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Author Topic: AL PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Three-way tie in Alabama  (Read 1038 times)
realisticidealist
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« on: March 11, 2012, 10:31:31 pm »
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New Poll: Alabama President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-03-11

Summary:
Romney:
31%
Gingrich:
30%
Santorum:
29%
Paul:
8%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2012, 10:32:52 pm »
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Hopefully we can get a day-by-day breakdown on this one.
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retromike22
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« Reply #2 on: March 11, 2012, 10:34:32 pm »
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Santorum's doing better than I expected here.
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« Reply #3 on: March 11, 2012, 10:34:42 pm »
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As of yesterday, they described it as a "three-way tie with maybe a slight advantage for Romney," so I'm guessing Romney probably did slightly worse tonight, but not meaningfully.
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« Reply #4 on: March 11, 2012, 10:35:03 pm »
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Damn.
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« Reply #5 on: March 11, 2012, 10:35:28 pm »
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IF Romney is doing this well here he has it done-
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J. J.
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« Reply #6 on: March 11, 2012, 10:40:08 pm »
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Whack-a-Mole may stay in his hole.  Smiley

I don't think Romney will win this, but he might run ahead or even with Santorum.  Right now, what hurts Santorum helps Romney.
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J. J.

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« Reply #7 on: March 11, 2012, 10:43:51 pm »
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At least watching the results come in on Tuesday will be fun, but Romney really needs to come in third.
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J. J.
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« Reply #8 on: March 11, 2012, 10:52:41 pm »
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Quote from: Radio, light transmission. on March 11, 2012, 10:43:51 pm
At least watching the results come in on Tuesday will be fun, but Romney really needs to come in third.

Delegate-wise, it might not make a difference.  Santorum would have to surging in MS
(and he could be).  If he isn't, Romney defeats Santorum (and possibly Gingrich) for the day.
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J. J.

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The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

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« Reply #9 on: March 11, 2012, 11:03:08 pm »
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Wow. Shocked

PPP's saying MS is close too. What's the consensus here -- does Romney have a better chance at AL or MS?  If his numbers are this good in Alabama, they'll probably be just as good in Mississippi, no?
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Lief
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« Reply #10 on: March 11, 2012, 11:05:02 pm »
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Meh, Romney is doing within the MoE of what he got in TN, SC and OK. It's just that the anti-Romney vote is evenly split here.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #11 on: March 11, 2012, 11:05:49 pm »
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I would think Romney would do better in AL than MS, but you never know.
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« Reply #12 on: March 11, 2012, 11:07:11 pm »
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Finally a good pollster for It.If Romney wins he can thank Gingrich and Santorum for spliting the
antiromney vote.But as a tie In polling It can go any way.
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J. J.
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« Reply #13 on: March 11, 2012, 11:07:32 pm »
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Quote from: Reginald on March 11, 2012, 11:03:08 pm
Wow. Shocked

PPP's saying MS is close too. What's the consensus here -- does Romney have a better chance at AL or MS?  If his numbers are this good in Alabama, they'll probably be just as good in Mississippi, no?



MS showed it close but only between Newt and Mitt, with Rick back, in other polls.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
realisticidealist
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« Reply #14 on: March 11, 2012, 11:08:34 pm »
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Quote from: J. J. on March 11, 2012, 11:07:32 pm
Quote from: Reginald on March 11, 2012, 11:03:08 pm
Wow. Shocked

PPP's saying MS is close too. What's the consensus here -- does Romney have a better chance at AL or MS?  If his numbers are this good in Alabama, they'll probably be just as good in Mississippi, no?



MS showed it close but only between Newt and Mitt, with Rick back, in other polls.

That was yesterday. Let's see what the final numbers are today.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #15 on: March 11, 2012, 11:10:52 pm »
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Quote from: realisticidealist on March 11, 2012, 11:05:49 pm
I would think Romney would do better in AL than MS, but you never know.

Yeah, I would tend to think the MS GOP electorate is slightly more conservative than the Alabama one, if anything.
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J. J.
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« Reply #16 on: March 11, 2012, 11:12:07 pm »
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Quote from: realisticidealist on March 11, 2012, 11:08:34 pm
Quote from: J. J. on March 11, 2012, 11:07:32 pm
Quote from: Reginald on March 11, 2012, 11:03:08 pm
Wow. Shocked

PPP's saying MS is close too. What's the consensus here -- does Romney have a better chance at AL or MS?  If his numbers are this good in Alabama, they'll probably be just as good in Mississippi, no?



MS showed it close but only between Newt and Mitt, with Rick back, in other polls.

That was yesterday. Let's see what the final numbers are today.

Just answering the question, not making a prediction.  I think it is probable that will increase his gap over Santorum on Tuesday.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
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« Reply #17 on: March 11, 2012, 11:12:31 pm »
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Stop using Twitter as a source!  Wait for the full poll to come out before entering it, please.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #18 on: March 11, 2012, 11:19:48 pm »
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Quote from: Assemblyman & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on March 11, 2012, 11:12:31 pm
Stop using Twitter as a source!  Wait for the full poll to come out before entering it, please.

I usually change it later.
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« Reply #19 on: March 11, 2012, 11:21:15 pm »
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Quote from: realisticidealist on March 11, 2012, 11:19:48 pm
Quote from: Assemblyman & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on March 11, 2012, 11:12:31 pm
Stop using Twitter as a source!  Wait for the full poll to come out before entering it, please.

I usually change it later.

Usually, but not always.  Just wait...  There's no harm in waiting.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #20 on: March 12, 2012, 12:41:25 am »
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Gingrich leads early voters 53-37-11 (G-R-S). Appears to be a really small percentage though. 45% of Alabama Republicans think Obama is a Muslim, 41% Unsure, 14% think Christian. 21% think interracial marriage should be illegal. 60% don't believe in evolution.
« Last Edit: March 12, 2012, 12:43:56 am by realisticidealist »Logged
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« Reply #21 on: March 12, 2012, 12:43:51 am »
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So I'm sticking with my prediction of Newt. And LOL@those crosstabs.
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« Reply #22 on: March 12, 2012, 12:45:48 am »
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Quote from: realisticidealist on March 12, 2012, 12:41:25 am
Gingrich leads early voters 53-37-11 (G-R-S). Appears to be a really small percentage though. 45% of Alabama Republicans think Obama is a Muslim, 41% Unsure, 14% think Christian. 21% think interracial marriage should be illegal. 60% don't believe in evolution.

Yeah, I'm thinking Romney won't be winning here. Also please excuse me while I go barf.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #23 on: March 12, 2012, 12:49:52 am »
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This is going to make a hell of a county map, that's for sure.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #24 on: March 12, 2012, 12:54:20 am »
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Quote
Alabama
Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

Are an Evangelical..........................................68%
Are not............................................................ 32%

Do you think Barack Obama is a Christian or a
Muslim, or are you not sure?

Christian .......................................................... 14%
Muslim............................................................ 45%
Not sure .......................................................... 41%

Do you believe in evolution, or not?

Believe in evolution ......................................... 26%
Do not ............................................................. 60%
Not sure ......................................................... 13%

Quote
Mississippi
Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

Are an Evangelical.......................................... 70%
Are not........................................................... 30%

Do you think Barack Obama is a Christian or a
Muslim, or are you not sure?

Christian .......................................................... 12%
Muslim............................................................ 52%
Not sure ......................................................... 36%

Do you believe in evolution, or not?
 
Believe in evolution ......................................... 22%
Do not ............................................................. 66%
Not sure ......................................................... 11%


Amazing
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