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Author Topic: Hawaii GOP Caucus - Who will win?  (Read 882 times)
Stan
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« on: March 08, 2012, 12:52:05 pm »
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Who will win in GOP Caucus in Hawaii?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2012, 12:56:36 pm »
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I don't see why Mitt or Paul wouldn't win convincingly. Haven't heard anyone talk about Paul having a shot here though so I guess it's safe for Romney.
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« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2012, 01:01:46 pm »
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Mittens. This is Hawaii, where the only Republican of note is pro-choice, anti-death penalty, anti-voucher. Not exactly Santorum country.
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« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2012, 01:02:23 pm »
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Did we ever learn the results from '08?
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Torie
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« Reply #4 on: March 08, 2012, 01:04:40 pm »
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Hawaii should be Mittens country.  Mittens will do well I would think both with the Asians (how many Asians are evangelicals?) and the upscale haoles - and there are a lot of upscale haoles in Hawaii who tend to be olds (Mittens does well with olds) to boot. The lagniappe is that Hawaii has a fair number of LDS adherents. The LDS missionaries have had pretty good success spreading the word in the Aloha State.
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wormyguy
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« Reply #5 on: March 08, 2012, 01:05:56 pm »
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Quote from: Torie on March 08, 2012, 01:04:40 pm
Hawaii should be Mittens country.  Mittens will do well I would think both with the Asians (how many Asians are evangelicals?)

Quite a few of the Republican ones.
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« Reply #6 on: March 08, 2012, 01:10:47 pm »
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It should go for Romney. We can always hope for a surprise though.
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« Reply #7 on: March 08, 2012, 01:11:11 pm »
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Mitt Romney, with Paul in second place.
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« Reply #8 on: March 08, 2012, 01:14:19 pm »
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Amusingly there were polls showing Cain up in HI.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: March 08, 2012, 02:50:18 pm »
Quote from: modified limited hangout on March 08, 2012, 01:02:23 pm
Did we ever learn the results from '08?

I've been looking for them for years, and I suspect that Joe Republic knows the answer.  If only he'd been willing to post in this thread:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?;topic=127584.0
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« Reply #10 on: March 08, 2012, 02:53:27 pm »
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3.3% of Hawaiians are Mormon = safe Romney.
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J. J.
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« Reply #11 on: March 08, 2012, 03:11:34 pm »
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American Samoa also votes this day (9 Delegates).  High Mormon population as well.

Seriously, I expect these to be the only two pieces of good news Tuesday.
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J. J.

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20RP12
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« Reply #12 on: March 08, 2012, 03:16:15 pm »
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I hope Paul, but it'll likely go Romney.
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« Reply #13 on: March 08, 2012, 03:20:54 pm »
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Post super tuesday intrade seems to be taking a break. Paul is the only one listed there and is at 10%, but they also seem to think Newt is 3rd favourite in AL and 2nd in MS.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #14 on: March 08, 2012, 04:12:51 pm »
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Romney, by a lot.
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« Reply #15 on: March 08, 2012, 04:25:43 pm »
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Safe Romney.
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ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #16 on: March 08, 2012, 04:44:24 pm »
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Romney



Paul





Gingrich
Santorum
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Bacon King
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« Reply #17 on: March 08, 2012, 06:09:52 pm »
Even the Paultards aren't bothering to hype up his chances here? It'd certainly be amusing if he ended up actually winning this one.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #18 on: March 08, 2012, 06:37:25 pm »
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Quote from: modified limited hangout on March 08, 2012, 01:02:23 pm
Did we ever learn the results from '08?

Precinct caucus had no presidential preference poll. McCain won the state convention.
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« Reply #19 on: March 09, 2012, 05:01:17 am »
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Quote from: Bacon King, VP on March 08, 2012, 06:09:52 pm
Even the Paultards aren't bothering to hype up his chances here? It'd certainly be amusing if he ended up actually winning this one.

It would just be another fracas like Maine.  I'm just hoping for the Romney/Paul ticket now, and glad the issues are changing to what RP has been talking about.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #20 on: March 09, 2012, 11:38:27 am »
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Doesn't Oahu have a fair number of Mormons?
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Matthew
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« Reply #21 on: March 09, 2012, 07:51:05 pm »
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Safe romney.
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Senator Snowstalker
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« Reply #22 on: March 09, 2012, 08:31:44 pm »
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Olds+Asians+military presence=Mittens.

Paul couldn't win Alaska. How does he win in a state which should be terrible for him?
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
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« Reply #23 on: March 10, 2012, 06:58:35 am »
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Quote from: Keystone Phil on March 08, 2012, 12:56:36 pm
I don't see why Mitt or Paul wouldn't win convincingly. Haven't heard anyone talk about Paul having a shot here though so I guess it's safe for Romney.

From what I've heard, he's raised more money there than anybody else, but the same was the case in Alaska, and Alaska was a LOT more friendly ideologically, so I don't think it'll be Paul in Hawaii.
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