Illinois Primary Results (user search)
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Author Topic: Illinois Primary Results  (Read 16034 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,538
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« on: March 20, 2012, 08:55:37 PM »

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,538
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2012, 09:10:18 PM »

Well, ag pointed out that the current results does include a significant count from Cook.  If that is the case then for sure 48-35 might be too opstimistic for Romney.

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?

I've re-checked and get Romney 46 - Santorum 35. That's going by how male & female voters split

Men (52%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.52 = 23.92); Santorum 34% (0.34 x 0.52 = 17.68)
Women (48%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.48 = 22.08); Santorum 37% (0.37 x 0.48 = 17.76)

Total: Romney 46; Santorum 35.44
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,538
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2012, 09:20:40 PM »

Romney's lead just jumped to 48-34.  Mostly because Dupage came in.
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