Illinois Primary Results (user search)
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

« on: March 20, 2012, 08:52:48 PM »

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2012, 09:06:33 PM »

Current exit poll data suggests Romney will win by 13 (48-35)

Does not sound right to me.  Being that Cook has not reported anything yet one would think that Romeny would do better from here.  He is leading 48-34 right now.  Perhaps there will not be that many GOP primary voters in Cook county ?

I've re-checked and get Romney 46 - Santorum 35. That's going by how male & female voters split

Men (52%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.52 = 23.92); Santorum 34% (0.34 x 0.52 = 17.68)
Women (48%): Romney 46% (0.46 x 0.48 = 22.08); Santorum 37% (0.37 x 0.48 = 17.76)

Total: Romney 46; Santorum 35.44
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2012, 09:14:32 PM »

Well, ag pointed out that the current results does include a significant count from Cook.  If that is the case then for sure 48-35 might be too opstimistic for Romney.

Having re-checked the exit poll, I get Romney 46 - Santorum 35
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