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Author Topic: NV: Rasmussen: Heller Leads Berkley by 7%  (Read 602 times)
Assemblyman & Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« on: March 20, 2012, 12:57:00 pm »
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New Poll: Nevada Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-03-19

Summary: D: 40%, R: 47%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

1* In the 2012 Election for the U.S. Senate, suppose you had a choice between Republican Dean Heller and Democrat Shelley Berkley.  If the election were held today, would you vote for Republican Dean Heller or Democrat Shelley Berkley?



A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nevada shows Heller with 47% support to Berkley’s 40%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and 11% are undecided.
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« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2012, 05:14:40 pm »
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Rasmussen was 10 points off in NV in 2008.
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« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2012, 05:24:19 pm »
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Rasmussen was 10 points off in NV in 2008.

And everyone was off by 10 points in 2010. The only polling from Nevada I'll even vaguely consider taking into account is Mason-Dixon's, and even then, the only result I'll trust fully is the outcome in November.

tl;dr: Not buying this poll.
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« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2012, 06:15:22 am »
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Rasmussen was 10 points off in NV in 2008.

And everyone was off by 10 points in 2010. The only polling from Nevada I'll even vaguely consider taking into account is Mason-Dixon's, and even then, the only result I'll trust fully is the outcome in November.

tl;dr: Not buying this poll.

Polling was OK in the NV gubernatorial election in 2010.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2012, 12:19:33 pm »
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Rasmussen was 10 points off in NV in 2008.

And everyone was off by 10 points in 2010. The only polling from Nevada I'll even vaguely consider taking into account is Mason-Dixon's, and even then, the only result I'll trust fully is the outcome in November.

tl;dr: Not buying this poll.

Polling was OK in the NV gubernatorial election in 2010.

Not really. They routinely showed Sandoval beating Reid by 20-30 points.
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« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2012, 12:32:59 pm »
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Rasmussen was 10 points off in NV in 2008.

And everyone was off by 10 points in 2010. The only polling from Nevada I'll even vaguely consider taking into account is Mason-Dixon's, and even then, the only result I'll trust fully is the outcome in November.

tl;dr: Not buying this poll.

Polling was OK in the NV gubernatorial election in 2010.

Not really. They routinely showed Sandoval beating Reid by 20-30 points.

Exactly. Rasmussen's last poll had Sandoval up by 23 at 58/35.

PPP nailed Sandoval's 11-point win.
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« Reply #6 on: March 21, 2012, 02:37:31 pm »
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So basically the race is still tied if we're assuming the sample is underestimating Dem turnout.
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Kevin
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« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2012, 02:55:55 pm »
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Heller could be very well ahead by 7% or more since all the races Presidential, Senate, Etc are still very much wildly in flux due to the fact that voter's really haven't started paying attention yet.

Let's wait until September before we start trashing Ras as a junk poll.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2012, 03:10:04 pm »
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Let's wait until September before we start trashing Ras as a junk poll.

There were four Rasmussen polls in Nevada in October 2010, and they all showed Angle winning, and Sandoval leading by way more than he ended up with.

Rasmussen has become as useful as your average Republican internal polling outfit.
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Kevin
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« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2012, 03:28:10 pm »
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Let's wait until September before we start trashing Ras as a junk poll.

There were four Rasmussen polls in Nevada in October 2010, and they all showed Angle winning, and Sandoval leading by way more than he ended up with.

Rasmussen has become as useful as your average Republican internal polling outfit.

Alot of other polls if I remember correctly also had Angle leading.
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Svensson
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« Reply #10 on: March 21, 2012, 03:43:57 pm »
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Let's wait until September before we start trashing Ras as a junk poll.

There were four Rasmussen polls in Nevada in October 2010, and they all showed Angle winning, and Sandoval leading by way more than he ended up with.

Rasmussen has become as useful as your average Republican internal polling outfit.

Alot of other polls if I remember correctly also had Angle leading.

All but about two, to be precise.
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Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #11 on: March 25, 2012, 01:52:03 pm »
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What was the final polling like in NV-03? Did anyone poll it besides Mason-Dixon?
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