Pennsylvania: An analysis.

[Erc]

For reference, a list of all the delegate candidates in Pennsylvania's "Loophole Primary."  Their presidential preference is listed, if known---it will not be listed on the ballot.  Those listed as [UNCOMMITTED] are those who have explictly said they are uncommitted when pressed to endorse a candidate.  Those listed as [DISTRICT WINNER] have said they will vote for whoever wins their district in the beauty contest.

My source is this document from the PA DoS.  The filing deadline was February 14, and the last day to withdraw was February 29, so despite being marked as "Unofficial," this should be roughly the final list.  Apparently, challenges are still being heard, so there may be some changes.

County names in {curly brackets} indicate they have been endorsed by that county's GOP.

CD 1 (Vote for 3)

Taxin, Marion [ROMNEY?] {Delaware/Philly} (2008 alternate)  
Vogler, Christopher [ROMNEY?] {Delaware/Philly}
Boggia, Tom [PAUL]
Untermeyer, Michael
Anton, Frederick (2008 delegate)
Kerns, Dale [PAUL]

CD 2 (Vote for 3)

Tucker, Calvin
Harris, Lewis {Philly/Montco}
Vogler, Walter
Lang, Adam {Philly/Montco}
Gureghian, Vahan {Philly/Montco}

CD 3 (Vote for 3)

Sergi, Michael [PAUL]
Lange, Carl
English, Philip [ROMNEY]
Lindsey, Travis [PAUL]
Mustello, Michele (2004 alternate)
Pepper, Jean (2000 alternate)
Metcalfe, Daryl (State Rep.)
Salorino, Joe [PAUL]
Adametz, Paul

CD 4 (Vote for 4)

Wingert, Lisa
Wingert, Kenneth (2004 delegate)
Gerow, Charlie [GINGRICH]
Hoffman, Eric
Gillispie, Marilyn (2008 delegate)
Roberts, Elizabeth
Zentmeyer, Deborah
Bair, Barbara
Talley, Dave [PAUL]
Parsley, Thomas
Keys, Deborah
Brown, Emily
Matthias, G
Hoang, David
Habacivch, William
Grippi, Antonio [PAUL]
Stewart, Dick (2008 delegate)
Doller, Suzanne (2008 alternate)

CD 5 (Vote for 3)

Styn, Mary
Martin, Tom
Haas, Joyce [SANTORUM]
Corman, III, Jacob [SANTORUM]
Brown, Thomas [PAUL]
Mitchell, Lee [PAUL]

CD 6 (Vote for 3)

Spadt, Jonathan
Schroder, Curt (State Rep.)
Costello, Ryan
Duffy, Philip [PAUL]
Bender, Edmund
Leban, Sean [PAUL]
Whitman, Byron [PAUL]
Kearney, Janice [UNCOMMITTED] [petition under challenge]
Gerlach, Jim [ROMNEY]

CD 7 (Vote for 4)

Cocco, Michael
Willert, Robert [ROMNEY?] {Delaware}
Grande, Joe [PAUL]
Owens, David
Lewis, Andy [ROMNEY?] {Delaware}
Sellers, Patrick [PAUL]
Booker, Patricia [ROMNEY?] {Delaware}
Puppio, Michael [ROMNEY?] {Delaware} (2008 Delegate)

CD 8 (Vote for 4)

Przybylski, Anastasia
Rosato, Ernest
Merritt, John
McCabe, Daniel
DiGirolamo, Joe {Bucks}
Serdula, Donna
Loughery, Robert {Bucks}
Puig, Ana
Dinan, Charles
Poprik, Patricia (2008 delegate) {Bucks}
Pao, David (2000 alternate)
O'Neill, Bernie (State Rep.) {Bucks}
Pepe, Rob [PAUL]

CD 9 (Vote for 3)

Burkholder, Mary
Shuster, Bill [ROMNEY]
Smith, Joan
Thomas, Bob (2008 delegate)
Epps, Meryle-Lynn
Ward, Judy
Cruder, Audra [PAUL]
Hess, Dick (State Rep.)
Geist, Richard (State Rep.)
Alloway, II, Richard [SANTORUM]
Kagarise, Wade
Campbell, Allan (1996 delegate)

CD 10 (Vote for 3)

Cipolla, Anthony [PAUL]
Harris, Mark [DISTRICT WINNER]
Sides, Carol
Price, James
Saylor, Pat (2008 delegate)
Brobson, Robert
Wilson, Aaron

CD 11 (Vote for 3)

