Illinois Primary Results

[J. J.]

Since this is a loophole primary, are there any big names on the ballot as delegates, whose personal vote may cause significant ticket-splitting? (a la Dennis Hastert in 2008)

Romney has some prominent pols, and so does Gingrich downstate. Not so much for Santorum, who had no organization here until Cain dropped out. Most of his delegates are ones originally set for Cain.

I hope the Whack-a-Mole does not jump up again.

[J. J.]

wpindicates that the exit polls are showing a Romney victory, but no specifics.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/post/illinois-election-officials-ballot-problem-will-likely-delay-gop-primary-results/2012/03/20/gIQAKp2pPS_blog.html#pagebreak

[J. J.]

wpindicates that the exit polls are showing a Romney victory, but no specifics.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/post/illinois-election-officials-ballot-problem-will-likely-delay-gop-primary-results/2012/03/20/gIQAKp2pPS_blog.html#pagebreak

No, it doesn't...

Yes it does:

While it will make for a late night for election workers and perhaps some journalists, there probably won’t be a lot of suspense about the outcome of the race, thanks to exit polling and Mitt Romney’s significant lead over his Republican rivals in recent polls in the state.

They are not saying, "exit polls tight and we could be up all night."

[J. J.]

I'm just really, really skeptical of Santorum making this especially close.  It's rare that I cannot think of a single compelling argument for Santorum overperforming his polls (beyond his normal very-slight overperformance)...but I see no signs of this happening here, nor any reason why it would.

But we'll see in 2 1/2 hours I suppose.

Fox is suppose to have them at 6:00 PM EDT.

[J. J.]

I'm just really, really skeptical of Santorum making this especially close.  It's rare that I cannot think of a single compelling argument for Santorum overperforming his polls (beyond his normal very-slight overperformance)...but I see no signs of this happening here, nor any reason why it would.

But we'll see in 2 1/2 hours I suppose.

Fox is suppose to have them at 6:00 PM EDT.

But they're only going to release demographic data and such.  And stuff like "50% of left-handed dwarfs voted for Romney."  They don't release the toplines until polls close in the state.

I don't know, but some of the link Torrie posted might be indicative.  The economy was a big issue.  Electability was the most important factor.

[J. J.]

Current exit polls S down 14 points. - CNN

Only 10% of the voters are rural.

[J. J.]

...........

No exit polls have been released yet. Stop saying false things.

It is on CNN.

[J. J.]

Current exit polls S down 14 points. - CNN

Only 10% of the voters are rural.

Remember when Romney was up by 7 in the MS exit poll? Or would you rather just forget about that?

No, but I do remember when he was up in MS on Rasmussen and I didn't believe it.

BTW:  AP now lists Romney with 14 delegates in MS and Santorum with 13 (RNC member).

[J. J.]

45 R 35 S 12 G 8 P early exit polls- CNN.

[J. J.]

Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

[J. J.]

Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

As he has been for eons.  Catholic Republicans are establishment types.  This isn't some knock to Santorum...they're just not his electorate.

Mittens is winning Tea Party supporters as well.  He's losing Evangelicals but by a reduced margin.

[J. J.]

Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

As he has been for eons.  Catholic Republicans are establishment types.  This isn't some knock to Santorum...they're just not his electorate.

Mittens is winning Tea Party supporters as well.  He's losing Evangelicals but by a reduced margin.

On the other hand, Romney has absolutely crashed among those neutral to the Tea Party.  GAME CHANGER!1111

He's only leading Santorum by 4 points there. 

[J. J.]

Where are the actual results?

There are not any yet.

According to the exit polls Santorum is leading in some area called "Northern Illinois" that is 30% of the electorate.

That in northern IL without Cook and the bordering counties.  In other words, not much.

[J. J.]

Does anyone have a link to the AP page?

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_county/IL_Page_0320.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

http://www.google.com/elections/ed/us/results

[J. J.]

@7.2 Lake R 56%, S 28%

[J. J.]

Logan @ 3.4 R 46 S. 37.  It is in the center of the state, north of Springfield.

Iroquois @ 2.7 S 42 R 41, on the IN border.

[J. J.]

According to the exit polls Santorum is leading in some area called "Northern Illinois" that is 30% of the electorate.

That in northern IL without Cook and the bordering counties.  In other words, not much.

Er, no dude. Read my post. It's 30% (now 29% in the updated exit poll) of the electorate. Literally the opposite of "not much."

I think that INCLUDES the collar counties.

[J. J.]

CNN - Romney wins big.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qB1kp9adYYE&feature=related

[J. J.]

MSNBC calls it too... I can't imagine that, barring a 20 point Romney win, this changes much... Rick is still going on to Wisconsin at minimum, probably at least till PA

I would not count on WI at this point; it is competitive, but not guaranteed.

[J. J.]

Peoria with about 1% in, Romney 50, Santorum 30%.

[J. J.]

Santorum is cleaning up in the southern counties, like by 30 points.  Make that 40 points in Randolph.

[J. J.]

Any guesses as to who finished third tonight?

Paul.

[J. J.]

My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points.  It might be close to a majority.

[J. J.]

My guess is Romney wins by more than 15 points.  It might be close to a majority.

I bet few less than 15

I win !

Maybe not.  He started up again.  

[J. J.]

What is the final delegate count look like?