy also losing his bid to be the Dems nominee for AG.
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J. J.
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« Reply #63 on: April 24, 2012, 08:33:19 pm »
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Kane/Murphy will go down to the wire; SE PA is still mostly out.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
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« Reply #64 on: April 24, 2012, 08:35:13 pm »
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Holden is going down in PA-17.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
redcommander
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« Reply #65 on: April 24, 2012, 08:39:55 pm »
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Holden is going down in PA-17.

Fabulous news.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #66 on: April 24, 2012, 08:42:12 pm »
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Why are you happy? He's going to be replaced with a more liberal Democrat.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #67 on: April 24, 2012, 08:43:47 pm »
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Neither the 12th nor the 17th have been called yet. Is everything expecting those to tighten towards the end?
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redcommander
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« Reply #68 on: April 24, 2012, 08:45:47 pm »
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Why are you happy? He's going to be replaced with a more liberal Democrat.

I want most incumbents that are in competitive primaries to get thrown out. It doesn't matter if he will be replaced with someone more left-wing.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #69 on: April 24, 2012, 08:46:48 pm »
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PA-12 can't really be called until most everything is in, since the district is so polarized. PA-17 has tightened with more Schuylkill votes; it's down to a 56-44 Cartwright lead.
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J. J.
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« Reply #70 on: April 24, 2012, 08:48:57 pm »
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Neither the 12th nor the 17th have been called yet. Is everything expecting those to tighten towards the end?

PA-12 is at 36%, with Altmire up 24.

PA-17 is at 49%, with Holden down 24.

Critz can close it, but I think it is over for Holden.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
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« Reply #71 on: April 24, 2012, 08:51:10 pm »
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Neither the 12th nor the 17th have been called yet. Is everything expecting those to tighten towards the end?

PA-12 is at 36%, with Altmire up 24.

PA-17 is at 49%, with Holden down 24.

Critz can close it, but I think it is over for Holden.

I can tolerate Critz/Altmire considering where they are.  As for Holden GOOD RIDDANCE!
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J. J.
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« Reply #72 on: April 24, 2012, 08:52:53 pm »
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54% in and Kane is leading for AG.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
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« Reply #73 on: April 24, 2012, 08:56:44 pm »
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Neither the 12th nor the 17th have been called yet. Is everything expecting those to tighten towards the end?

PA-12 is at 36%, with Altmire up 24.

PA-17 is at 49%, with Holden down 24.

Critz can close it, but I think it is over for Holden.

I can tolerate Critz/Altmire considering where they are.  As for Holden GOOD RIDDANCE!

That might end up as a GOP seat.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
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« Reply #74 on: April 24, 2012, 08:59:15 pm »
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67% in and Holden is down 14 points.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
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