McPherson, Randolph [GINGRICH]
Harrison, Michael [PAUL]
Etzweiler, Debra
Evans, Kathy
Urbanski, William
Ely, Donald [UNCOMMITTED]
Reichley, Evan [SANTORUM]
Haste, Jeff
Henry, Lowman
Gordner, John (State Senator)
Cusat, Jeffrey
Henry, Scott
Anderson, Michael [PAUL]
Piccola, Jeff (State Senator)
Zapach, Joseph [PAUL]

CD 12 (Vote for 4)

Laporta, Stephen
Pavlick, Jeannette
Wilson, Ann
Cooper, Jill
Majernik, David
Gleason, Jane [SANTORUM]
Fromme, Christopher [SANTORUM]
Turzai, Lidia (2008 delegate)
Borland, Larry [PAUL]
McMullen, Mike (2008 delegate)

CD 13 (Vote for 3)

Donnelly, William
McMonagle, Michael (2008 delegate)
Ellis, Thomas
Salvi, Michael [PAUL]
Yates, Brandon [PAUL]
Boyd, Edward
Barrilli, Robert
Gilber, Steven [PAUL]

CD 14 (Vote for 3)

Meloy, Mary
Wander, Josh
Roddey, James [ROMNEY]
Brajovic, Melina [PAUL]
Pfeifer, Carl
Yanovich, Jared [PAUL]
Haluszczak, Melissa

CD 15 (Vote for 3)

Apparently, there is a Gingrich slate here that is ready to vote for Rick instead.

Smith, Robert (2008 alternate)
Day, Gary (State Rep.) [petition under challenge]
Carroll, Thomas
Metrick, Michael
Simao, Antonio [petition under challenge]
Browne, Pat [SANTORUM]
Blickman, Ellen [PAUL]
McElwee, Charles
Eckhart, Glenn
Diamond, Russ [PAUL]
Piotrowski, Rich [PAUL]

CD 16 (Vote for 3)

Brubaker, Michael [DISTRICT WINNER] {Lancaster}
Walker, Robert [GINGRICH]
Sheaffer, Evgenia [PAUL]
Sheaffer, Ben [PAUL]
Womble, Ann [DISTRICT WINNER] {Lancaster}
Frick, Clifford [GINGRICH]
Miller, Rodney [UNCOMMITTED]
Gibson, Andrew [PAUL]
Dumeyer, David [DISTRICT WINNER] {Lancaster}

CD 17 (Vote for 3)

Antonello, Anthony [PAUL]
Manko, John [PAUL]
Daub, Daniel (2008 delegate)
Spano, Charlie [GINGRICH]
McAndrew Spano, Mary Rose [GINGRICH]
Kerr, Robert
Miller, Trent [PAUL]
Sterns, Gretchen
Gaetano, Rose Ann [SANTORUM]
Montero, Maria
Thomas, Scott
Dougherty, Mary Beth [GINGRICH]
Roces, Eltgad
Mezzacappa, Tricia

CD 18 (Vote for 4)

Steeber, Charles
Morreale, Steven [PAUL]
Uram, Thomas (2008 alternate)
Means, Sue
Means, Jim
Oliverio, Louis
Hatton, Meryl
Dougherty, Brian
Garsteck, James
Stopperich, Sonia
Silvis, Mary Jo (2008 delegate)
Wells, Jay
Disarro, Joseph

[Erc]

In general, the campaigns have been pretty cagey about which delegates are theirs.

The Paul camp's official policy is not to publicize their list---you have to contact them explicitly, and once they verify you're a True Believer, they'll tell you.  Part of this is, I'm sure, usual Paulista conspiracy theorists at work, but there's a good reason for it as well.  Really, they're banking on picking up delegates due to clueless voters who vote at random / the top people on the ballot; if they publicize that so-and-so is a Paul delegate, that's likely to turn off the 90% of voters who aren't Paul supporters.

That said, since the Paul camp is really active online, it's not hard to dig around and find who their delegates are.  Protip: don't organize your campaign on Facebook.


As for the other camps...you don't want to publish a list if it's not very long.  Most of the delegate candidates don't seem to be running explicitly to get someone nominated at Tampa---there are a lot of local politicians, Tea Party activists, and the like.  They may not have made up their minds, or are running as a show of strength, etc.  Presumably the campaigns are leaning on them, and may have a good idea of their leanings (as Phil said), but to say that there is a pre-existing Santorum/Romney/Gingrich "slate" is very misleading.

[Erc]

So what does a primary ballot in PA look like?

They haven't finalized the ballots for this year, but here's a sample ballot from 2008.

[Erc]

So, Phil...one thing I saw a lot while compiling the mega-list on the previous page was official endorsements of a slate of three (or four) delegates by the local GOP.  Is this done on a county-by-county basis?  Do all counties do it?  And, more to the point...are such endorsements going to be well-publicized with the full weight of the local GOP?

