Washington GOP caucus **results thread**
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Author Topic: Washington GOP caucus **results thread**  (Read 16758 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« Reply #75 on: March 03, 2012, 05:03:21 PM »
Quote from: Torie on March 03, 2012, 04:51:45 PM
Quote from: Assemblyman & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on March 03, 2012, 04:49:43 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 04:46:23 PM
Does anyone know what time official numbers will start coming out?

They tweeted "around 5 PM" two hours ago.  But I'm not sure if they mean 5 PM EST or PST...

PST. It is a PST state. Smiley

Correct.  They just tweeted me back!
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #76 on: March 03, 2012, 05:06:35 PM »
If Santorum doesn't win, I'd much rather Paul did than Romney.
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Meeker
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« Reply #77 on: March 03, 2012, 05:07:34 PM »
Fingers crossed that Paul or Santorum win Benton County and then lose statewide by <1000 votes. Chaos chaos chaos!
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #78 on: March 03, 2012, 05:13:12 PM »
This is going to be a bigger disaster than Maine!
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Alcon
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« Reply #79 on: March 03, 2012, 05:13:27 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2012, 05:16:06 PM by Alcon »
Lord, Romney is getting slaughtered in Spokane:

"WA 3rd Legislative District Straw Poll results:With 21out of 22 Precincts reporting:Ron Paul 122, Santorum 52, Rom 44, & Newt 26."
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #80 on: March 03, 2012, 05:14:03 PM »
Wait, is it possible that Paul wins this? Or are we just looking at a strong second over Santorum?
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #81 on: March 03, 2012, 05:18:04 PM »
Quote from: Lief on March 03, 2012, 05:14:03 PM
Wait, is it possible that Paul wins this? Or are we just looking at a strong second over Santorum?

If Paul wins, I'll even be more pissed.  I thought about predicting him, but after Maine, decided not too.  If he actually wins Washington, I'll have lost all hope in my predicting talent. Wink
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #82 on: March 03, 2012, 05:19:31 PM »
Random Whitman County precincts: 75 Paul, 29 Santorum, 27 Romney, 12 Gingrich, 15 Uncom.
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Alcon
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« Reply #83 on: March 03, 2012, 05:19:42 PM »
From somewhere in Whitman County, allegedly.  Too many votes to be a precinct; my guess is it's the Pullman caucus site.  I like "Willard"
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #84 on: March 03, 2012, 05:20:14 PM »
Romney leads Paul 90-8 on Intrade.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #85 on: March 03, 2012, 05:20:53 PM »
hahaha Willard
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #86 on: March 03, 2012, 05:21:28 PM »
Quote from: Lief on March 03, 2012, 05:14:03 PM
Wait, is it possible that Paul wins this? Or are we just looking at a strong second over Santorum?

I defer to the judgment of those who know the state better than I do.

But I would note that there's sure to be a selection effect in this Twitter reporting, in that Paul voters are more likely to tweet their results out than the supporters of other candidates, and they are (by definition) more likely to live in areas with strong Paul support.

Santorum should be praying that he's running strong in counties where no one has internet access.  Wink
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Alcon
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« Reply #87 on: March 03, 2012, 05:22:52 PM »
I don't think Paul is doing well enough in the suburbs to win, but even with his Twitter overrepresentation, I'm pretty sure at this point that he's leading Santorum.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #88 on: March 03, 2012, 05:23:16 PM »
If Paul wins, should I be happy we get 4 people on the map or sad that I don't get 2 points?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #89 on: March 03, 2012, 05:23:34 PM »
IIRC, "Uncommitted" won a couple of counties in 2008.  Would be funny if that happened again.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #90 on: March 03, 2012, 05:24:23 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 03, 2012, 05:19:42 PM
From somewhere in Whitman County, allegedly.  Too many votes to be a precinct; my guess is it's the Pullman caucus site.  I like "Willard"



And like Morden said - the Paul voters are more likely to show good results.  It's safe to assume this is a Paul supporter uploading results.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #91 on: March 03, 2012, 05:25:17 PM »
Quote from: Michigan's inland lakes on March 03, 2012, 05:23:16 PM
If Paul wins, should I be happy we get 4 people on the map or sad that I don't get 2 points?

That was my thought before Maine (although I'd have gotten the points)... it hasn't happened with the GOP since 1968, I believe.
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Alcon
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« Reply #92 on: March 03, 2012, 05:25:57 PM »
Yep Inks, I agree.  We also had one caucus site in rural Whitman County that Romney narrowly won over Santorum.  If that were Pullman's caucus results, that wouldn't be an especially amazing performance for Paul; it's a university town.

Quote from: Mr. Morden on March 03, 2012, 05:23:34 PM
IIRC, "Uncommitted" won a couple of counties in 2008.  Would be funny if that happened again.


I haven't seen Uncommitted totals reported much so far, although that might explain the cryptic "Yacl" on the right end of the Whitman County paper.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #93 on: March 03, 2012, 05:27:11 PM »
Adding together all the explicit results mentioned so far:

Paul 580 (35.0%)
Romney 511 (30.6%)
Santorum 393 (23.5%)
Gingrich 148 (8.8%)
Uncom 36 (2.2%)
Other 1
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #94 on: March 03, 2012, 05:32:13 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 03, 2012, 05:25:57 PM
I haven't seen Uncommitted totals reported much so far, although that might explain the cryptic "Yacl" on the right end of the Whitman County paper.

It's "Und" for Undecided.
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Alcon
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« Reply #95 on: March 03, 2012, 05:38:16 PM »
Twitter feed is now filling up with Ron Paul stolen election complaints.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #96 on: March 03, 2012, 05:38:49 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 03, 2012, 05:38:16 PM
Twitter feed is now filling up with Ron Paul stolen election complaints.

'Twas inevitable.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #97 on: March 03, 2012, 05:39:03 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 05:32:13 PM
Quote from: Alcon on March 03, 2012, 05:25:57 PM
I haven't seen Uncommitted totals reported much so far, although that might explain the cryptic "Yacl" on the right end of the Whitman County paper.

It's "Und" for Undecided.

It's time for a new prescription, Alcon... Wink
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #98 on: March 03, 2012, 05:40:06 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 05:38:49 PM
Quote from: Alcon on March 03, 2012, 05:38:16 PM
Twitter feed is now filling up with Ron Paul stolen election complaints.

'Twas inevitable.

Well, when you turn away 1000 people, you're gonna piss a lot of people off.  Though from a statistical standpoint, the distribution of the 1000 would hypothetically be the same as for the 2000 people that got in... hypothetically.
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Alcon
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« Reply #99 on: March 03, 2012, 05:41:15 PM »
Apparently, the Bellevue-based 41st had a total turnout of 130.  These turnout reports don't quite gel...
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