Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 07, 2016, 11:13:46 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections
| | |-+  Illinois Primary Results
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 3 4 5 6 7 [8] 9 10 11 Print
Author Topic: Illinois Primary Results  (Read 11936 times)
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34471
Samoa


View Profile
« Reply #175 on: March 20, 2012, 08:38:40 pm »
Ignore

Despite all that purple, other than the 15th, no other of the 5 CD's in play can be projected yet, at least by me. I don't have a clue. If St. Clair goes purple, then Rick will have secured his second CD. Rockford is turning into a Mittens bastion that he may well need to nail down one of the 4 CD's in play.





other than 14, 17, 18 which is your other CD in play? If it's 12 it doesn't look in play.

Answer to my question - CD 16? Though no matter what, Romney will get at least one delegate there.

So I don't  have to look up numbers, and I know IL-13 isn't in play, Carbondale, Moline, Rockford and Quincy, whatever those numbers are.

Logged

Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34471
Samoa


View Profile
« Reply #176 on: March 20, 2012, 08:44:03 pm »
Ignore

Mittens is romping in Decautur (yes it is in the failure for Rick to file Ill-13), which is a blow to Rick. As Decatur and Rockford goes, so goes Moline/Rock Island?


« Last Edit: March 20, 2012, 08:48:31 pm by Torie »Logged

Colbert
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 426
France


View Profile
« Reply #177 on: March 20, 2012, 08:44:44 pm »
Ignore

listening santorum. I'm far for being agree with all his ideas, but this guy seems true-hearted/sincere/unfeigned

(sorry, google traduct propose me a thousand of words)
Logged
Wiz in Wis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2001


View Profile WWW
« Reply #178 on: March 20, 2012, 08:45:29 pm »
Ignore

I'm getting a real "William Wallace in a sweatervest" vibe out of Santorum.
Logged
muon2
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11954


View Profile
« Reply #179 on: March 20, 2012, 08:46:08 pm »
Ignore



So I don't  have to look up numbers, and I know IL-13 isn't in play, Carbondale, Moline, Rockford and Quincy, whatever those numbers are.



That would be 12, 17, 16, and 18 corresponding to the cities in your list.
Logged

Colbert
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 426
France


View Profile
« Reply #180 on: March 20, 2012, 08:49:51 pm »
Ignore

I'm getting a real "William Wallace in a sweatervest" vibe out of Santorum.


really ? even if you are a massa democrat?
Logged
Colbert
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 426
France


View Profile
« Reply #181 on: March 20, 2012, 08:50:14 pm »
Ignore

My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points.  It might be close to a majority.

I bet few less than 15


I win !
Logged
1945>1488
Nathan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17956


View Profile
« Reply #182 on: March 20, 2012, 08:52:07 pm »
Ignore

Where do they FIND these people?
Logged



A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights.

Yeah that's right, I said Siam. Why don't you go tell Pedro Martinez about it.
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14683
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

View Profile
« Reply #183 on: March 20, 2012, 08:52:48 pm »
Ignore

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)
Logged

Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 47%/Economic 37%] / Defense 'Hawk'
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34471
Samoa


View Profile
« Reply #184 on: March 20, 2012, 08:53:32 pm »
Ignore

I think Mittens has the Rockford CD, and has lost the Carbondale CD (4% in, and Mittens losing St. Clair), so Rick has two CD's, with two still in play - the Quincy and Moline CD's. Franzl lives in a Rick CD, as he assumed. He was right. Anvi lives there too. Smiley
Logged

J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32096
United States


View Profile
« Reply #185 on: March 20, 2012, 08:53:59 pm »
Ignore

My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points.  It might be close to a majority.

I bet few less than 15


I win !

