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big bad fab
filliatre
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Ukraine


« on: September 19, 2012, 09:04:41 AM »

So Xi hasn't been killed or sidelined...

Is this only another proof of Chian regime's lack of transparency ?
Or was this an attempt to counter-attack from conservatives/maoists after Bo Xilai's fall ?

I mus say that, while Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao were said to be "reformers", they were disappointing (especially Hu).
This time round, I feel that there may be some reformist changes and not only from the PM (it's almost a tradition now to have a "reformist-liberal" PM: Zhao Ziyang, Zhu Rongji, Wen Jiabao, Li Keqiang probably), but also from the Nr.1.

And with the end of Zhou Yongkang and the likely promoting of Wang Yang, Wang Qishan and Meng Jianzhu (a more moderate security man), maybe it's time to be mildly optimistic about Chian politics.
The problem seems to lie in the army, currently...
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big bad fab
filliatre
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Posts: 13,344
Ukraine


« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2012, 05:39:44 PM »

What I can't understand in these speculations, now widely spread, is that who will be in charge of Security matters.
Or they don't want a military or police guy in the Standing Committee ? Weird.
Or Xi will be in charge himself ? Or Liu Yunshan ?
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big bad fab
filliatre
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Posts: 13,344
Ukraine


« Reply #2 on: November 15, 2012, 06:22:36 PM »

What is also surprising is that, with only 7 members and all with the same age and similar careers, we don't have any clue on who is supposed to be part of the "next generation" of leaders.
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big bad fab
filliatre
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*****
Posts: 13,344
Ukraine


« Reply #3 on: November 16, 2012, 05:08:04 PM »

What is also surprising is that, with only 7 members and all with the same age and similar careers, we don't have any clue on who is supposed to be part of the "next generation" of leaders.

Not certain, but there may be a new age limit of 67 years for Politburo Standing Committee members. This means in 2017, all but Xi and Li would be required to step aside. Hopefully by then Jiang or his ghost won't be able to stack the new Politburo with his cronies again.

There's speculation that current Inner Mongolia Party Chief and Hu Jintao protege (no relation) Hu Chunhua would be in a good position to be the sixth PRC leader. We've just witnessed the second non-violent transfer of power in China in the past century. Since Deng Xiaoping decided Hu Jintao would succeed Jiang Zemin, this is also the first transfer of power without Deng Xiaoping's involvement.

Yeah, Hu Chunhua, for something like 2 years now. Praise all the stupid Westerners with their smartphones for this Tongue After all, the rare earths have made this region richer and richer...

You're right, we'll see in 2017 who is scheduled to take the lead in 2022.

OMG, I've just realized that our French presidential election is now on the same years as "transitions of power" in PRC. Cheesy
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