2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)

[crypto-fascist superhero]

Now, to think ahead: am I the only one really hoping this second round of anti-incumbency stealth-strikes Hatch next?

Unlike Murdock for Lugar, Liljenquist for Hatch is a trade I would welcome. Unfortunately, the chances are pretty slim.

Why don't you like Lugar losing?  Guy's a creep and wants to be in office for 42 years.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Barrett is beating Falk by double-digits in Dane County. Wow, that's gotta hurt.

Disappointing (but not surprising) that amendment one will pass in NC.

As for Lugar, did he win any counties?

Boone and Marion; he's winning Hamilton with about 1/5th in and is a few votes ahead in Tippecanoe with about 4/5ths in.

[Jayhawker]

Now, to think ahead: am I the only one really hoping this second round of anti-incumbency stealth-strikes Hatch next?

Unlike Murdock for Lugar, Liljenquist for Hatch is a trade I would welcome. Unfortunately, the chances are pretty slim.

Why don't you like Lugar losing?  Guy's a creep and wants to be in office for 42 years.

Please tell me, how is Richard Lugar a "creep"? You apparently don't know too much about him, or don't know what a "creep" actually is.

[crypto-fascist superhero]

Now, to think ahead: am I the only one really hoping this second round of anti-incumbency stealth-strikes Hatch next?

Unlike Murdock for Lugar, Liljenquist for Hatch is a trade I would welcome. Unfortunately, the chances are pretty slim.

Why don't you like Lugar losing?  Guy's a creep and wants to be in office for 42 years.

Please tell me, how is Richard Lugar a "creep"? You apparently don't know too much about him, or don't know what a "creep" actually is.

Anyone who wants to be a politician for 54+ years is by definition a creep, especially if they've devoted their entire political career to their desire to have the government control every aspect of everyone's lives.

[The Head Beagle]

Barrett is beating Falk by double-digits in Dane County. Wow, that's gotta hurt.

Nothing in from Madison yet - but still, yeah.

Edit: actually, now that a few wards come in she's getting beaten pretty badly in the city too.

[Jayhawker]

It's nice to see that there will likely be 2 females in the Indiana delegation starting next year, possibly three if Yoder can beat Young.

[Is JCL in mushy sappy love]

Hopefully McIntosh still pulls it out but Walorski is kewl

[shua]

Now, to think ahead: am I the only one really hoping this second round of anti-incumbency stealth-strikes Hatch next?

Unlike Murdock for Lugar, Liljenquist for Hatch is a trade I would welcome. Unfortunately, the chances are pretty slim.

Why don't you like Lugar losing?  Guy's a creep and wants to be in office for 42 years.

I find Lugar to be much better on foreign policy than Murdock and the great majority of Republicans in Congress, and has an impressive record in that area.  Also, I like his nonreactionary approach to immigration and other issues.

On the other hand, I can appreciate the view that he's just spent too long in office. 

[MilesC56]

Rouzer is currently ahead by 300 votes in NC-07, he has 83% in Johnston and is tied in Sampson, but is loosing everything else by 2-1 or more.

We always knew this would be a good race to watch.

That would be funny if he wins with just Johnston and Sampson.

Here's what Rouzer-Pantano looks like so far:



Rouzer is leading with 37% in Hoke.

[Jayhawker]

Hopefully McIntosh still pulls it out but Walorski is kewl

I supported Brooks, but either I'd be okay with.

In other news, Buchson's opponent in the 8th, Crooks, did horrible in the primary. Granted, he didn't run much of a campaign, but he lost several counties and did mediocre in others to two candidates, one who lives in New York and the other who didn't have one campaign appearance. Buchson's not my favorite, I didn't support him, but he'll likely retain his seat. I don't really think there will be a close House race in Indiana. A couple moderately interesting, but none within 5 points.

[crypto-fascist superhero]

Now, to think ahead: am I the only one really hoping this second round of anti-incumbency stealth-strikes Hatch next?

Unlike Murdock for Lugar, Liljenquist for Hatch is a trade I would welcome. Unfortunately, the chances are pretty slim.

