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Author Topic: The Super Tuesday Results Thread  (Read 12859 times)
Sam Spade
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« Reply #400 on: March 06, 2012, 10:38:33 pm »
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The Hamilton numbers were so favorable that you have to certainly give Mitt a shot to win now.
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Christmas Bushie 2014
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #401 on: March 06, 2012, 10:39:20 pm »
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If it stays the way it is, Rick Santorum will "win" Ohio, but Mitt Romney will come out with the victory.  Rick's delegate fumble will come back to bite him in the butt.

If the headline is "SANTORUM WINS OH" it won't matter.

I agree with you to a point because of the average voter, but delegates are what will win the nomination and, if I'm correct, other than Illinois on March 20, there are no more real big prizes until New York and Pennsylvania vote on April 24.  The momentum from March 6 will be long forgotten by April 24, and will likely be diminished by March 20.

MS, AL, and KS collectively are worth 120 delegates

I'm talking about individual prizes, not collective.

Does it matter if it's individual or collective? Winning OH makes those states much easier for him to win, period.

It does matter, because no  matter how you slice it, $30 an hour is better than $30 every three hours.  I know that's a poor analogy, but it somewhat fits.  It's true the average voter will see Ohio colored for Santorum and that will be huge, don't get me wrong, but Romney will probably roll out TV ads claiming victory in Ohio (and rightfully so) in Kansas, Alabama, Mississippi, Illinois, Louisiana, and probably Maryland and Wisconsin who vote on April 3.  It's almost like the effect Iowa had, which was nill.  Iowa shouldn't really be colored at all, it should be shaded as a tie.
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My earlier comment notwithstanding, I do think that the site would be better off if Inks left his position. (The fact that the village idiot has dropped in to express his support for him only confirms this.)
Reds4
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« Reply #402 on: March 06, 2012, 10:39:36 pm »
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The counties to watch now are Cuyahoga and Medina (which hasn't reported anything yet).. Medina could be key.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #403 on: March 06, 2012, 10:40:06 pm »
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Franklin is pretty much done (91%), Mitt gained 1000.
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ag
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« Reply #404 on: March 06, 2012, 10:40:26 pm »
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A dump from Franklin - this time it brings Romney lead in the county up to 5% and Santorum margin statewide down to just over 6,000!
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Torie
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« Reply #405 on: March 06, 2012, 10:40:43 pm »
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The counties to watch now are Cuyahoga and Medina (which hasn't reported anything yet).. Medina could be key.

Yes, I forgot Medina, but I suspect it will be close between Mittens and Rick.
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« Reply #406 on: March 06, 2012, 10:41:20 pm »
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It is going to be really really close. Romney should close in a bit more. The question is will it be enough
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« Reply #407 on: March 06, 2012, 10:41:29 pm »
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In other news, Idaho is going huge for Romney (70+), Paul a very distant 2nd.
I'm guessing that's because the SE is very mormon.

Yeah, Google says Romney won the county furthest southeast, Bear Lake, with just under ninety percent of the vote. Not exactly tough to figure out why that is! Tongue
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« Reply #408 on: March 06, 2012, 10:41:58 pm »
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I think Medina will go to Romney, but I don't think it will be a big margin
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #409 on: March 06, 2012, 10:42:04 pm »
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In other news that no one will pay attention to, I'd be really surprised, with what's left, that Rick makes the 20% threshold in GA.
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Judäischen Volksfront
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« Reply #410 on: March 06, 2012, 10:43:14 pm »
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It will be hilarious if Ohio comes down to a recount with a resulting media circus for weeks and weeks.
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Torie
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« Reply #411 on: March 06, 2012, 10:43:18 pm »
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In other news that no one will pay attention to, I'd be really surprised, with what's left, that Rick makes the 20% threshold in GA.

I think it was expected that Rick would be shut out in Georgia. That was my assumption when I prepared my spreadsheet.
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Christmas Bushie 2014
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #412 on: March 06, 2012, 10:44:04 pm »
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2500 vote lead for Santa
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My earlier comment notwithstanding, I do think that the site would be better off if Inks left his position. (The fact that the village idiot has dropped in to express his support for him only confirms this.)
Torie
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« Reply #413 on: March 06, 2012, 10:44:10 pm »
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Gap 2,500 now in favor of Rick.  CNN didn't say why or where, because it had to cut to a commercial. Sad
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« Reply #414 on: March 06, 2012, 10:44:26 pm »
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Something else has just reported, not clear what - margin under 3,000!
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cinyc
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« Reply #415 on: March 06, 2012, 10:44:57 pm »
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Cuyahoga is:
Mitt Romney ( REP )   28220
Rick Santorum ( REP )   17795

with about 60% in, according to the county's website.

That's a net gain of 3,441 for Romney from what the AP is showing.
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Reds4
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« Reply #416 on: March 06, 2012, 10:45:22 pm »
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Cuyahoga county website showing Romney with a 10,500 vote lead instead of 7,000 CNN is showing.. so romney will gain that soon.. might take the lead back soon.. will be very close
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #417 on: March 06, 2012, 10:45:40 pm »
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Mont Co gave Romney about another 3,000.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #418 on: March 06, 2012, 10:46:13 pm »
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i am hoping rick wins OH, but i still think Romney will pull this out with the big city areas still counting
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Torie
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« Reply #419 on: March 06, 2012, 10:46:18 pm »
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Cuyahoga is:
Mitt Romney ( REP )   28220
Rick Santorum ( REP )   17795

with about 60% in, according to the county's website.

That's a net gain of 3,441 for Romney from what the AP is showing.

So the "why" is a Cuyahoga dump. Was it more Mittens than what come before there?
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #420 on: March 06, 2012, 10:46:51 pm »
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Medina is my county.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #421 on: March 06, 2012, 10:47:51 pm »
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Of course it is all symbolic. Romney will win OH in delegates by far
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cavalcade
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« Reply #422 on: March 06, 2012, 10:48:31 pm »
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Google has Romney down by 1500, with Cuyahoga still at 41% in.
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Camerlengo Alfred of the Papal Patch
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« Reply #423 on: March 06, 2012, 10:49:06 pm »
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OK, time to place our bets.
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There is a lot of humor to be mined from this as the mind of LBJ in the body of an 18 month old baby girl is quite hilarious.

Alfred is the Atlasian equivalent of a malevolent deity.

cinyc
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« Reply #424 on: March 06, 2012, 10:49:27 pm »
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Medina is:
Rep Dlgt-at-Lg & Alt-at-Lg to Nat Conv    REP         
Precincts Reporting       85    
Total Votes       3119    
Newt Gingrich         480    15.39%
Jon Huntsman         17    0.55%
Ron Paul         250    8.02%
Rick Perry         17    0.55%
Mitt Romney         1213    38.89%
Rick Santorum         1142    36.61%

So Romney +71.

With about 60-70% in.
« Last Edit: March 06, 2012, 10:51:30 pm by cinyc »Logged
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