Maybe not.  He started up again.  
Logged

J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40515
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #186 on: March 20, 2012, 08:54:54 pm »
Ignore

BREAKING NEWS: Sarah Maria Santorum is only 14 years old, Atlas Forum full of pedophiles.
Logged

jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6465
United States


View Profile
« Reply #187 on: March 20, 2012, 08:55:37 pm »
Ignore

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34471
Samoa


View Profile
« Reply #188 on: March 20, 2012, 08:55:49 pm »
Ignore

Off for my repast for 30 minutes. I leave it to Muon2 to project the remaining two CD's in my absence. I know he can do it! Smiley
Logged

Colbert
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 426
France


View Profile
« Reply #189 on: March 20, 2012, 08:56:19 pm »
Ignore

My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points.  It might be close to a majority.

I bet few less than 15


I win !

Maybe not.  He started up again.  


If you win, I pay you airplaine travel to Paris


and if I win? What would I have? Wink
Logged
xavier110
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1016
United States


P P
View Profile
« Reply #190 on: March 20, 2012, 08:57:06 pm »
Ignore

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?

Uhhh nearly 90% of Cook is in
Logged
ag
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11790


View Profile
« Reply #191 on: March 20, 2012, 08:57:45 pm »
Ignore

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?

85% of Cook is in.
Logged
Andrea Beaumont
ShadowOfTheWave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3628
United States


View Profile
« Reply #192 on: March 20, 2012, 08:59:04 pm »
Ignore

What about DuPage?
Logged
netzero19
Rookie
*
Posts: 33


View Profile
« Reply #193 on: March 20, 2012, 08:59:23 pm »
Ignore

Dupage only has 1 precinct in.
Logged
muon2
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11954


View Profile
« Reply #194 on: March 20, 2012, 09:02:33 pm »
Ignore

I think Mittens has the Rockford CD, and has lost the Carbondale CD (4% in, and Mittens losing St. Clair), so Rick has two CD's, with two still in play - the Quincy and Moline CD's. Franzl lives in a Rick CD, as he assumed. He was right. Anvi lives there too. Smiley

CD 12 (Carbondale): Santorum 3
CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could flip to a 1-2 split, or remotely a 3-0 split.
CD 17 (Moline): Santorum 3
CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 or 4-0.
Logged

Colbert
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 426
France


View Profile
« Reply #195 on: March 20, 2012, 09:03:26 pm »
Ignore

interesting map :

Logged
muon2
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11954


View Profile
« Reply #196 on: March 20, 2012, 09:03:51 pm »
Ignore

Dupage only has 1 precinct in.

I see 220 precincts in in DuPage on the county website.
Logged

netzero19
Rookie
*
Posts: 33


View Profile
« Reply #197 on: March 20, 2012, 09:05:31 pm »
Ignore

Dupage only has 1 precinct in.

I see 220 precincts in in DuPage on the county website.

I see it there. I wonder why Google maps isn't updating it.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14683
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

View Profile
« Reply #198 on: March 20, 2012, 09:06:33 pm »
Ignore

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?

I've re-checked and get Romney 46 - Santorum 35. That's going by how male & female voters split

Men (52%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.52 = 23.92); Santorum 34% (0.34 x 0.52 = 17.68)
Women (48%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.48 = 22.08); Santorum 37% (0.37 x 0.48 = 17.76)

Total: Romney 46; Santorum 35.44
Logged

Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 47%/Economic 37%] / Defense 'Hawk'
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6465
United States


View Profile
« Reply #199 on: March 20, 2012, 09:10:18 pm »
Ignore

Well, ag pointed out that the current results does include a significant count from Cook.  If that is the case then for sure 48-35 might be too opstimistic for Romney.

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?

I've re-checked and get Romney 46 - Santorum 35. That's going by how male & female voters split

Men (52%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.52 = 23.92); Santorum 34% (0.34 x 0.52 = 17.68)
Women (48%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.48 = 22.08); Santorum 37% (0.37 x 0.48 = 17.76)

Total: Romney 46; Santorum 35.44
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
Pages: 1 ... 3 4 5 6 7 [8] 9 10 11 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines