2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)

[cinyc]

Hawaii is holding their primaries today.  If I've done the time zone math right, polls were supposed to close in 10 minutes, but polling places on the Big Island are being held open until 7:30 local time due to irregularities in opening the polls this morning.  That means we likely won't get results until then, which should translate to 1:30 AM Eastern, 10:30 PM Pacific.  

The big race is the Democratic Senate primary, where Maize Hirono faces Ed Case and others.  Hirono should win.  There's also a Democratic primary to replace Hirono in HI-02.  KHON's website only shows results for former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann and Honolulu City Councilwoman Tulsi Gabbard, so I assume that they are the frontrunners.

[cinyc]

So any time now, right?

Yes.  Polling sites are held open until the last person on line before 7:30 votes, and as of a few minutes ago, KHON was reporting that state elections officials didn't know if that happened yet on the Big Island.  No results will be reported until all polls are closed.

Polls on other islands nominally closed at 6:00PM, but because of the on line rule, Kauai's polls closed at 6:15 p.m., followed by Maui (6:20 p.m.) and Oahu (6:45 p.m.).

Hawaii media outlets (some with livestreaming broadcasts):

http://www.khon2.com
http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/
http://www.kitv.com/
http://www.staradvertiser.com/

Edited to add: KHON reports that the Hawaii County Clerk says some polls on the Big Island haven't closed yet.

[cinyc]

HI-02 (D)
GABBARD, Tulsi 23,978 49.2%
HANNEMANN, Mufi 18,409 37.8%

Djou and Hanabusa handily win the HI-01 primaries.  Crowley appears to be the Republican sacrificial lamb in HI-02.  But, as realisticidealist pointed out, it's mainly absentees so far.

[cinyc]

Also LOL at the polls thing. PPP has Murphy up 47-38 over Shays and 50-42 over McMahon. She'll be buying ads in the NYC market, something which Murphy can't do except in very short bursts. And that's the point- decoying, not winning.

McMahon is already up in the NYC TV market - and attacking Murphy on his House committee attendance record.  She'd rather face Bysewicz in the general.  I haven't seen any ads for any of the other candidates on NYC OTA TV.  If/when he wins the primary, Murphy will have to have some presence in the NYC TV market or risk falling behind in Fairfield County.  Blumenthal had some ads in the NYC market the last time around.  Not nearly as many as McMahon, who was on so often that it got repetitive, but enough to fight back.

[cinyc]

With about 20% of Florida in, Nelson leads 80-20, Mack leads 60-20 over Weldon.  More votes have been cast in the Republican primary than the Democratic primary.

[cinyc]

With less than 10% of the Connecticut vote in, McMahon leads Shays with 3/4ths of the vote; Murphy leads Bysiewicz with 2/3rds of the vote.

[cinyc]

McMahon projected winner of CT-GOP Senate primary by the AP.  Murphy hasn't been projected the winner on the Democratic side yet - but it's pretty clear he will win.  No shockers here.  

[cinyc]

Murphy projected winner of CT-Sen-D.

[cinyc]

Waukesha so far is a tie with 10 votes separating Hovde and Thompson.  14% in, per the county's website:

SCATTERING received 12
JEFF FITZGERALD received 2,512
TOMMY G. THOMPSON received 4,355
MARK W. NEUMANN received 2,071
ERIC HOVDE received 4,365

[cinyc]

CT-05 winners are Esty (D) and Roraback (R).

[cinyc]

How small does the margin have to be for an automatic recount?

A recount is free if the vote is within 0.5 points.  I don't think it's automatic, though.  A candidate has to ask for it.

[cinyc]

With 36% of Waukesha reporting, Thompson is very slightly ahead in the county:

SCATTERING received 13
JEFF FITZGERALD received 5,969
TOMMY G. THOMPSON received 10,172
MARK W. NEUMANN received 4,771
ERIC HOVDE received 9,983

[cinyc]

Thompson's lead goes back to 33.4-31. Waukesha hasn't updated on my Politico map for some reason.

AP hasn't updated their Waukesha results yet.  I'm getting my numbers from the county's website.

[cinyc]

Hovde is actually from Madison

...and losing Dane County 33%-48%.

[cinyc]

With 54% of Waukesha County in, Thompson maintains his slight lead there:

SCATTERING received 16
JEFF FITZGERALD received 8,925
TOMMY G. THOMPSON received 15,752
MARK W. NEUMANN received 7,266
ERIC HOVDE received 15,222
The total number of votes cast 47,181

[cinyc]

CT Senate primary maps.  Winner (Murphy and McMahon) in green; loser in orange.  

Democratic Primary:


Bysiewicz did best in the Quiet Corner, the Middletown area, and a few random towns in the Naugatuck Valley.  Bozrah was tied.

Republican Primary:


Shays did best in parts of his old Fairfield County CD and in shore towns out east.