Why don't you like Lugar losing?  Guy's a creep and wants to be in office for 42 years.

I find Lugar to be much better on foreign policy than Murdock and the great majority of Republicans in Congress, and has an impressive record in that area.  Also, I like his nonreactionary approach to immigration and other issues.

On the other hand, I can appreciate the view that he's just spent too long in office. 

Dude was a neocon before being a neocon was cool, and has supported every single foreign intervention since the beginning of his tenure.  There is absolutely nothing redeeming about his foreign policy record except being a moderate hero for 1 day(!) on Iraq in 2007 before issuing a press release "explaining" himself.  He's also one of the most consistent enemies of civil liberties in congress, including the one issue Republicans are generally good on, gun rights.  Frankly, I don't care if Mourdock is good or bad.  It's not like he could possibly be noticeably worse, and it's easier to get rid of a recently-elected incumbent than a long-term one.

[Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Rouzer is currently ahead by 300 votes in NC-07, he has 83% in Johnston and is tied in Sampson, but is loosing everything else by 2-1 or more.

We always knew this would be a good race to watch.

That would be funny if he wins with just Johnston and Sampson.

Here's what Rouzer-Pantano looks like so far:



Rouzer is leading with 37% in Hoke.

Rouzer appears to have won by 3% 48%-45%

Johnston is Boss:
Johnston 41/41
Pantano 12%
Rouzer 82%
Crow 7%

[MilesC56]

Rouzer is currently ahead by 300 votes in NC-07, he has 83% in Johnston and is tied in Sampson, but is loosing everything else by 2-1 or more.

We always knew this would be a good race to watch.

That would be funny if he wins with just Johnston and Sampson.

Here's what Rouzer-Pantano looks like so far:



Rouzer is leading with 37% in Hoke.

Rouzer appears to have won by 3% 48%-45%

Johnston is Boss:
Johnston 41/41
Pantano 12%
Rouzer 82%
Crow 7%

Yeah. Kudos to Rouzer.

The problem for Rouzer though is that he'll be pretty unknown in the rest of the district, territory that McIntyre has represented for 16 years. McIntyre was already going to perform poorly in Johnston because of the counties strong GOP lean. It will be a good race to watch.

[rob in cal]

Anyone seen a breakdown by race for support on Amendment one?  My guess is that white and black voters were probably close to equal in support levels.  Somehow I'm thinking this is not what liberal politicians envision when they think of whites and blacks coming together on issues.
   

[RogueBeaver]

Palin endorsed Deb Fischer in the Nebraska Republican Senate primary. McCain and the TPE endorsed Tom Cotton in the AR-4 GOP primary.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Yeah, so, not much going on next week. The only thing of note, really, is the Republican primary for NE-Sen, but that appears to be a fairly dull affair with Jon Bruning comfortably ahead of the other two.

[RogueBeaver]

Murphy trounced Bysiewicz 3-1 at the CT Democratic convention today, but of course they're still going to the August primary.

[RogueBeaver]

Tom Cotton leads Beth Anne Rankin 51-33 in a new Talk Business poll. The 4th's next congressman whether he wins outright next week or in the June runoff.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Okay, so maybe I spoke too soon in regards to NE-Sen. Fischer is ahead in two primary polls (caveats: taken over Mother's Day weekend, and Nebraska apparently has early voting).

[RogueBeaver]

Bruning probably wins by earlies/absentees, but it'll be close. MI close rather than OH close is my tentative guess.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Nebraska results. Currently 40-35 for Bruning. Interestingly, Fischer is winning Douglas County (Omaha). Bruning is winning most other places, though.

[Svensson]

Have we any results yet?

[Pacific Justice IBDD]

Nebraska result 22% in
Bruning 41%
Fisher 32%
Stenberg 22%

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Bruning is only ahead by 1,300 votes now. The rural counties are coming in strong for Fischer.

[Pacific Justice IBDD]

Nebraska sen rep primary 41% in
Bruning- 38.4%
Fischer- 36.7%
Stenberg- 20.5%