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Author Topic: Illinois Primary Results  (Read 14414 times)
Torie
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« Reply #175 on: March 20, 2012, 08:38:40 pm »
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Despite all that purple, other than the 15th, no other of the 5 CD's in play can be projected yet, at least by me. I don't have a clue. If St. Clair goes purple, then Rick will have secured his second CD. Rockford is turning into a Mittens bastion that he may well need to nail down one of the 4 CD's in play.





other than 14, 17, 18 which is your other CD in play? If it's 12 it doesn't look in play.

Answer to my question - CD 16? Though no matter what, Romney will get at least one delegate there.

So I don't  have to look up numbers, and I know IL-13 isn't in play, Carbondale, Moline, Rockford and Quincy, whatever those numbers are.

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Torie
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« Reply #176 on: March 20, 2012, 08:44:03 pm »
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Mittens is romping in Decautur (yes it is in the failure for Rick to file Ill-13), which is a blow to Rick. As Decatur and Rockford goes, so goes Moline/Rock Island?


« Last Edit: March 20, 2012, 08:48:31 pm by Torie »Logged
Colbert
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« Reply #177 on: March 20, 2012, 08:44:44 pm »
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listening santorum. I'm far for being agree with all his ideas, but this guy seems true-hearted/sincere/unfeigned

(sorry, google traduct propose me a thousand of words)
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« Reply #178 on: March 20, 2012, 08:45:29 pm »
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I'm getting a real "William Wallace in a sweatervest" vibe out of Santorum.
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muon2
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« Reply #179 on: March 20, 2012, 08:46:08 pm »
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So I don't  have to look up numbers, and I know IL-13 isn't in play, Carbondale, Moline, Rockford and Quincy, whatever those numbers are.



That would be 12, 17, 16, and 18 corresponding to the cities in your list.
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« Reply #180 on: March 20, 2012, 08:49:51 pm »
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I'm getting a real "William Wallace in a sweatervest" vibe out of Santorum.


really ? even if you are a massa democrat?
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Colbert
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« Reply #181 on: March 20, 2012, 08:50:14 pm »
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My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points.  It might be close to a majority.

I bet few less than 15


I win !
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« Reply #182 on: March 20, 2012, 08:52:07 pm »
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Where do they FIND these people?
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« Reply #183 on: March 20, 2012, 08:52:48 pm »
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Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)
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Torie
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« Reply #184 on: March 20, 2012, 08:53:32 pm »
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I think Mittens has the Rockford CD, and has lost the Carbondale CD (4% in, and Mittens losing St. Clair), so Rick has two CD's, with two still in play - the Quincy and Moline CD's. Franzl lives in a Rick CD, as he assumed. He was right. Anvi lives there too. Smiley
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« Reply #185 on: March 20, 2012, 08:53:59 pm »
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My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points.  It might be close to a majority.

I bet few less than 15


I win !

Maybe not.  He started up again.  
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« Reply #186 on: March 20, 2012, 08:54:54 pm »
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BREAKING NEWS: Sarah Maria Santorum is only 14 years old, Atlas Forum full of pedophiles.
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« Reply #187 on: March 20, 2012, 08:55:37 pm »
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Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?
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Torie
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« Reply #188 on: March 20, 2012, 08:55:49 pm »
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Off for my repast for 30 minutes. I leave it to Muon2 to project the remaining two CD's in my absence. I know he can do it! Smiley
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Colbert
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« Reply #189 on: March 20, 2012, 08:56:19 pm »
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My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points.  It might be close to a majority.

I bet few less than 15


I win !

Maybe not.  He started up again.  


If you win, I pay you airplaine travel to Paris


and if I win? What would I have? Wink
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« Reply #190 on: March 20, 2012, 08:57:06 pm »
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Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?

Uhhh nearly 90% of Cook is in
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ag
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« Reply #191 on: March 20, 2012, 08:57:45 pm »
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Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?

85% of Cook is in.
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« Reply #192 on: March 20, 2012, 08:59:04 pm »
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What about DuPage?
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« Reply #193 on: March 20, 2012, 08:59:23 pm »
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Dupage only has 1 precinct in.
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muon2
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« Reply #194 on: March 20, 2012, 09:02:33 pm »
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I think Mittens has the Rockford CD, and has lost the Carbondale CD (4% in, and Mittens losing St. Clair), so Rick has two CD's, with two still in play - the Quincy and Moline CD's. Franzl lives in a Rick CD, as he assumed. He was right. Anvi lives there too. Smiley

CD 12 (Carbondale): Santorum 3
CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could flip to a 1-2 split, or remotely a 3-0 split.
CD 17 (Moline): Santorum 3
CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 or 4-0.
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Colbert
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« Reply #195 on: March 20, 2012, 09:03:26 pm »
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interesting map :

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muon2
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« Reply #196 on: March 20, 2012, 09:03:51 pm »
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Dupage only has 1 precinct in.

I see 220 precincts in in DuPage on the county website.
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netzero19
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« Reply #197 on: March 20, 2012, 09:05:31 pm »
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Dupage only has 1 precinct in.

I see 220 precincts in in DuPage on the county website.

I see it there. I wonder why Google maps isn't updating it.
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« Reply #198 on: March 20, 2012, 09:06:33 pm »
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Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?

I've re-checked and get Romney 46 - Santorum 35. That's going by how male & female voters split

Men (52%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.52 = 23.92); Santorum 34% (0.34 x 0.52 = 17.68)
Women (48%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.48 = 22.08); Santorum 37% (0.37 x 0.48 = 17.76)

Total: Romney 46; Santorum 35.44
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jaichind
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« Reply #199 on: March 20, 2012, 09:10:18 pm »
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Well, ag pointed out that the current results does include a significant count from Cook.  If that is the case then for sure 48-35 might be too opstimistic for Romney.

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?

I've re-checked and get Romney 46 - Santorum 35. That's going by how male & female voters split

Men (52%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.52 = 23.92); Santorum 34% (0.34 x 0.52 = 17.68)
Women (48%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.48 = 22.08); Santorum 37% (0.37 x 0.48 = 17.76)

Total: Romney 46; Santorum 35.44
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The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
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