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Illinois Primary Results
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Author
Topic: Illinois Primary Results (Read 6110 times)
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 24642
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #175 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:38:40 pm »
Quote from: muon2 on March 20, 2012, 08:32:12 pm
Quote from: muon2 on March 20, 2012, 08:25:10 pm
Quote from: Torie on March 20, 2012, 08:19:39 pm
Despite all that purple, other than the 15th, no other of the 5 CD's in play can be projected yet, at least by me. I don't have a clue. If St. Clair goes purple, then Rick will have secured his second CD. Rockford is turning into a Mittens bastion that he may well need to nail down one of the 4 CD's in play.
other than 14, 17, 18 which is your other CD in play? If it's 12 it doesn't look in play.
Answer to my question - CD 16? Though no matter what, Romney will get at least one delegate there.
So I don't have to look up numbers, and I know IL-13 isn't in play, Carbondale, Moline, Rockford and Quincy, whatever those numbers are.
Logged
Torie's secret highway
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 24642
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #176 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:44:03 pm »
Mittens is romping in Decautur (yes it is in the failure for Rick to file Ill-13), which is a blow to Rick. As Decatur and Rockford goes, so goes Moline/Rock Island?
«
Last Edit: March 20, 2012, 08:48:31 pm by Torie
»
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Torie's secret highway
Colbert
Sr. Member
Posts: 334
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #177 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:44:44 pm »
listening santorum. I'm far for being agree with all his ideas, but this guy seems true-hearted/sincere/unfeigned
(sorry, google traduct propose me a thousand of words)
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Wiz from Wis in Mass
Wiz in Wis
YaBB God
Posts: 1187
Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -5.57
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #178 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:45:29 pm »
I'm getting a real "William Wallace in a sweatervest" vibe out of Santorum.
Logged
muon2
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 7022
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #179 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:46:08 pm »
Quote from: Torie on March 20, 2012, 08:38:40 pm
So I don't have to look up numbers, and I know IL-13 isn't in play, Carbondale, Moline, Rockford and Quincy, whatever those numbers are.
That would be 12, 17, 16, and 18 corresponding to the cities in your list.
Logged
The high precision muon g-2 storage ring moving to Fermilab.
Colbert
Sr. Member
Posts: 334
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #180 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:49:51 pm »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on March 20, 2012, 08:45:29 pm
I'm getting a real "William Wallace in a sweatervest" vibe out of Santorum.
really ? even if you are a massa democrat?
Logged
Colbert
Sr. Member
Posts: 334
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #181 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:50:14 pm »
Quote from: Colbert on March 20, 2012, 08:37:22 pm
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2012, 08:23:10 pm
My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points. It might be close to a majority.
I bet few less than 15
I win !
Logged
asexual trans victimologist
Nathan
YaBB God
Posts: 9109
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #182 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:52:07 pm »
Where do they FIND these people?
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Quote from: Averroës Nix on October 18, 2012, 07:59:32 pm
Professor
Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?
Quote from: Joe Republic on April 25, 2013, 03:29:18 pm
It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14739
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #183 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:52:48 pm »
Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)
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Moderate Liberal Populist
[Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'
Registered in Georgia for Fantasy Politics
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 24642
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #184 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:53:32 pm »
I think Mittens has the Rockford CD, and has lost the Carbondale CD (4% in, and Mittens losing St. Clair), so Rick has two CD's, with two still in play - the Quincy and Moline CD's. Franzl lives in a Rick CD, as he assumed. He was right. Anvi lives there too.
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Torie's secret highway
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #185 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:53:59 pm »
Quote from: Colbert on March 20, 2012, 08:50:14 pm
Quote from: Colbert on March 20, 2012, 08:37:22 pm
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2012, 08:23:10 pm
My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points. It might be close to a majority.
I bet few less than 15
I win !
Maybe not. He started up again.
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Lіef
Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 27385
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #186 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:54:54 pm »
BREAKING NEWS: Sarah Maria Santorum is only 14 years old, Atlas Forum full of pedophiles.
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jaichind
YaBB God
Posts: 855
Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #187 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:55:37 pm »
Quote from: Democratic Hawk on March 20, 2012, 08:52:48 pm
Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)
Does not sound right to me. Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here. He is leading 48-34 right now. Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?
Logged
Chinese from Taiwan Province. Now in Greater New York City. Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count. - Stalin
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 24642
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #188 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:55:49 pm »
Off for my repast for 30 minutes. I leave it to Muon2 to project the remaining two CD's in my absence. I know he can do it!
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Torie's secret highway
Colbert
Sr. Member
Posts: 334
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #189 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:56:19 pm »
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2012, 08:53:59 pm
Quote from: Colbert on March 20, 2012, 08:50:14 pm
Quote from: Colbert on March 20, 2012, 08:37:22 pm
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2012, 08:23:10 pm
My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points. It might be close to a majority.
I bet few less than 15
I win !
Maybe not. He started up again.
If you win, I pay you airplaine travel to Paris
and if I win? What would I have?
Logged
xavier110
YaBB God
Posts: 837
Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -7.83
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #190 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:57:06 pm »
Quote from: jaichind on March 20, 2012, 08:55:37 pm
Quote from: Democratic Hawk on March 20, 2012, 08:52:48 pm
Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)
Does not sound right to me. Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here. He is leading 48-34 right now. Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?
Uhhh nearly 90% of Cook is in
Logged
ag
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 5341
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #191 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:57:45 pm »
Quote from: jaichind on March 20, 2012, 08:55:37 pm
Quote from: Democratic Hawk on March 20, 2012, 08:52:48 pm
Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)
Does not sound right to me. Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here. He is leading 48-34 right now. Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?
85% of Cook is in.
Logged
ShadowOfTheWave
YaBB God
Posts: 1156
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #192 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:59:04 pm »
What about DuPage?
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netzero19
Rookie
Posts: 31
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #193 on:
March 20, 2012, 08:59:23 pm »
Dupage only has 1 precinct in.
Logged
muon2
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 7022
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #194 on:
March 20, 2012, 09:02:33 pm »
Quote from: Torie on March 20, 2012, 08:53:32 pm
I think Mittens has the Rockford CD, and has lost the Carbondale CD (4% in, and Mittens losing St. Clair), so Rick has two CD's, with two still in play - the Quincy and Moline CD's. Franzl lives in a Rick CD, as he assumed. He was right. Anvi lives there too.
CD 12 (Carbondale): Santorum 3
CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could flip to a 1-2 split, or remotely a 3-0 split.
CD 17 (Moline): Santorum 3
CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 or 4-0.
Logged
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Colbert
Sr. Member
Posts: 334
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #195 on:
March 20, 2012, 09:03:26 pm »
interesting map :
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muon2
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 7022
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #196 on:
March 20, 2012, 09:03:51 pm »
Quote from: netzero19 on March 20, 2012, 08:59:23 pm
Dupage only has 1 precinct in.
I see 220 precincts in in DuPage on the county website.
Logged
The high precision muon g-2 storage ring moving to Fermilab.
netzero19
Rookie
Posts: 31
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #197 on:
March 20, 2012, 09:05:31 pm »
Quote from: muon2 on March 20, 2012, 09:03:51 pm
Quote from: netzero19 on March 20, 2012, 08:59:23 pm
Dupage only has 1 precinct in.
I see 220 precincts in in DuPage on the county website.
I see it there. I wonder why Google maps isn't updating it.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14739
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #198 on:
March 20, 2012, 09:06:33 pm »
Quote from: jaichind on March 20, 2012, 08:55:37 pm
Quote from: Democratic Hawk on March 20, 2012, 08:52:48 pm
Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)
Does not sound right to me
. Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here. He is leading 48-34 right now. Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?
I've re-checked and get Romney 46 - Santorum 35. That's going by how male & female voters split
Men (52%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.52 =
23.92
); Santorum 34% (0.34 x 0.52 =
17.68
)
Women (48%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.48 =
22.08
); Santorum 37% (0.37 x 0.48 =
17.76
)
Total: Romney
46
; Santorum
35.44
Logged
Moderate Liberal Populist
[Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'
Registered in Georgia for Fantasy Politics
jaichind
YaBB God
Posts: 855
Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
Re: Illinois Primary Results
«
Reply #199 on:
March 20, 2012, 09:10:18 pm »
Well, ag pointed out that the current results does include a significant count from Cook. If that is the case then for sure 48-35 might be too opstimistic for Romney.
Quote from: Democratic Hawk on March 20, 2012, 09:06:33 pm
Quote from: jaichind on March 20, 2012, 08:55:37 pm
Quote from: Democratic Hawk on March 20, 2012, 08:52:48 pm
Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)
Does not sound right to me
. Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here. He is leading 48-34 right now. Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?
I've re-checked and get Romney 46 - Santorum 35. That's going by how male & female voters split
Men (52%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.52 =
23.92
); Santorum 34% (0.34 x 0.52 =
17.68
)
Women (48%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.48 =
22.08
); Santorum 37% (0.37 x 0.48 =
17.76
)
Total: Romney
46
; Santorum
35.44
Logged
Chinese from Taiwan Province. Now in Greater New York City. Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count. - Stalin
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