March 13 Results
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Author Topic: March 13 Results  (Read 32274 times)
Colbert
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« Reply #200 on: March 13, 2012, 08:08:53 PM »

Wolf Blitzer is the single most annoying election host ever.

Is he doing his "Guess what?" again...?

No, he's doing "We have 0.1% of the vote in and MITT ROMNEY IS 8 VOTES AHEAD. This is incredible, it doesn't get much more exciting than is. 8. Votes. Ahead."



*watch here the green laughing smiley*
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Alcon
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« Reply #201 on: March 13, 2012, 08:09:20 PM »

Romney CRASHED in the second dump of Montgomery County, Alabama, ballots.  Went from 46% to 34%.  Interestingly enough, it was Gingrich who gained, not Santorum -- 26% to 36%, while Santorum only edged up from 24% to 25%.
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Alcon
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« Reply #202 on: March 13, 2012, 08:11:33 PM »

Santorum leads in Birmingham in a close three-way race.

Second wave of Jackson County, Mississippi, ballots remarkably like the first, maybe slight Gingrich gain.
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Colbert
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« Reply #203 on: March 13, 2012, 08:12:59 PM »



ok, I was thinking more about this guy (with a very typical american face, hu?)

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HST1948
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« Reply #204 on: March 13, 2012, 08:14:09 PM »



ok, I was thinking more about this guy (with a very typical american face, hu?)



That's Anderson Cooper, I think he's very good.
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Alcon
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« Reply #205 on: March 13, 2012, 08:14:27 PM »

Romney also crashes in second-wave Hattiesburg, Mississippi, ballots, from 37% to 27%.

Gingrich up from 28% to 36%.

Santorum up from 25% to 32%.

Starting to notice a bit of a pattern here about early votes.
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patrick1
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« Reply #206 on: March 13, 2012, 08:15:21 PM »

Needs more John King, please.
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Thomas D
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« Reply #207 on: March 13, 2012, 08:16:49 PM »


Just have him, Andy and David Gurgen. It'd be a much better show.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #208 on: March 13, 2012, 08:17:08 PM »

Romney now 3rd in both states.

Hope it stays that way, even if it ruins my predictions.
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Alcon
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« Reply #209 on: March 13, 2012, 08:17:31 PM »

Santorum has a good dump and takes the lead in Gulfport-Biloxi, with Romney barely leading Gingrich.

Romney is, on average, not holding up very well in second-wave ballots.  It's nothing like South Carolina, but it's different than Ohio (where the effect barely materialized.)

Not looking fantastic for Romney, but keep your eye on Huntsville and DeSoto County, MS, as well as the other index counties.
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King
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« Reply #210 on: March 13, 2012, 08:18:03 PM »

The way Mitt relies on early voting and urban areas and struggles in the South, you'd think he was a Democrat.
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muon2
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« Reply #211 on: March 13, 2012, 08:18:19 PM »

Romney also crashes in second-wave Hattiesburg, Mississippi, ballots, from 37% to 27%.

Gingrich up from 28% to 36%.

Santorum up from 25% to 32%.

Starting to notice a bit of a pattern here about early votes.

It makes some sense that those voters who are thinking in advance about the election tilt more towards Romney. The election day voters will have more gut voters than the early voter pool.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #212 on: March 13, 2012, 08:21:48 PM »

Romney now 3rd in both states.

Hope it stays that way, even if it ruins my predictions.
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Torie
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« Reply #213 on: March 13, 2012, 08:21:58 PM »

Santorum leads in Birmingham in a close three-way race.

Second wave of Jackson County, Mississippi, ballots remarkably like the first, maybe slight Gingrich gain.

If there were a significant demographic divide, which there may not be down here contrary to almost everywhere else so far, Shelby is where the Mittens vote is, more than Jefferson. And nothing from Huntsville and the Gulf Coast in Alabama. Mittens is also leading in Montgomery.

It is all way too early to base much on the raw votes, rather than the exit polls, of course.
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J. J.
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« Reply #214 on: March 13, 2012, 08:23:04 PM »

MS @ 20, S 34, G 31, R, 29
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Alcon
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« Reply #215 on: March 13, 2012, 08:23:32 PM »

Early vote-to-Election Day change has been especially nasty for Romney in the counties around Huntsville.

There are definitely key areas out that could be Romneyslides that it's unreasonable to discount any of the three candidates in either state at this point.

Biloxi-Gulfport flips based on one or two good-Romney precincts.  Not a meaningful dump there
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HST1948
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« Reply #216 on: March 13, 2012, 08:24:07 PM »

Why is Alabama so slow, I though Mississippi  was supposed to be the slow state?
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J. J.
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« Reply #217 on: March 13, 2012, 08:24:54 PM »

CNN MS, low turnout.
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Alcon
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« Reply #218 on: March 13, 2012, 08:25:39 PM »

Romney has been holding up well in subsequent Montgomery dumps.
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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #219 on: March 13, 2012, 08:25:49 PM »

What time are we all expecting a call?
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Torie
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« Reply #220 on: March 13, 2012, 08:26:05 PM »

Early vote-to-Election Day change has been especially nasty for Romney in the counties around Huntsville.

There are definitely key areas out that could be Romneyslides that it's unreasonable to discount any of the three candidates in either state at this point.

Biloxi-Gulfport flips based on one or two good-Romney precincts.  Not a meaningful dump there

The areas around Huntsville, but outside Madison County, are demographic hell for Mittens. But again, how much will demographics matter this time?
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Alcon
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« Reply #221 on: March 13, 2012, 08:26:21 PM »

Huntsville starting to come in.  Virtual Romney-Santorum tie so far.  Disappointing result, I think.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #222 on: March 13, 2012, 08:27:00 PM »


In 3 hours ?
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J. J.
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« Reply #223 on: March 13, 2012, 08:27:25 PM »

MS @ 31, S 33, G 31, R 30.  CLOSE
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Alcon
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« Reply #224 on: March 13, 2012, 08:27:55 PM »

Santorum solidly leads DeSoto County, MS.  Ouch for Romney.

It looks like the income effect may be muted in the South some.  Maybe it's because the rich folk in the Deep South are more religious than the poor folk?
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