Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 05, 2016, 05:01:48 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections
| | |-+  2012 Senatorial Election Polls
| | | |-+  NV: Rasmussen: Heller Leads Berkley by 7%
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: NV: Rasmussen: Heller Leads Berkley by 7%  (Read 794 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 35220
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.32, S: -1.91

P

View Profile WWW
« on: March 20, 2012, 12:57:00 pm »
Ignore

New Poll: Nevada Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-03-19

Summary: D: 40%, R: 47%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

1* In the 2012 Election for the U.S. Senate, suppose you had a choice between Republican Dean Heller and Democrat Shelley Berkley.  If the election were held today, would you vote for Republican Dean Heller or Democrat Shelley Berkley?



A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nevada shows Heller with 47% support to Berkley’s 40%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and 11% are undecided.
Logged


Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39518
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2012, 05:14:40 pm »
Ignore

Rasmussen was 10 points off in NV in 2008.
Logged

Svensson
NVTownsend
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 641


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2012, 05:24:19 pm »
Ignore

Rasmussen was 10 points off in NV in 2008.

And everyone was off by 10 points in 2010. The only polling from Nevada I'll even vaguely consider taking into account is Mason-Dixon's, and even then, the only result I'll trust fully is the outcome in November.

tl;dr: Not buying this poll.
Logged
Vosem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7723
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2012, 06:15:22 am »
Ignore

Rasmussen was 10 points off in NV in 2008.

And everyone was off by 10 points in 2010. The only polling from Nevada I'll even vaguely consider taking into account is Mason-Dixon's, and even then, the only result I'll trust fully is the outcome in November.

tl;dr: Not buying this poll.

Polling was OK in the NV gubernatorial election in 2010.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12537
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -5.22

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2012, 12:19:33 pm »
Ignore

Rasmussen was 10 points off in NV in 2008.

And everyone was off by 10 points in 2010. The only polling from Nevada I'll even vaguely consider taking into account is Mason-Dixon's, and even then, the only result I'll trust fully is the outcome in November.

tl;dr: Not buying this poll.

Polling was OK in the NV gubernatorial election in 2010.

Not really. They routinely showed Sandoval beating Reid by 20-30 points.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18705
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -0.35


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2012, 12:32:59 pm »
Ignore

Rasmussen was 10 points off in NV in 2008.

And everyone was off by 10 points in 2010. The only polling from Nevada I'll even vaguely consider taking into account is Mason-Dixon's, and even then, the only result I'll trust fully is the outcome in November.

tl;dr: Not buying this poll.

Polling was OK in the NV gubernatorial election in 2010.

Not really. They routinely showed Sandoval beating Reid by 20-30 points.

Exactly. Rasmussen's last poll had Sandoval up by 23 at 58/35.

PPP nailed Sandoval's 11-point win.
Logged



redcommander
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3823
View Profile
« Reply #6 on: March 21, 2012, 02:37:31 pm »
Ignore

So basically the race is still tied if we're assuming the sample is underestimating Dem turnout.
Logged
Kevin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5019
United States


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2012, 02:55:55 pm »
Ignore

Heller could be very well ahead by 7% or more since all the races Presidential, Senate, Etc are still very much wildly in flux due to the fact that voter's really haven't started paying attention yet.

Let's wait until September before we start trashing Ras as a junk poll.
Logged


Rest in Peace Mayor Ford!
Joe Republic
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32825
Kiribati


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2012, 03:10:04 pm »
Ignore

Let's wait until September before we start trashing Ras as a junk poll.

There were four Rasmussen polls in Nevada in October 2010, and they all showed Angle winning, and Sandoval leading by way more than he ended up with.

Rasmussen has become as useful as your average Republican internal polling outfit.
Logged

Kevin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5019
United States


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2012, 03:28:10 pm »
Ignore

Let's wait until September before we start trashing Ras as a junk poll.

There were four Rasmussen polls in Nevada in October 2010, and they all showed Angle winning, and Sandoval leading by way more than he ended up with.

Rasmussen has become as useful as your average Republican internal polling outfit.

Alot of other polls if I remember correctly also had Angle leading.
Logged


Rest in Peace Mayor Ford!
Svensson
NVTownsend
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 641


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: March 21, 2012, 03:43:57 pm »
Ignore

Let's wait until September before we start trashing Ras as a junk poll.

There were four Rasmussen polls in Nevada in October 2010, and they all showed Angle winning, and Sandoval leading by way more than he ended up with.

Rasmussen has become as useful as your average Republican internal polling outfit.

Alot of other polls if I remember correctly also had Angle leading.

All but about two, to be precise.
Logged
Eternal Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 33314
United States


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: March 25, 2012, 01:52:03 pm »
Ignore

What was the final polling like in NV-03? Did anyone poll it besides Mason-Dixon?
Logged

He's BACK!!! His Time Has Come Once Again! Now We're All Gonna Die! No One is Safe From His Wrath!



Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines