Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 30, 2014, 11:07:02 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Congressional Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 5 6 7 8 9 [10] 11 12 13 14 15 ... 26 Print
Author Topic: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)  (Read 27952 times)
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #225 on: May 22, 2012, 07:56:51 pm »
Ignore

Huh? First Cotton was up 92-5, now Rankin up 66-31... with hardly anything (0.2%) reporting. This sure is weird so far.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #226 on: May 22, 2012, 08:23:02 pm »
Ignore

Never mind. Now a nip-n'-tuck with Cotton ahead 50-47.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6850


View Profile
« Reply #227 on: May 22, 2012, 08:44:49 pm »
Ignore

Meanwhile in AR-01, Clark Hall is losing to some guy who raised about $50k.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #228 on: May 22, 2012, 08:48:30 pm »
Ignore

Not that it'll make a difference. I'm guessing the 4th is taking so long to report (75 minutes since poll closing and only 3% in) because it's so rural.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #229 on: May 22, 2012, 08:58:09 pm »
Ignore

Now they're within 80 (no joke!) votes, with Rankin ahead.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6850


View Profile
« Reply #230 on: May 22, 2012, 09:15:20 pm »
Ignore

It'll be kind of silly if this heads to a runoff because of that other guy and his 3-4% of the vote.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #231 on: May 22, 2012, 09:17:38 pm »
Ignore

Now Cotton pulls ahead 52-44 with 23% reporting... but still a ways to go. The outcome might be delayed 2 weeks but it won't be changing.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #232 on: May 22, 2012, 09:25:30 pm »
Ignore

53-43 with 29% in.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #233 on: May 22, 2012, 09:38:51 pm »
Ignore

Palin just endorsed Hatch on Greta. (H/T PowerLine)
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #234 on: May 22, 2012, 10:10:57 pm »
Ignore

54-41 Cotton with 44% in. Barring a major shift, looks like he wins outright. Smiley

Here's the video of Palin's Hatch endorsement.

http://www.therightscoop.com/sarah-palin-announces-endorsement-for-orrin-hatch-for-us-senate/
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6850


View Profile
« Reply #235 on: May 23, 2012, 06:53:08 am »
Ignore

AR-01 goes to a runoff. Good job drawing that 4-0 Republican map, guys.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6850


View Profile
« Reply #236 on: May 26, 2012, 09:08:13 pm »
Ignore

Texas coming up on Tuesday. On the Republican side, the big enchilada is the Senate primary, where David Dewhurst seems likely to get into a runoff with Ted Cruz, unless Tom Leppert comes from behind and pulls off a second-place finish. Other Republican primaries to watch are the open TX-14 and newly-Republican TX-25 and TX-36. The Democrats have primaries in TX-23 and the newly-Democratic TX-33 and TX-34 (protip: don't pick the indicted DA in the latter).
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #237 on: May 26, 2012, 09:13:33 pm »
Ignore

Dewhurst is definitely going into a runoff by dint of those pathetic ads he's running on China and immigration. Incumbents (or quasi-incumbents in his case) don't throw the kitchen sink unless they're panicking.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #238 on: May 28, 2012, 02:45:09 pm »
Ignore

What to watch tomorrow night:

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/05/five-things-to-1.php
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6850


View Profile
« Reply #239 on: May 29, 2012, 08:24:13 pm »
Ignore

Early results... Dewhurst at 47%.

Some weird results in the House primaries. Steve Stockman, former one-term Congressman, is leading the pack in TX-36 with 27% despite raising nearly no money. Surely he can't have that much residual name recognition?

