Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 23, 2014, 10:09:41 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Possible scenario in the 2014 NY race?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: Possible scenario in the 2014 NY race?  (Read 1424 times)
wormyguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8559
Liechtenstein


Political Matrix
E: 4.52, S: -1.57

View Profile
« on: March 18, 2012, 08:07:37 pm »
Ignore

So apparently Cuomo has a higher approval rating among Republicans and conservatives than Democrats and liberals.  What if Cuomo loses the Democratic primary to a more liberal challenger, but wins the Independence Party line and decides to run with it?  Could a 3-way race develop?
Logged
ag
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6372


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2012, 12:39:19 am »
Ignore

Cuomo will not loose the Dem line, period. Which other lines he'd run on, is another matter.
Logged
Ray Goldfield
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 944


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: March 27, 2012, 12:40:20 pm »
Ignore

NY Dems are not suicidal. But if it happened, there's no strong Republican challenger. Running as an independent, he would beat the Republican and Democratic nominees with something like 55% in a three-way race.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15597
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 4.52

View Profile
« Reply #3 on: April 01, 2012, 04:47:04 am »
Ignore

I thought liberals really like Eric Schneiderman. Maybe he could primary Cuomo from the left in that scenario.
Logged


RodPresident
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 859
Brazil


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -3.30

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: April 01, 2012, 09:38:58 pm »
Ignore

A good way to destroy Cuomo's presidential ambitions for Democratic Party.
Logged


Fidelix 28
ag
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6372


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: April 02, 2012, 12:36:12 am »
Ignore

For Cuomo to loose that primary, he'd have to be discovered in a bed w/ a dead boy - neither the dead girl, nor the live boy would do it.
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5372
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: April 02, 2012, 04:22:59 am »
Ignore

I say it's a chance. They'd be insane to do it though.
Logged
wormyguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8559
Liechtenstein


Political Matrix
E: 4.52, S: -1.57

View Profile
« Reply #7 on: April 02, 2012, 09:12:05 am »
Ignore

I don't think it's that unrealistic, given that liberals are already lukewarm on him.  If his approvals drop 20 points or so (below the average decline for recent NY Dems...), I could easily see him losing the primary.

What would be interesting is who would get the WFP line in this scenario.  I assume whoever loses it would attempt to resurrect the Liberal Party line.
Logged
ag
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6372


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: April 02, 2012, 07:07:31 pm »
Ignore

Why would any reasonable NY Dem primary Cuomo? He is a very successful incumbent w/ real achievements on his party side (did anyone say "gay marriage"?) - and he is not really hated, just, may be, slightly annoying to some. Even to mount a serious challenge would be extremely costly. And to do this merely to run a serious risk of electing a Republican in a race that should be safe Dem? What's, exactly, the point?
Logged
wormyguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8559
Liechtenstein


Political Matrix
E: 4.52, S: -1.57

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: April 02, 2012, 08:32:57 pm »
Ignore

The point would be narcissism, as motivates every office-seeker.  It's not like there's a deficit of it in the state of New York.
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5372
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: April 02, 2012, 08:59:53 pm »
Ignore

I can see Cuomo losing the WFP line.
Logged
ag
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6372


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: April 02, 2012, 11:58:36 pm »
Ignore

The point would be narcissism, as motivates every office-seeker.  It's not like there's a deficit of it in the state of New York.

It would have to be narcissism in combination w/ idiocy and complete lack of political judgement. Dismissing such a distinguished challenge shouldn't be hard.
Logged
bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13745
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

View Profile
« Reply #12 on: April 03, 2012, 01:31:53 am »
Ignore

Didn't Cuomo himself get bitch-slapped when he tried running for Governor before his turn?
Logged

tweed
Miamiu1027
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 35667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.52, S: -8.00

View Profile
« Reply #13 on: April 07, 2012, 11:58:22 am »
Ignore

Why would any reasonable NY Dem primary Cuomo? He is a very successful incumbent w/ real achievements on his party side (did anyone say "gay marriage"?) - and he is not really hated, just, may be, slightly annoying to some. Even to mount a serious challenge would be extremely costly. And to do this merely to run a serious risk of electing a Republican in a race that should be safe Dem? What's, exactly, the point?

he is certainly hated by education unions and elements of the activist-progressive infrastructure.  however they will not stand in his way.
Logged

in a mirror, dimly lit
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31901


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: April 17, 2012, 01:00:18 am »
Ignore

While I'm no Cuomo fan, he'd win. The best the Democrats could hope for is the results to match the 2006 CT Senate race.
Logged
Napoleon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15426


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: April 20, 2012, 11:37:00 am »
Ignore

Not going to happen, though Cuomo's Nixon-esque sensitivity to criticism would make a serious primary challenge a good show.

He's Italian, not insane...
Logged

When I was in the third grade, I thought that I was Jewish
Because I could count, my nose was big, and I kept my bank account fullish
I told my mom, tears blurring my vision
He said, "Mort, you've loved God since before circumcision"
Erc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4685
Slovenia


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: April 23, 2012, 02:58:28 pm »
Ignore

While I'm no Cuomo fan, he'd win. The best the Democrats could hope for is the results to match the 2006 CT Senate race.

New York Republicans also hate Cuomo; he's no Joe Lieberman.  Even in this crazy scenario, generic R still has a 25% floor.
Logged
hopper
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1424


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: April 23, 2012, 04:11:32 pm »
Ignore

Coumo is doing a good job. Don't hate on him. He is doing all the right things. Replacing the state's flat income tax with a progressive income tax maybe a catch 22 though.
Logged
Smash255
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14378


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: April 23, 2012, 10:37:30 pm »
Ignore

His approval with Dems is basically double if not triple what Lieberman had, its not even remotely in the same ballpark....
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines