2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA) (user search)
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  2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)  (Read 84115 times)
Keystone Phil
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« on: April 21, 2012, 04:57:20 PM »
I'm saying Smith, Critz and Cartwright win. No idea about the Platts' seat primary. Leaning towards a Kane quasi-upset in the AG race.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2012, 09:38:25 PM »
Never imagined I'd be saying this (especially after the mild Winter) but it looks like a late April snow - yes, snow - storm could affect turnout in western PA. Some areas will get over a foot of snow. This directly affects the Altmire-Critz race and could dampen Smith's showing in the Senate primary. The snow is beginning Monday morning and lasting until early Tuesday. "Strange" doesn't even begin to describe this...
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #2 on: April 24, 2012, 10:42:24 PM »
The Kane margin is surprising.

 
Quote from: J. J. on April 24, 2012, 08:56:44 PM
Quote from: RomneyGekko Situation Hairgel on April 24, 2012, 08:51:10 PM
Quote from: J. J. on April 24, 2012, 08:48:57 PM
Quote from: Frontline: Wisconsin on April 24, 2012, 08:43:47 PM
Neither the 12th nor the 17th have been called yet. Is everything expecting those to tighten towards the end?

PA-12 is at 36%, with Altmire up 24.

PA-17 is at 49%, with Holden down 24.

Critz can close it, but I think it is over for Holden.

I can tolerate Critz/Altmire considering where they are.  As for Holden GOOD RIDDANCE!

That might end up as a GOP seat.

Uh, no. You don't know about the GOP nominee, I see...

Cartwright's margin is surprising, too. Altmire-Critz was pretty much dead on.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #3 on: April 24, 2012, 11:28:09 PM »
J.J., I'm not just talking about her being a Tea Partier. I'm talking about her...
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #4 on: May 06, 2012, 08:06:16 AM »
Even in a 2010 environment, PA 17 will not be in play. End.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2012, 05:34:55 PM »
What the hell? It's 6:30. Did polls close at 6 or something? I've never heard of polls closing this early.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #6 on: May 08, 2012, 05:42:20 PM »
Quote from: Meeker on May 08, 2012, 05:38:54 PM
Yeah, they close at 6 local time. Same in Kentucky.

I thought they closed at 7. Weird.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #7 on: May 08, 2012, 06:28:19 PM »
Someone call SVU...
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #8 on: May 08, 2012, 06:38:18 PM »
Quote from: Meeker on May 08, 2012, 06:31:05 PM
This seat will be competitive but it's certainly not even Lean Dem at this point.

I don't even think it will be competitive. I think this will be one of those races where we look back in November and say, "Remember when this was going to be close? LOL!"
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #9 on: June 06, 2012, 11:09:46 AM »
Once again, Taitz remains a figure of "relevance" only to MSNBC/Maddow (think something is going on there?) and the blogosphere.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2012, 09:25:22 PM »
Quote from: Speaker Jbrase on August 07, 2012, 09:22:31 PM
Stabenow just won re-election. Congrats Michigan GOP.

Really Astounding Call In Swing Michigan
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #11 on: August 07, 2012, 09:44:34 PM »
Margin down to less than 5,000 with 53% in.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #12 on: August 07, 2012, 09:47:03 PM »
Sad
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #13 on: August 07, 2012, 09:52:14 PM »
...and Steelman is down to third.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #14 on: August 13, 2012, 09:49:45 AM »
It was my personal thought that Ryan was going to endorse Thompson some time last week but other things obviously got in the way. I still thought his selection would help Thompson because the Romney team would nudge him to offer some praise/a subtle endorsement. This should be enough.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #15 on: August 14, 2012, 11:02:04 AM »
It looks like all four Wisconsin Republican candidates are living in the same area of the state (southeast quadrant). Any idea who will be favored in the other areas? Also, how much will the other candidates be hurt or benefit from residing in or near Neumann's old Congressional district? I assume Neumann will be strongest there. Will he be able to swamp the others or are they getting the last laugh by biting into his lead?
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #16 on: August 14, 2012, 12:34:14 PM »
Quote from: Romney/Ryan 2012! on August 14, 2012, 11:31:49 AM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on August 14, 2012, 11:02:04 AM
It looks like all four Wisconsin Republican candidates are living in the same area of the state (southeast quadrant). Any idea who will be favored in the other areas? Also, how much will the other candidates be hurt or benefit from residing in or near Neumann's old Congressional district? I assume Neumann will be strongest there. Will he be able to swamp the others or are they getting the last laugh by biting into his lead?

You mean Ryan's district? Wink

Yeah, that too. Tongue  Boy, that area (and Wisconsin as a whole) is the center of the universe in American politics these days.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #17 on: August 14, 2012, 07:09:17 PM »
Ugh...


@davecatanese: Bad news for Thompson? Campaign email blares: "Election officials are adjusting their election projections, and it's DOWN from 20%" #WISEn
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #18 on: August 14, 2012, 09:09:24 PM »
Thompson regains the lead with 20% in.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #19 on: August 14, 2012, 09:14:49 PM »
25% in.

Thompson   33.1%   59,123
Hovde   31.6%   56,533
Neumann   22.4%   39,996
Fitzgerald   12.9%   23,074
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #20 on: August 14, 2012, 09:35:45 PM »
44% in



Thompson   33.0%   91,513
Hovde   31.5%   87,430
Neumann   22.9%   63,441
Fitzgerald   12.6%   34,996
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 52,607
« Reply #21 on: August 14, 2012, 10:33:19 PM »
Smiley
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