[Erc]

Delegate-wise, Philly proper is split between CDs 1, 2, and 13, each of which also extend outside the city (into Delaware, Montco, and Montco respectively), and each of which elect 3 delegates.

In CD 1, there are only 6 candidates on the ballot.  Two of them (Tom Boggia and Dale Kerns) are Paulistas.  Two of them are, I assume, Romney supporters, as they were endorsed by the Romney-supporting Delaware County GOP: Marion Taxin and Christopher Vogler.  Frederick Anton, CEO of the Pennsylvania Manufactures Association, served as a delegate to the 2000, 2004, and 2008 Republican National Conventions.  I don't know much about the last delegate, Michael Untermeyer.

In CD 2, there are only 5 candidates on the ballot.  Lewis Harris, Adam Lang, and Vahan Gureghian (CEO, Charter School Management Inc.) were apparently endorsed by the Philly and Montco GOPs.

In CD 13, there are 8 candidates on the ballot, of which three are Paulites.  Of the remaining, one, Michael McMonagle, was a delegate in 2008.


The basic lack of people on the ballot suggest to me that Santorum will have a hard time getting supporters elected, but I could be very wrong.

[Erc]

I would expect Santorum to do well in the T.

Very insightful.

[Erc]

Newt's slate of delegates in PA 15 are set to endorse Rick.

CD 15, or 16?  If the former, I need to figure out who they are...

[Erc]

For kicks, the actual elected delegates:

CD 1

Taxin, Marion [ROMNEY?] {Delaware/Philly} (2008 alternate)  
Vogler, Christopher [ROMNEY?] {Delaware/Philly}
Boggia, Tom [PAUL]

CD 2 (Vote for 3)

Tucker, Calvin
Harris, Lewis {Philly/Montco}
Vogler, Walter

CD 3 (Vote for 3)

English, Philip [ROMNEY]
Mustello, Michele (2004 alternate)
Metcalfe, Daryl (State Rep.)

CD 4 (Vote for 4)

Wingert, Lisa
Gerow, Charlie [GINGRICH]
Gillispie, Marilyn (2008 delegate)
Bair, Barbara

CD 5 (Vote for 3)

Martin, Tom
Haas, Joyce [SANTORUM]
Brown, Thomas [PAUL]

CD 6 (Vote for 3)

Schroder, Curt (State Rep.)
Costello, Ryan
Gerlach, Jim [ROMNEY]

CD 7 (Vote for 4)

Willert, Robert [ROMNEY?] {Delaware}
Lewis, Andy [ROMNEY?] {Delaware}
Booker, Patricia [ROMNEY?] {Delaware}
Puppio, Michael [ROMNEY?] {Delaware} (2008 Delegate)

CD 8 (Vote for 4)

DiGirolamo, Joe {Bucks}
Loughery, Robert {Bucks}
Poprik, Patricia (2008 delegate) {Bucks}
O'Neill, Bernie (State Rep.) {Bucks}

CD 9 (Vote for 3)

Shuster, Bill [ROMNEY]
Thomas, Bob (2008 delegate)
Hess, Dick (State Rep.)

CD 10 (Vote for 3)

Harris, Mark [DISTRICT WINNER: Romney]
Sides, Carol
Saylor, Pat (2008 Delegate)

CD 11 (Vote for 3)

Evans, Kathy
Haste, Jeff
Piccola, Jeff (State Senator)

CD 12 (Vote for 4)

Wilson, Ann
Cooper, Jill
Gleason, Jane [SANTORUM]
Turzai, Lidia (2008 delegate)

CD 13 (Vote for 3)

Donnelly, William
McMonagle, Michael (2008 delegate)
Ellis, Thomas

CD 14 (Vote for 3)

Meloy, Mary
Roddey, James [ROMNEY]
Haluszczak, Melissa

CD 15 (Vote for 3)

Smith, Robert (2008 alternate)
Browne, Pat [SANTORUM]
Eckhart, Glenn

CD 16 (Vote for 3)

Brubaker, Michael [DISTRICT WINNER: Romney] {Lancaster}
Walker, Robert [GINGRICH]
Womble, Ann [DISTRICT WINNER: Romney] {Lancaster}

CD 17 (Vote for 3)

Antonello, Anthony [PAUL]
Thomas, Scott
Dougherty, Mary Beth [GINGRICH]

CD 18 (Vote for 4)

Means, Sue
Dougherty, Brian
Silvis, Mary Jo (2008 delegate)
Wells, Jay