Also, I thought Michael Williams was supposed to be a big up-and-comer. He's currently at 5% in TX-25, behind five other candidates.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6850


View Profile
« Reply #240 on: May 29, 2012, 08:43:41 pm »
Ignore

Wow, Silvestre Reyes is suddenly in trouble. Early vote has his opponent beating him 51-43.
Logged
Svensson
NVTownsend
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 646


View Profile
« Reply #241 on: May 29, 2012, 11:32:29 pm »
Ignore

Well, guys, I think Reyes is boned.
Logged
ilikeverin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15500
Timor-Leste


View Profile
« Reply #242 on: May 30, 2012, 12:17:11 am »
Ignore

Next up (AR-4): will Cotton win now or on June 12?

Speaking of AR-04, it turns out that one of the people vying to lose to Cotton in November is my half-third-cousin-once-removed.  That is, my great-great-great-grandfather is his great-great-grandfather, but we are descended from him through different women (as my ggg-grandmother died and our mutual ancestor remarried).

In any case, here's a map of the results, because why the heck not:


Gene Jeffress is in red; my cousin Q. Byrum Hurst is in blue; and DC Morrison is in green.  Jeffress's strongest area of support is in what is presumably his State Senate district.  Hurst is strongest around where he grew up (and where our mutual ancestor settled), Hot Springs in Garland County.  His dad was apparently a State Senator in the area, and was sort of a big deal (or, at least, was WikiNotable).

The race is essentially all but over, as Jeffress has wrapped up the support of DC Morrison, while Hurst seems to be suffering from some financial mismanagement.  Still exciting to learn about, though!  Not very many of my distant cousins have been notable enough to deserve Wikipedia articles.
Logged

Chief Judicial Officer of the Most Serene Republic of the Midwest, registered in the State of Joy, in Atlasia
Recognized National Treasure of Atlasia
Joe Republic
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30762
United States


View Profile
« Reply #243 on: May 30, 2012, 01:56:45 am »

Where can I get the full results for the TX congressional primaries?  I want to see if my friend's mom won hers.
Logged



Real Americans (and Big Sky Bob) demand to know.


I just slept for 11 hours, so I should need a nap today, but we'll see.
Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14170


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61

View Profile
« Reply #244 on: May 30, 2012, 01:58:39 am »
Ignore

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_state/TX_Page_0529.html?SITE=CSPANELN&SECTION=POLITICS
Logged
Joe Republic
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30762
United States


View Profile
« Reply #245 on: May 30, 2012, 02:03:22 am »

Thank you sir.

Damn, she lost, but made the runoff.  She only got 13% to Filemon Vela's 41% though, so wish her a lot of luck.  Undecided
Logged



Real Americans (and Big Sky Bob) demand to know.


I just slept for 11 hours, so I should need a nap today, but we'll see.
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 33810


View Profile
« Reply #246 on: May 30, 2012, 02:05:11 am »
Ignore

Quote
The 67-year-old Reyes was first elected to Congress in 1996. Reyes received a rare primary endorsement last month from President Barack Obama. The 39-year-old O’Rourke is an El Paso native who says he favors legalizing marijuana but wouldn’t push for that in Congress.

Neat!
Logged


At the very least, this turn of events seems to validate my prediction that Americans are ready and willing to fully embrace fascism.
I dreamed about Lief spanking Rand Paul.
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14732
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #247 on: May 30, 2012, 11:53:41 am »
Ignore

We haven't seen any Heinrich v. Balderas polling in a while. Fully expect Heinrich to win comfortably but wonder what the margin will be.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6850


View Profile
« Reply #248 on: May 30, 2012, 04:30:24 pm »
Ignore

There was one a week ago by the ABQ Journal. It was 51-26 Heinrich, which was the same as PPP's last poll of the race. I'm not bothering to link the news article because it's behind a paywall.
Logged
only back for the worldcup
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58778
India


View Profile
« Reply #249 on: June 02, 2012, 06:16:44 am »
Ignore



Obviously, only races that not only were interesting (winner has at least a chance of getting to Congress) but also map interestingly (no one or two county districts.)
Logged

"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Pages: 1 ... 5 6 7 8 9 [10] 11 12 13 14 15 ... 26 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines