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| | | |-+  Chicago-Tribune: Romney +4 in Illinois
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Author Topic: Chicago-Tribune: Romney +4 in Illinois  (Read 826 times)
Minstrel Show Taylor Swift
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« on: March 11, 2012, 01:38:24 am »
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http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/ct-met-illinois-poll-20120311,0,1617767.story

Romney 35%
Santorum 31%
Gingrich 12%
Paul 7%
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Emperor Scott
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« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2012, 01:39:16 am »
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Looks like something that can be easily changed with some Santorum or Gingrich victories in MS and AL.

I'd expect a completely orange map with a spot of green on the northeastern part of the state.
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redcommander
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« Reply #2 on: March 11, 2012, 01:59:36 am »
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A week of Romney Superpac ads should clinch this for Mittens.
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« Reply #3 on: March 11, 2012, 02:01:07 am »
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And Gingrich winning MS and AL on Tuesday should see him surge and eat away at Santorum. Safe Romney.
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ajb
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« Reply #4 on: March 11, 2012, 02:26:17 am »
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Clearly, Romney is either +4 in IL, or +8 in MS. He isn't both.
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« Reply #5 on: March 11, 2012, 02:28:32 am »
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Clearly, Romney is either +4 in IL, or +8 in MS. He isn't both.

Any poll showing Mitt Romney above 30% in MS or AL is bull, IMO. Those states are hard to poll and it's likely that he's over-polling in both of them at the moment.
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« Reply #6 on: March 11, 2012, 02:51:38 am »
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Database entry: http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012R/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1720120309126
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« Reply #7 on: March 11, 2012, 05:08:33 am »
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This is what I anticipate as Romney's bare minimum in Illinois. If he didn't lose Ohio or Michigan, which seem less favorable to him, he won't be losing the CHI-suburb dominated IL-GOP this year.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: March 11, 2012, 05:11:26 am »

Depends a little on the results in Missibama, but if Gingrich does well there he'll probably eat into Santorum in Illinois, which means Romney wins by 5-10% in the end.
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« Reply #9 on: March 11, 2012, 05:28:09 am »
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Chicago Tribune ?

This Chicago Tribune ?



Great news for Santorum ! Grin
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22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.

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J. J.
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« Reply #10 on: March 11, 2012, 05:46:46 am »
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Too early and it is a newspaper poll.
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J. J.

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« Reply #11 on: March 11, 2012, 06:26:06 am »
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At least it's close (for now). I guess Willard will have to spend his ass off yet again.
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J. J.
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« Reply #12 on: March 11, 2012, 06:45:59 am »
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And Gingrich winning MS and AL on Tuesday should see him surge and eat away at Santorum. Safe Romney.

Somewhat, but don't overlook MO.  It is assigning delegates before IL.
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J. J.

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- Londo Molari

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The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

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(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
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« Reply #13 on: March 11, 2012, 11:13:19 am »
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flicker of light somewhere in the cave.  now it is our job to locate it.
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ajb
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« Reply #14 on: March 11, 2012, 11:22:45 am »
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If the Democratic primary of 2008 is any guide, we may be entering a phase largely devoid of momentum for either candidate, where they each win and lose on the basis of existing demographic categories of support rather than building strength from one primary to the next.
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« Reply #15 on: March 11, 2012, 11:31:33 am »
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lol
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #16 on: March 11, 2012, 11:39:48 am »
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Taken after Tuesday but before yesterday's result? Perfect. Sadly, though, Newt is still doing his damage...
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J. J.
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« Reply #17 on: March 11, 2012, 01:37:07 pm »
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Taken after Tuesday but before yesterday's result? Perfect. Sadly, though, Newt is still doing his damage...

Gingrich may have dropped out by that point.  IL is too far out.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
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