Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 11, 2016, 08:06:30 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections
| | |-+  Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?  (Read 1180 times)
Stan
Full Member
***
Posts: 173
Italy


View Profile
« on: March 08, 2012, 12:52:05 pm »
Ignore

Who will win in GOP Caucus in Hawaii?
Logged

Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52868


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2012, 12:56:36 pm »
Ignore

I don't see why Mitt or Paul wouldn't win convincingly. Haven't heard anyone talk about Paul having a shot here though so I guess it's safe for Romney.
Logged



The entire country is pretty much Republican.
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17089
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2012, 01:01:46 pm »
Ignore

Mittens. This is Hawaii, where the only Republican of note is pro-choice, anti-death penalty, anti-voucher. Not exactly Santorum country.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
tpfkaw
wormyguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9133
Liechtenstein


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2012, 01:02:23 pm »
Ignore

Did we ever learn the results from '08?
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32696
Samoa


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: March 08, 2012, 01:04:40 pm »
Ignore

Hawaii should be Mittens country.  Mittens will do well I would think both with the Asians (how many Asians are evangelicals?) and the upscale haoles - and there are a lot of upscale haoles in Hawaii who tend to be olds (Mittens does well with olds) to boot. The lagniappe is that Hawaii has a fair number of LDS adherents. The LDS missionaries have had pretty good success spreading the word in the Aloha State.
Logged

Perry Smith: "I thought he was a very nice gentleman. Soft-spoken. I thought so right up to the moment I cut his throat."

Christie:
tpfkaw
wormyguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9133
Liechtenstein


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: March 08, 2012, 01:05:56 pm »
Ignore

Hawaii should be Mittens country.  Mittens will do well I would think both with the Asians (how many Asians are evangelicals?)

Quite a few of the Republican ones.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40934
United States


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: March 08, 2012, 01:10:47 pm »
Ignore

It should go for Romney. We can always hope for a surprise though.
Logged

Update lives again on Atlas After Dark. PM me for info.
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9406
Czech Republic


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: March 08, 2012, 01:11:11 pm »
Ignore

Mitt Romney, with Paul in second place.
Logged

Clearly the solution is to privatize presidential elections.

So, in less than four years, get excited for the 2016 MetLife Financial U Pick The Prez Extravaganza. If you tweet a picture of your completed ballot with the hashtag #ivoted, you could win a trip for two to the inauguration or an iTunes gift card.
IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2662
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: March 08, 2012, 01:14:19 pm »
Ignore

Amusingly there were polls showing Cain up in HI.
Logged

"By not voting, you would let someone win who wants to destroy the regions, raise taxes, remove guns from the street, nationalize transit, expand abortion coverage, a gut the military." - Hagrid
Mr. Morden
Modadmin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26511
United States


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: March 08, 2012, 02:50:18 pm »
Ignore

Did we ever learn the results from '08?

I've been looking for them for years, and I suspect that Joe Republic knows the answer.  If only he'd been willing to post in this thread:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?;topic=127584.0
Logged

My magnum opus is now complete.  Read the complete "The Adventures of Hobo Orgy Guy & Blondie" (now in paperback).

Watch Dave being briefed by the mods.

Being a moderator is basically like one giant party.  Except you're the one ruining the party and everyone hates you.
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38952
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: March 08, 2012, 02:53:27 pm »
Ignore

3.3% of Hawaiians are Mormon = safe Romney.
Logged

J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32065
United States


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: March 08, 2012, 03:11:34 pm »
Ignore

American Samoa also votes this day (9 Delegates).  High Mormon population as well.

Seriously, I expect these to be the only two pieces of good news Tuesday.

Logged

J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
R2D2
20RP12
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24905
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -7.74, S: -7.83

View Profile
« Reply #12 on: March 08, 2012, 03:16:15 pm »
Ignore

I hope Paul, but it'll likely go Romney.
Logged

argentarius
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 843
Ireland, Republic of


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: March 08, 2012, 03:20:54 pm »
Ignore

Post super tuesday intrade seems to be taking a break. Paul is the only one listed there and is at 10%, but they also seem to think Newt is 3rd favourite in AL and 2nd in MS.
Logged
TheGlobalizer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3287
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

View Profile
« Reply #14 on: March 08, 2012, 04:12:51 pm »
Ignore

Romney, by a lot.
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6490
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: March 08, 2012, 04:25:43 pm »
Ignore

Safe Romney.
Logged

Draft Uncle Pat for President, 2016!
ChairmanSanchez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20699
United States



View Profile
« Reply #16 on: March 08, 2012, 04:44:24 pm »
Ignore

Romney



Paul





Gingrich
Santorum
Logged

A Hybrid of Pat Buchanan and Bob Dylan.

Yes, yes, I went from supporting Rand Paul to John Kasich to briefly flirting with Trump to settling on Cruz. Laugh at my fickleness all you want.
Bacon
Bacon King
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17434
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.19, S: -7.91


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: March 08, 2012, 06:09:52 pm »
Ignore

Even the Paultards aren't bothering to hype up his chances here? It'd certainly be amusing if he ended up actually winning this one.
Logged

BK without all the crazy drugs just wouldn't be BK.
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8331
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: 4.17


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: March 08, 2012, 06:37:25 pm »
Ignore

Did we ever learn the results from '08?

Precinct caucus had no presidential preference poll. McCain won the state convention.
Logged
Dabeav
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 312
United States


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: March 09, 2012, 05:01:17 am »
Ignore

Even the Paultards aren't bothering to hype up his chances here? It'd certainly be amusing if he ended up actually winning this one.

It would just be another fracas like Maine.  I'm just hoping for the Romney/Paul ticket now, and glad the issues are changing to what RP has been talking about.
Logged

"The sad thing is, our foreign policy WILL change eventually, as Rome's did, when all budgetary and monetary tricks to fund it are exhausted." - Ron Paul
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8331
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: 4.17


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: March 09, 2012, 11:38:27 am »
Ignore

Doesn't Oahu have a fair number of Mormons?
Logged
Matthew
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 58


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: March 09, 2012, 07:51:05 pm »
Ignore

Safe romney.
Logged
Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19404
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: March 09, 2012, 08:31:44 pm »
Ignore

Olds+Asians+military presence=Mittens.

Paul couldn't win Alaska. How does he win in a state which should be terrible for him?
Logged

Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 35137
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.32, S: -1.91

P

View Profile WWW
« Reply #23 on: March 10, 2012, 06:58:35 am »
Ignore

I don't see why Mitt or Paul wouldn't win convincingly. Haven't heard anyone talk about Paul having a shot here though so I guess it's safe for Romney.

From what I've heard, he's raised more money there than anybody else, but the same was the case in Alaska, and Alaska was a LOT more friendly ideologically, so I don't think it'll be Paul in Hawaii.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines