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Author Topic: Illinois Primary Results  (Read 9644 times)
muon2
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« Reply #100 on: March 20, 2012, 07:29:57 pm »
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In Clay county deep down state the early vote is S 46, R 37. Thats less than 100 votes cast.
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« Reply #101 on: March 20, 2012, 07:30:12 pm »
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CNN is showing a total, but it's dominated by the Lake early votes cited by JJ.

7.2% of Lake County's actual precincts are included in the tally.  It's not just early votes.
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Torie
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« Reply #102 on: March 20, 2012, 07:30:38 pm »
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@7.2 Lake R 56%, S 28%

Mitt's strongest county in the state. Of that, I am near certain. Lake is Torie country, and probably has more of my type of Pubs in some concentration than any other substantial county in the United States.
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muon2
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« Reply #103 on: March 20, 2012, 07:31:37 pm »
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CNN is showing a total, but it's dominated by the Lake early votes cited by JJ.

7.2% of Lake County's actual precincts are included in the tally.  It's not just early votes.

I see that now. Thanks.
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« Reply #104 on: March 20, 2012, 07:31:57 pm »
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Vote dump in Cook up to 16% of precincts in, Romney leading there 54-26.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #105 on: March 20, 2012, 07:34:14 pm »
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I'm ready to make a call.

Romney takes Illinois by a wide margin.

Cheesy
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muon2
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« Reply #106 on: March 20, 2012, 07:34:22 pm »
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About 100 votes out of Peoria are also going 52 R 29 S.
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« Reply #107 on: March 20, 2012, 07:34:47 pm »
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In Clay county deep down state the early vote is S 46, R 37. Thats less than 100 votes cast.

It is probably time to put up my silly little mappie again, which shows county names, and the Kirk colors - albeit those are with a 13% lead, rather than 10% statewide, but Mittens has lower percentage margins per the exit polls than Kirk over his combined opposition, so the county colors might be pretty good.

Clay is deep into Santorum country - very deep.

« Last Edit: March 20, 2012, 07:45:20 pm by Torie »Logged

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« Reply #108 on: March 20, 2012, 07:36:03 pm »
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About 100 votes out of Peoria are also going 52 R 29 S.

That county will be quite diverse per precinct, I would think.
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J. J.
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« Reply #109 on: March 20, 2012, 07:37:10 pm »
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Logan @ 3.4 R 46 S. 37.  It is in the center of the state, north of Springfield.

Iroquois @ 2.7 S 42 R 41, on the IN border.
« Last Edit: March 20, 2012, 07:39:29 pm by J. J. »Logged

J. J.

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« Reply #110 on: March 20, 2012, 07:38:39 pm »
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According to the exit polls Santorum is leading in some area called "Northern Illinois" that is 30% of the electorate.

That in northern IL without Cook and the bordering counties.  In other words, not much.

Er, no dude. Read my post. It's 30% (now 29% in the updated exit poll) of the electorate. Literally the opposite of "not much."
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« Reply #111 on: March 20, 2012, 07:40:28 pm »
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David Gergen CNN

This is the first time Santorum has had the opportunity to go up against Romney in what is essentially a one on one and Romney is winning handily

or words to that effect.
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J. J.
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« Reply #112 on: March 20, 2012, 07:41:05 pm »
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According to the exit polls Santorum is leading in some area called "Northern Illinois" that is 30% of the electorate.

That in northern IL without Cook and the bordering counties.  In other words, not much.

Er, no dude. Read my post. It's 30% (now 29% in the updated exit poll) of the electorate. Literally the opposite of "not much."

I think that INCLUDES the collar counties.
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J. J.

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"Every government are parliaments of whores.
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« Reply #113 on: March 20, 2012, 07:41:31 pm »
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CNN calls it for Romney. Yawn.
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« Reply #114 on: March 20, 2012, 07:41:40 pm »
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Here's some delegate results:
CD 1 16% in ( 1 romney, 2 santorum )
CD 2 8% in ( 2 romney, 1 santorum)
CD 3 13% in ( 3 romney )
CD 4 23% in ( 2 romney )
CD 5 25% in (3 romney)
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« Reply #115 on: March 20, 2012, 07:42:22 pm »
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According to the exit polls Santorum is leading in some area called "Northern Illinois" that is 30% of the electorate.

That in northern IL without Cook and the bordering counties.  In other words, not much.

Er, no dude. Read my post. It's 30% (now 29% in the updated exit poll) of the electorate. Literally the opposite of "not much."

I think that INCLUDES the collar counties.

No, it does not. Collar counties are a separate exit poll category.
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Torie
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« Reply #116 on: March 20, 2012, 07:42:30 pm »
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Logan @ 3.4 R 46 S. 37.  It is in the center of the state, north of Springfield.

A Kirk 50-55% county. So extrapolating, a bit better than the Kirk 13% statewide margin probably, which probably isn't happening unless the exit polls are a joke, again showing the more muted divide this time.
« Last Edit: March 20, 2012, 07:45:45 pm by Torie »Logged

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« Reply #117 on: March 20, 2012, 07:42:39 pm »
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CNN - Romney wins big.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qB1kp9adYYE&feature=related
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J. J.

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"Every government are parliaments of whores.
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"Wa sala, wa lala."

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« Reply #118 on: March 20, 2012, 07:43:27 pm »
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CNN declares

Romney Wins!!!!!!!!!!

And a big win it is!!!!!!!!!!

This is truly a glorious day!

Cheesy  Cheesy  Cheesy  Cheesy  Cheesy  Cheesy  Cheesy  
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Wiz from Wis in Mass
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« Reply #119 on: March 20, 2012, 07:45:09 pm »
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MSNBC calls it too... I can't imagine that, barring a 20 point Romney win, this changes much... Rick is still going on to Wisconsin at minimum, probably at least till PA
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muon2
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« Reply #120 on: March 20, 2012, 07:46:30 pm »
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Early votes in DuPage are 55 R 27 S.
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2016 PVI map of the Electoral College, with each state's size proportional to its vote in the EC. Grey states are even (PVI 0 or 1), pale states are lean-likely (PVI 2 through 5), dark states are solid (PVI 6 or more).
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« Reply #121 on: March 20, 2012, 07:46:49 pm »
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MSNBC calls it too... I can't imagine that, barring a 20 point Romney win, this changes much... Rick is still going on to Wisconsin at minimum, probably at least till PA


I would not count on WI at this point; it is competitive, but not guaranteed.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Wiz from Wis in Mass
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« Reply #122 on: March 20, 2012, 07:47:29 pm »
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MSNBC calls it too... I can't imagine that, barring a 20 point Romney win, this changes much... Rick is still going on to Wisconsin at minimum, probably at least till PA


I would not count on WI at this point; it is competitive, but not guaranteed.

Oh, not saying Santorum will win it, but he won't drop out before it.
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J. J.
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« Reply #123 on: March 20, 2012, 07:48:18 pm »
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Peoria with about 1% in, Romney 50, Santorum 30%.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
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« Reply #124 on: March 20, 2012, 07:49:41 pm »
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well, a sh**t night for lovers of tooclosetocallism... 'going to bed. Have a good night, folks !
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