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Author Topic: Puerto Rico-Republican Primary  (Read 5644 times)
Matthew
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« on: March 17, 2012, 10:44:18 pm »
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Well, tomarrow is the Puerto Rico Primary. We will discuse the results...

I'll guess it will go something like this...
Romney 46%
Santorum 27%
Paul 20%
Newt Gingrich 7%

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/PR-R

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/scorecard/statebystate/r

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/pr
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redcommander
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« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2012, 10:45:38 pm »
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Santorum seems likes he has an excellent chance of finishing third with his recent gaffes.
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J. J.
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« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2012, 10:51:03 pm »
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Romney wins, but does he get a above 50%?  That will be the key.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2012, 10:55:13 pm »
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Santorum seems likes he has an excellent chance of finishing third with his recent gaffes.

Behind who?
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redcommander
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« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2012, 10:55:26 pm »
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Romney wins, but does he get a above 50%?  That will be the key.

Doesn't matter. His enemies will say it isn't good enough because it wasn't over 60%.
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redcommander
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« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2012, 10:55:47 pm »
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Santorum seems likes he has an excellent chance of finishing third with his recent gaffes.

Behind who?

RAWN Paul
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J. J.
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« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2012, 11:25:22 pm »
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Romney wins, but does he get a above 50%?  That will be the key.

Doesn't matter. His enemies will say it isn't good enough because it wasn't over 60%.

It is a difference of possibly 10 delegates.  Smiley
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: March 18, 2012, 01:42:21 am »
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Final Prediction:

Romney 61%
Santorum 19%
Paul 15%
Gingrich 5%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: March 18, 2012, 02:48:16 am »
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Looks like polls close at 5pm Eastern time:

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G12/closing.phtml?format=pc
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« Reply #9 on: March 18, 2012, 02:52:43 am »
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Too bad that there presumably won't be an exit poll.  It would have been interesting to see the demographic breakdown here.
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Watch Dave being briefed by the mods.

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« Reply #10 on: March 18, 2012, 05:58:53 am »
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I'll guess it will go something like this...
Romney 46%
Santorum 27%
Paul 20%
Newt Gingrich 7%
Final Prediction:

Romney 61%
Santorum 19%
Paul 15%
Gingrich 5%

Why such low predictions for Gingrich?
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #11 on: March 18, 2012, 06:43:14 am »
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My prediction:

Romney 46%
Santorum 33%
Paul 15%
Gingrich 6%
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NHI
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« Reply #12 on: March 18, 2012, 09:50:14 am »
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Romney: 50%
Santorum: 27%
Paul: 15%
Gingrich: 7%
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #13 on: March 18, 2012, 12:05:09 pm »
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Dog on Car- 53
Not safe to Google- 26
Lucky Charms Leprechaun- 12
President of the Moon- 9

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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #14 on: March 18, 2012, 12:37:14 pm »
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Has there been any polling whatsoever?

Either way, I'll guess:

Romney - 54%
Santorum - 25%
Paul - 14%
Gingrich - 7%
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Smash255
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« Reply #15 on: March 18, 2012, 01:40:41 pm »
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Looks like polls close at 5pm Eastern time:

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G12/closing.phtml?format=pc


Same site, different page, different time

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/PR-R


Romney 47%
Santorum 34%
Paul 12%
Newt 7%
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IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #16 on: March 18, 2012, 02:21:10 pm »
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People, you do know this is the republican party, and that the republican party is very much in favor of statehood...
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #17 on: March 18, 2012, 02:22:55 pm »
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Really? It would probably not be in their best interests for the national party; given how Puerto Ricans in the states vote, PR would bring in 2 Democratic Senators and at least 4-5 Democratic Representatives, not to mention 8 electoral votes for the Democrats.
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Badger
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« Reply #18 on: March 18, 2012, 02:28:56 pm »
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Really? It would probably not be in their best interests for the national party; given how Puerto Ricans in the states vote, PR would bring in 2 Democratic Senators and at least 4-5 Democratic Representatives, not to mention 8 electoral votes for the Democrats.

True dis. The gop has a relatively strong local party equivilent that can win on parocial island issues, but when national issues take hold post-statehood....
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« Reply #19 on: March 18, 2012, 02:33:38 pm »
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The PNP-Republican link is far from close, and some penepistas would consider it a mortal insult to be called a Republican. (While others are Republicans.) The PNP would probably fracture if forced into the US political system after statehood.
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« Reply #20 on: March 18, 2012, 02:35:24 pm »
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Romney wins, but does he get a above 50%?  That will be the key.

Doesn't matter. His enemies will say it isn't good enough because it wasn't over 60%.

It is a difference of possibly 10 delegates.  Smiley
True dis.
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IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #21 on: March 18, 2012, 02:36:59 pm »
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Quote
Really? It would probably not be in their best interests for the national party; given how Puerto Ricans in the states vote, PR would bring in 2 Democratic Senators and at least 4-5 Democratic Representatives, not to mention 8 electoral votes for the Democrats.

The Democrats are the folks that are supportive of remaining a territory - all the benefits, none of the costs.
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"By not voting, you would let someone win who wants to destroy the regions, raise taxes, remove guns from the street, nationalize transit, expand abortion coverage, a gut the military." - Hagrid
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #22 on: March 18, 2012, 02:52:20 pm »
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I think Romney will get above 50%.
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Smash255
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« Reply #23 on: March 18, 2012, 03:04:02 pm »
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Polls just closed.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #24 on: March 18, 2012, 03:20:47 pm »
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First votes:
Romney 52 (87%)
Santorum 7 (12%)
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