Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 24, 2017, 10:38:03 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results
| | |-+  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Torie)
| | | |-+  Did Obama win black Republicans?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: Did Obama win black Republicans?  (Read 5078 times)
Nichlemn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1869


View Profile
« on: March 16, 2012, 06:19:33 pm »
Ignore

And what percentage of the vote did he get? Exit polls don't show it as far as I'm aware.
Logged

tpfkaw
wormyguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9149
Liechtenstein


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2012, 06:48:12 pm »
Ignore

According to CNN, Bush won 11% of the black vote in '04, and McCain won 4% of the black vote in '08.  It can therefore be deduced that Obama probably won most black Republicans.
Logged
Nichlemn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1869


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2012, 06:55:33 pm »
Ignore

According to CNN, Bush won 11% of the black vote in '04, and McCain won 4% of the black vote in '08.  It can therefore be deduced that Obama probably won most black Republicans.

It's plausible that many of Obama's improved numbers came from turning out a lot more Democratic and Independent blacks, along with ratcheting up even larger margins among them.

But in any case, I'm intrigued as to how black Republicans vote in any elections.
Logged

Bacon! 🔥
Bacon King
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17929
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: March 16, 2012, 07:17:01 pm »
Ignore

Anecdotally, the three black Republicans I know all voted for McCain.
Logged

Gustaf
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28396


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: March 16, 2012, 08:22:16 pm »
Ignore

I'd imagine that the small minority of Blacks who are registered Republicans would be quite firm in their Republicanism and that Obama's increased voter share came from larger turnout rather than swinging that group.
Logged

This place really has become a cesspool of degenerate whores...

Economic score: +0.9
Social score: -2.61

In MN for fantasy stuff, member of the most recently dissolved centrist party.
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 33581
United States


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: March 16, 2012, 08:23:32 pm »
Ignore

But in any case, I'm intrigued as to how black Republicans vote in any elections.

I want to know how they've voted in the 2012 primaries:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=142445.0
Logged

My magnum opus is now complete.  Read the complete "The Adventures of Hobo Orgy Guy & Blondie" (now in paperback).

Watch Dave being briefed by the mods.

Being a moderator is basically like one giant party.  Except you're the one ruining the party and everyone hates you.
minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58547
India


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2012, 07:42:07 am »
Ignore

Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways - the military officer corps? Blacks living in affluent lilywhite affluent suburbs? Obama did unusually well in the military in 2008. And in certain affluent suburbs too...
Logged

If I'm shown as having been active here recently it's either because I've been using the gallery, because I've been using the search engine looking up something from way back, or because I've been reading the most excellent UK by-elections thread again.
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 61396
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2012, 07:47:34 am »
Ignore

Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways

Has anyone ever looked into that?
Logged



#woke O'Malley 2020
Cathcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19657
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2012, 08:18:25 am »
Ignore

There was some black dude at a flea market who said he voted for Clinton, but that's about it. I'm not in the habit of asking "black folk" how they vote.
Logged

"There is only one superpower in the world: Love."
-Martin O'Malley
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6605
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: March 17, 2012, 09:51:11 am »
Ignore

Herman Cain's wife voted for Obama, IIRC. And JC Watts said he might vote for Obama in 2008.

 not being racist or annoying... is there any black, republican or democrat, in this forum?
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
#woke O'Malley 2020
Cathcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19657
United States


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: March 17, 2012, 10:36:14 am »
Ignore

Herman Cain's wife voted for Obama, IIRC. And JC Watts said he might vote for Obama in 2008.

 not being racist or annoying... is there any black, republican or democrat, in this forum?

Simfan34, former Huntsman supporter, (R-NJ).
Logged

"There is only one superpower in the world: Love."
-Martin O'Malley
I'm JewCon in name only.
Klecly
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 919
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.61, S: 6.52

View Profile
« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2012, 10:54:07 am »
Ignore

J.C. Watts did consider Obama, but I believe he voted McCain.


I kinda wish I knew J.C. in real life, I feel like we'd agree on a lot.

I honestly think Obama won like 45%-50% of Black repubs. I actually know 3 black teenage republicans in my school.
Logged

Bacon! 🔥
Bacon King
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17929
United States


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: March 17, 2012, 01:59:36 pm »
Ignore

Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways - the military officer corps? Blacks living in affluent lilywhite affluent suburbs? Obama did unusually well in the military in 2008. And in certain affluent suburbs too...

In my experience:
-US Military NCO's
-business owners
-financial sector employees

edit: and, in the south anyway, they tend to live on the "white side" of town in mixed-race communities.
« Last Edit: March 17, 2012, 02:11:45 pm by Bacon King, VP »Logged

Solitude Without a Window
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 45869
United States


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: March 17, 2012, 02:43:59 pm »
Ignore

If we know the percentages of party affiliations and the percentages of the 2008 vote, it's easy to do some estimates.
Logged

Our numbers are dwindling. Our words are confused.
Some of them have been twisted by the enemy
until they can no longer be recognized.

Now what is wrong, or false, in what we have said?
Just some parts, or everything?
On whom can we still rely? Are we survivors, cast
away by the current? Will we be left behind,
no longer understanding anyone and being understood by no one?
Must we rely on luck?

This is what you ask. Expect
no answer but your own.


Bertolt Brecht
tpfkaw
wormyguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9149
Liechtenstein


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: March 17, 2012, 02:50:43 pm »
Ignore

Immigrants (from Africa) tend to be much more Republican than native-born blacks as well.
Logged
Nhoj
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6119
United States


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: April 01, 2012, 08:24:17 pm »
Ignore

Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways
Cable news networks.
Logged

آزادی برای ایران


PR
Progressive Realist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7569
United States


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: April 07, 2012, 11:59:58 am »
Ignore

Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways
Cable news networks.

Or the RNC.
Logged
Justice Jbrase
Jbrase
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6356
United States


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: May 08, 2012, 02:47:40 pm »
Ignore

Who knows? Where are Black Republicans concentrated, anyways
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chester,_Pennsylvania
Logged
ag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12346


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: May 08, 2012, 04:37:07 pm »
Ignore


Pretty sure Obama won those.
Logged

This is the year which people will talk about
This is the year which people will be silent about.
The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
The sky hurls down no rain, only iron.

Bertolt Brecht
Justice Jbrase
Jbrase
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6356
United States


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: May 08, 2012, 05:01:20 pm »
Ignore

I have no doubt he won them, but that is a concentration of African Americans who appear to vote Republican locally.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines