Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 17, 2014, 07:25:23 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  International Elections (Moderators: Comrade Sibboleth, PASOK Leader Hashemite)
| | |-+  Bradford West Parliamentary By-Election : Date to be confirmed
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: Bradford West Parliamentary By-Election : Date to be confirmed  (Read 679 times)
Harry Hayfield
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1779
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.00

View Profile
« on: March 01, 2012, 05:03:03 am »
Ignore

The Labour MP for Bradford West, Marsha Singh, has announced that he intends to resign his seat in Parliament due to "serious health problems". Michael Crick is reporting that Labour are not going to wait for the local elections to hold the by-election but may hold it as early as March 29th. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-17218405
Logged

MaxQue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8189
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2012, 05:10:22 am »
Ignore

Well, I think than Al would say than it is too early to make a thread, but...

I wish a good and swift recovery to Mr. Singh.
Logged
Harry Hayfield
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1779
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2012, 06:12:24 am »
Ignore

Well, I think than Al would say than it is too early to make a thread, but...

I wish a good and swift recovery to Mr. Singh.

If he had died, then yes, I agree, but this is a resignation from Parliament (just as the Labour MP for Leicester South resigned from Parliament) and when an MP resigns then I believe a thread can be started straight away (especially in this case as the by-election could be held in four weeks time)
Logged

Andrea
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 470
Italy
View Profile
« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2012, 06:20:14 am »
Ignore

Good luck to Marsha Singh

Crick has changed his mind and he now says it will likely be on May 3 but Craig from SKY says it will be March 29th

Bradford West was one of the very few constituencies to have a Lab to Con swing in 1997 GE (the other being Bethnal Green and Bow). The NEC selection panel can have a tricky job to do. A local name already reported to be in the race is Cllr Imran Hussain.
It has also been suggested that Manchester Cllr Afzal Khan has been working the CLP for some time waiting for the selection to come up. I think Khan has spent years waiting for Gerald Kaufman's retirement in Manchester Gorton ...I don't know if the likely upcoming vacancy in Manchester Central will change his plans.
« Last Edit: March 01, 2012, 09:10:12 am by Andrea »Logged
Comrade Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 55446
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2012, 12:07:06 pm »

This has been on the cards for a while. A shame as I've always quite liked Marsha Singh. Hope he gets better.

Anyway, I'll write up the usual by-election special post at the weekend.
Logged



Richard Hoggart 1918-2014
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8444
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2012, 12:08:36 pm »
Ignore

LAB hold.
Logged

YL
YorkshireLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1014
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -6.70


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: March 01, 2012, 01:20:55 pm »
Ignore

Let's hope he gets better.

This constituency has a slightly odd recent history.  As Andrea says, it had a pro-Tory swing in 1997, and it also had a pro-Labour swing in 2010.  (If the national swing from 2005 had applied, I think it would have gone Tory.  But national swings and Bradford West don't appear to mix.)  In between, the Lib Dem vote collapsed in 2001 and then had a big increase in 2005 (Iraq may well have been a factor in the latter).
Logged

The Kingfish
Obamaisdabest
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7998
United States


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: March 01, 2012, 01:24:37 pm »
Ignore

That's a shame. Best wishes to him.
Logged

YL
YorkshireLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1014
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -6.70


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: March 01, 2012, 02:17:56 pm »
Ignore

2011 Bradford Council election results in the constituency (from the Council website):

City: Lab 64%, Con 28%, Green 5%, LD 3%

Clayton & Fairweather Green: Lab 56%, Con 30%, Green 8%, LD 6%

Heaton: Lab 48%, Con 26%, Green 21%, LD 4%

Manningham: Lab 72%, LD 20%, Green 5%, Con 3%

Thornton & Allerton: Con 47%, Lab 38%, Green 12%, LD 3%

Toller: Lab 81%, Con 12%, Green 5%, LD 2%
Logged

Comrade Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 55446
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #9 on: March 01, 2012, 02:30:51 pm »

Ah, Toller ward.
Logged



Richard Hoggart 1918-2014
Acting like I'm Morrissey w/o the wit
Leftbehind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3187
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: March 01, 2012, 02:52:10 pm »
Ignore

Those wards look like far stronger Labour than their constituency's recent results would suggest.
« Last Edit: March 01, 2012, 03:13:17 pm by Leftbehind »Logged

YL
YorkshireLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1014
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -6.70


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: March 01, 2012, 03:30:53 pm »
Ignore

Those wards look like far stronger Labour than their constituency's recent results would suggest.

... and indeed than their own recent results would suggest.  In 2004 (see Andrew Teale's website) every one of them elected at least one Tory.  As recently as 2008 (link to Andrew's site again) four of them voted Tory, including Toller.
Logged

Carlos Danger
wormyguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8410
Liechtenstein


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: March 01, 2012, 03:38:58 pm »
Ignore

Those wards look like far stronger Labour than their constituency's recent results would suggest.

... and indeed than their own recent results would suggest.  In 2004 (see Andrew Teale's website) every one of them elected at least one Tory.  As recently as 2008 (link to Andrew's site again) four of them voted Tory, including Toller.

So are they something like those Hasidic Jewish wards in NYC, or the polygamous Mormon town in Texas?
Logged

Chancellor of the Duchy of Radcliffe North
andrewteale
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 547
Belgium


View Profile WWW
« Reply #13 on: March 01, 2012, 05:44:48 pm »
Ignore

I wonder if Norman Scarth will stand.  That would liven things up.
Logged

http://www.andrewteale.me.uk/leap - UK local election results since 2002.



There cannot have been a by-election here, as I didn't see an Andrew Teale writeup on it. Or else that by-election's validity should be challenged on the grounds that it was held without Andrew's written approval
farewell
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58527
India


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: March 02, 2012, 04:53:54 am »
Ignore

I somehow thought Marsha Singh was ancient, but I've just looked it up and he's not even 60. Who am I confusing him with?
Logged

I may conceivably reconsider.

Knowing me it's more likely than not.
YL
YorkshireLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1014
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -6.70


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: March 02, 2012, 05:35:04 am »
Ignore

I somehow thought Marsha Singh was ancient, but I've just looked it up and he's not even 60. Who am I confusing him with?

The late Piara Khabra?
Logged

doktorb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 951
United Kingdom


View Profile WWW
« Reply #16 on: March 02, 2012, 06:56:41 am »
Ignore

I wonder if Norman Scarth will stand.  That would liven things up.

Thomas Darwood would do that and more. Never has "Independent candidate, Barking" been so accurate a description....

http://tomdarwood.com/default.aspx
Logged

My blog - http://www.liampennington.blogspot.com

Twitter - @doktorb
MaxQue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8189
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: March 02, 2012, 07:49:31 am »
Ignore

Oh.

I feel confused. It is very strange.
Logged
Comrade Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 55446
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #18 on: March 03, 2012, 10:40:42 am »

Singh has officially resigned. I'll put together the usual profile (maybe in a new thread; it's easier if that post is the first one) soon. Or most of it. Or something.
Logged



Richard Hoggart 1918-2014
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines