Missouri caucuses won't include a straw poll (user search)
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  Missouri caucuses won't include a straw poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: Missouri caucuses won't include a straw poll  (Read 14694 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: March 14, 2012, 05:44:27 AM »

Confirmed in this news story:

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/missouri-s-gop-caucuses-are-coming-ready-or-not/article_b6ccc860-d87f-559a-8669-4c428af512a5.html

The caucus (held in most counties this coming Saturday, but one county already caucused last night) will just select delegates, and not involve any straw poll, so there'll be no real results to report this Saturday.  It'll be like the Hawaii caucus in 2008:

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So yeah, presumably we'll get some kind of reports of which campaigns were more successful in getting their delegates elected, but there are no real "results" to report.  Just some names of delegates who may or may not have made any promises about which presidential candidate they're voting for.

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Despite this, all of the candidates except Gingrich have had or will have a campaign event in Missouri this week, to rally the troops.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2012, 06:18:01 AM »

Intrade just paused betting on their Missouri caucus betting market, apparently just realizing that there's no way to determine a winner.  Lol.  It's like when they had a betting market for 3rd place in Virginia, even though there were only two names on the ballot.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2012, 03:04:49 PM »


Why is it either?

Santorum basically has two chances to start the reversal.  Romney has to stop him.

Huh? As a political nerd, I just wanted something to watch on Saturday.

Well, you'll want to watch if Mittens both wins and breaks 50%.  That will trigger WTA.

What?
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
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« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2012, 03:21:06 PM »


Why is it either?

Santorum basically has two chances to start the reversal.  Romney has to stop him.

Huh? As a political nerd, I just wanted something to watch on Saturday.

Well, you'll want to watch if Mittens both wins and breaks 50%.  That will trigger WTA.

What?


In PR, on Sunday.

Eraserhead said "I just wanted something to watch on Saturday."
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