Illinois Primary Results
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 19, 2024, 12:04:08 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  Illinois Primary Results
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 11
Author Topic: Illinois Primary Results  (Read 15692 times)
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #75 on: March 20, 2012, 07:02:28 PM »

Yes, it's Romney +10-11
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,827
Ukraine
Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #76 on: March 20, 2012, 07:02:50 PM »

Someone's already posted this, in all likelihood, but we'll be in Mibbit, as usual.

#atlasforum
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #77 on: March 20, 2012, 07:03:18 PM »

Last minute voters strong for Santorum and Santorum usually overperforms his exit poll results. This could be a close one...
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #78 on: March 20, 2012, 07:06:51 PM »

Last minute voters strong for Santorum and Santorum usually overperforms his exit poll results. This could be a close one...

good luck on that.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #79 on: March 20, 2012, 07:07:03 PM »

Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #80 on: March 20, 2012, 07:07:44 PM »

Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

As he has been for eons.  Catholic Republicans are establishment types.  This isn't some knock to Santorum...they're just not his electorate.
Logged
Negusa Nagast 🚀
Nagas
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,826
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #81 on: March 20, 2012, 07:09:05 PM »

Last minute voters strong for Santorum and Santorum usually overperforms his exit poll results. This could be a close one...

I think he'll close the gap, but Romney will prevail here.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #82 on: March 20, 2012, 07:11:32 PM »

Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

As he has been for eons.  Catholic Republicans are establishment types.  This isn't some knock to Santorum...they're just not his electorate.

Mittens is winning Tea Party supporters as well.  He's losing Evangelicals but by a reduced margin.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #83 on: March 20, 2012, 07:12:41 PM »

Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

As he has been for eons.  Catholic Republicans are establishment types.  This isn't some knock to Santorum...they're just not his electorate.

Mittens is winning Tea Party supporters as well.  He's losing Evangelicals but by a reduced margin.

On the other hand, Romney has absolutely crashed among those neutral to the Tea Party.  GAME CHANGER!1111
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #84 on: March 20, 2012, 07:14:26 PM »

Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

As he has been for eons.  Catholic Republicans are establishment types.  This isn't some knock to Santorum...they're just not his electorate.

Mittens is winning Tea Party supporters as well.  He's losing Evangelicals but by a reduced margin.

On the other hand, Romney has absolutely crashed among those neutral to the Tea Party.  GAME CHANGER!1111

He's only leading Santorum by 4 points there.  Wink
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #85 on: March 20, 2012, 07:16:35 PM »

Second round of exits brings it down to

Romney: 44%
Santorum: 36%
Gingrich: 11%
Paul: 9%
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,047
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #86 on: March 20, 2012, 07:17:26 PM »

One thing of note. The demographic/geographic  divide is muted - ala Mississippi and Alabama. In Chicagoland, Mittens is only winning by about 13% or something, and just down 5% with "rural" voters - only 10% of the voters are something, but where Rick runs best. So for purposes of winning CD's, Mittens' vote is well distributed. He still has a shot of winning 17 out of 18 CD's (with Mittens getting Ill-12 no matter who wins the popular vote there since Rick has no delegates filed there) with but a 10% margin with this distribution. My best guess would be 15-16 CD's go Mittens, if these exit poll numbers are right.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,851


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #87 on: March 20, 2012, 07:18:43 PM »

According to the exit polls Santorum is leading in some area called "Northern Illinois" that is 30% of the electorate.
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,177
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #88 on: March 20, 2012, 07:19:34 PM »

Does anyone have a link to the AP page?
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #89 on: March 20, 2012, 07:19:51 PM »

Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

As he has been for eons.  Catholic Republicans are establishment types.  This isn't some knock to Santorum...they're just not his electorate.

Mittens is winning Tea Party supporters as well.  He's losing Evangelicals but by a reduced margin.

On the other hand, Romney has absolutely crashed among those neutral to the Tea Party.  GAME CHANGER!1111

He's only leading Santorum by 4 points there.  Wink

But if Romney should be absolutely obliterating among the neutral if he's nearly tied among supporters.  Santorum may be lagging with Catholics, but Romney certainly needs the wishy-washy, ambivalent vote to win.  It's his core base of support.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #90 on: March 20, 2012, 07:21:13 PM »


There are not any yet.

According to the exit polls Santorum is leading in some area called "Northern Illinois" that is 30% of the electorate.

That in northern IL without Cook and the bordering counties.  In other words, not much.
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,721


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #91 on: March 20, 2012, 07:21:38 PM »

Does anyone have a link to the AP page?

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_county/IL_Page_0320.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #92 on: March 20, 2012, 07:22:46 PM »


http://www.google.com/elections/ed/us/results
Logged
muon2
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,778


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #93 on: March 20, 2012, 07:22:53 PM »

Historically few counties will report before 8 pm here. The first load of votes will be early voting when it does show up (usually with 0 precincts reporting).
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,532
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #94 on: March 20, 2012, 07:24:05 PM »

WTF is John King smoking? He just said that Santorum has no chance to take Nebraska and South Dakota, while he considered himself "generous" by giving him West Virginia.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,047
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #95 on: March 20, 2012, 07:24:41 PM »
« Edited: March 20, 2012, 07:28:04 PM by Torie »

According to the exit polls Santorum is leading in some area called "Northern Illinois" that is 30% of the electorate.

That must mean Rock Island, Moline and Rockford and the corn fields in-between. Smiley  But no, not 30%.  Something is wrong. But moving right along, that does put this CD in play (which is one of the 4 that were already in play):



and this one (which I also had in play), maybe.





Logged
muon2
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,778


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #96 on: March 20, 2012, 07:25:21 PM »

Cook county is showing about 800 votes so far. R 46%, S 31%, P 17%, G 6%.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,047
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #97 on: March 20, 2012, 07:26:15 PM »

WTF is John King smoking? He just said that Santorum has no chance to take Nebraska and South Dakota, while he considered himself "generous" by giving him West Virginia.

Whatever the strain, I want some. Tongue
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #98 on: March 20, 2012, 07:28:03 PM »

@7.2 Lake R 56%, S 28%
Logged
muon2
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,778


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #99 on: March 20, 2012, 07:28:43 PM »

CNN is showing a total, but it's dominated by the Lake early votes cited by JJ.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 11  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.043 seconds with 12 queries.