I think the telling number here is that independents in Ohio disapprove of Obama's performance as president, (36% approve-50% disapprove), yet they vote for him 43-39 over Romney.
In other words, there's certainly room for someone to win Ohio by running against Obama, but Romney isn't (yet) doing a very good job of being that person.
We need to just face the truth: The Republicans just aren't presidential material anymore.
So tell me: How much will Obama win Kentucky by? 10 points? Maybe 20? (And will the Republicans steal the election if that were to happen?)