March 10 Kansas + miscellaneous islands primary/caucus **results thread** (user search)
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  March 10 Kansas + miscellaneous islands primary/caucus **results thread** (search mode)
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Author Topic: March 10 Kansas + miscellaneous islands primary/caucus **results thread**  (Read 26341 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: March 09, 2012, 06:39:33 PM »

These are the county conventions. We had the precinct caucuses already.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: March 09, 2012, 07:22:42 PM »
The Iowa county conventions are tomorrow too.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: March 10, 2012, 12:57:11 PM »
Full NMI results:

Romney 740 (87.26%)
Santorum 53 (6.25%)
Paul 28 (3.30%)
Gingrich 27 (3.18%)
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: March 10, 2012, 01:43:24 PM »
I believe voting in Kansas closes in 17 minutes.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: March 10, 2012, 01:51:24 PM »
Rumors from Twitter:

Santorum narrowly beat Paul in Riley County, has large lead in Jefferson County (53%), strong in Sedgwick County. Apparently Romney didn't even send a representative to the Wichita caucus.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: March 10, 2012, 02:13:48 PM »
First votes in from Logan County:

Santorum 49%, Gingrich 33%, Paul/Romney 9%

EDIT: Rawlins County as well: Santorum 46%, Gingrich 24%, Paul 19%, Romney 11%
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: March 10, 2012, 02:15:29 PM »
Could Romney finish fourth with Gingrich second?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: March 10, 2012, 02:17:52 PM »
3% in:

Santorum 279 (43%)
Romney 144 (22%)
Gingrich 135 (21%)
Paul 81 (13%)
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: March 10, 2012, 02:18:53 PM »
I suspect the battle for second will be more interesting than who wins.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: March 10, 2012, 02:22:17 PM »
Romney won Lane County, though it had like 40 votes. Sad
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: March 10, 2012, 02:22:55 PM »
Quote from: argentarius on March 10, 2012, 02:21:45 PM
Anyone have a 2008 county map for the caucus?

It's on this map:
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: March 10, 2012, 02:26:43 PM »
The Santorum + Gingrich vote will probably be similar to what Huckabee got in 2008. Can't expect Santorum to get the same as the only socon left in 2008.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #12 on: March 10, 2012, 02:27:55 PM »
That said, he's at 50% now with both Romney and Gingrich under 20%. That's the ideal outcome.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #13 on: March 10, 2012, 02:29:24 PM »
Up to 51% now.

EDIT: 52%
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #14 on: March 10, 2012, 02:48:41 PM »
@fivethirtyeight @FHQ: If only Santorum is over 20%, then no threshhold. Only applies if 2 are over 20% KS rules: #kscaucus
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #15 on: March 10, 2012, 02:53:45 PM »
Ideally, Gingrich would get 20.01%.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #16 on: March 10, 2012, 02:54:51 PM »
Santorum is cleaning up in eastern Kansas.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #17 on: March 10, 2012, 03:00:23 PM »
Leavenworth County came in big for Santorum.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #18 on: March 10, 2012, 03:05:14 PM »

They're waiting to see how Johnson County votes.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #19 on: March 10, 2012, 03:16:57 PM »
Santorum won 56% in Wichita. Paul 18%, Romney at 13%. Gingrich last at 12%.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #20 on: March 10, 2012, 03:21:18 PM »
Finally called for Santorum.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #21 on: March 10, 2012, 03:34:59 PM »
Santorum is really strong in the KC exurbs.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #22 on: March 10, 2012, 04:04:03 PM »
Topeka just came in:

Santorum 50%
Romney 24%
Paul 15%
Gingrich 11%
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #23 on: March 10, 2012, 04:19:47 PM »
Johnson County just came in:

Santorum 47%
Romney 30%
Gingrich/Paul 11%

Romney over 20% now.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #24 on: March 10, 2012, 04:21:50 PM »
Quote from: Lief on March 10, 2012, 04:21:36 PM
And it looks like Santorum wins all 4 districts then, right?

Yeah
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