March 13 Results

[Alcon]

uh J.J., what urban areas in Mississippi are "still out"?  A few are underreported (the Jackson metro has gone from overreported to about parity) but I can't imagine that's enough for Romney to be anything but screwed.

[Sam Spade]

Both of these contests are over folks.

[J. J.]

pingrich is very close to santorum in MS. Could he win at the end?

Yes, so could Mittens at this point, barely.

It would be helpful to Romney if he had a meaningful lead in any place that wasn't overreported.

Barely, some of the urban areas are still out.

AL, is at 44 reporting, and Santorum is still holding.

J.J. take a lap, hit the showers and proceed straight to bed.   

Why, that's good news for Santorum supporters?  Santorum is holding, and Fox just called it for him.

[You kip if you want to...]

CNN calls AL for Rick.

[Badger]

Santorum doing well in the Gulf Coast is interesting. Maybe for once he's actually doing well among Catholics? That would make a sort of sense, since in the South Catholics are much more "the other" than in the Rust Belt. That would be a very good sign for him in Louisiana.

Yes, and some of those Catholics are well, yes, you guessed it - Coonass Cajuns. Cajuns loved being called coonasses by the way. It is a term of endearment.

There's a huge difference between rural Catholics and urban Catholics in GOP primary voting. I would suspect the main reason why Romney has done well with rust belt Catholics overall is that Catholics are more likely to live in urban areas. If you look at the Catholic counties in the rural parts (of Ohio at least and Michigan shows this somewhat too) Romney lose to Santorum pretty badly.

That's my guess anyway.

Check the results in counties like van wert, auglaize, and mercer and you have your answer.

[retromike22]

Bye Newt

Why oh why did you forget about Colorado and Minnesota?!

[Colbert]

from 63 to 70 % reporting, the lead of santorum vs newton is the same : from 1.1 to 1.2

1.3 now! after 72.7 reporting! yeesssss!!!

[Alcon]

God, Mississippi is obviously holding a "how long can we stay at 79% reporting?" contest

[Tender Branson]

"Mr. Gibbs, what do you make of these numbers tonight ?"

[NHI]

Ugh, another Santourm win, that means he'll still be around...

[Franzl]

Intrade is insane. A 1.5% chance of Gingrich winning Mississippi?

[patrick1]

pingrich is very close to santorum in MS. Could he win at the end?

Yes, so could Mittens at this point, barely.

It would be helpful to Romney if he had a meaningful lead in any place that wasn't overreported.

Barely, some of the urban areas are still out.

AL, is at 44 reporting, and Santorum is still holding.

J.J. take a lap, hit the showers and proceed straight to bed.   

Why, that's good news for Santorum supporters?  Santorum is holding, and Fox just called it for him.

Dude, stop trying to cover now bro.  You were hedging to the bitter end.  There was nothing out for Romney.

[Thomas D]

God, Mississippi is obviously holding a "how long can we stay at 79% reporting?" contest

Alabama is going to catch up to them in a few minutes

[Landslide Lyndon]

Ugh, another Santourm win, that means he'll still be around...

I told you boy. When Santorum gets out of the hole, it sticks around for a long time.

[Likely Voter]

So the AL exits were right, but were the MS exit polls wrong or are there big pockets of Romney vote to still come in (like in OH)?

[I'm JewCon in name only.]

ROLL TIDE!


Alabama joins Santorum country!

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

So the polls were a massive failure and Mitt's southern ceiling is still 28% basically. Good to know!

Looks like the inevitable nominee will get 3rd place in both. But he'll landslide American Samoa's 50 voters, and that's what really counts.

[Colbert]

only 1% of leading after 77% reporting, gnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn

[J. J.]

uh J.J., what urban areas in Mississippi are "still out"?  A few are underreported (the Jackson metro has gone from overreported to about parity) but I can't imagine that's enough for Romney to be anything but screwed.

Lauterdale, Lowndes, Washington.   Yazoo (not urban), where Santorum is running third, is about 30% in.  Jackson is 90% in.  It is an outside chance, but it is a tight race.

[Alcon]

Santorum is even leading in Huntsville now.

[RogueBeaver]

So the AL exits were right, but were the MS exit polls wrong or are there big pockets of Romney vote to still come in (like in OH)?

Turnout was too low- even in the biggest counties it was less than 15000 total.

[Franzl]

I've made quite a lot of money tonight...

[Tender Branson]

So the AL exits were right, but were the MS exit polls wrong or are there big pockets of Romney vote to still come in (like in OH)?

MS exit poll is now modified to show a Santorum win.

[BigSkyBob]

I've made quite a lot of money tonight...

Well played!

[You kip if you want to...]

Going to bed. Hope Rick carries Mississippi.

Santorum splashed across every newsanchor's lips tomorrow.