AL-Capital Survey Research Center: Final tracking poll shows Romney+1 (user search)
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  AL-Capital Survey Research Center: Final tracking poll shows Romney+1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AL-Capital Survey Research Center: Final tracking poll shows Romney+1  (Read 4939 times)
J. J.
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« on: March 07, 2012, 07:57:31 PM »

I expect Romney to gain momentum, but not that much momentum.  Outlier, or just a bad poll would be my guess.

If it's accurate, the race is over by the Ides of March.

 
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J. J.
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« Reply #1 on: March 07, 2012, 08:43:20 PM »

Here is the new story:  http://blog.al.com/spotnews/2012/03/alabama_education_association_3.html

It sounds dubious.
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J. J.
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« Reply #2 on: March 07, 2012, 08:55:34 PM »

Looking at some of the comments, the only thing I could figure is that WAM and Santorum are splitting the religious bigot vote.  It's possible, but I still don't buy it.
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J. J.
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« Reply #3 on: March 07, 2012, 09:08:47 PM »
« Edited: March 07, 2012, 09:10:26 PM by J. J. »

If this poll is true, Newt's toast.

Yep, and so is Santorum.  I doubt it either candidate could seriously go on with Romney winning in the west, the rust belt, and now the deep south.


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J. J.
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« Reply #4 on: March 07, 2012, 09:57:17 PM »

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Ask yourself, what happens with just Santorum? Wink

Romney would have won SC.

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At this point, Romney would gain momentum, if this happened.  I think that it is doubtful that it will happen.
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J. J.
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Posts: 32,892
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« Reply #5 on: March 08, 2012, 12:04:09 PM »

Third one, but I'm still skeptical.

It's actually 2.

I found out that CSRC polls for the Alabama Education Association.

This means that they are likely doing a tracking poll.

It's the same company as the poll posted by Hillary.

Okay.

I was going going to ask it it was possible if a campaign was putting out fake polls.  Romney winning MS or AL (or even a plurality on Tuesday), will be the shock of the season.
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