mitt romney's path to victory?

[Torie]

Came up this scenario:

Obama - 262
Romney - 276

That is the path to victory for Mittens, but color Nevada red, leaving Romney with 270 electoral votes. All roads lead to Virginia. That is the tipping point state this time I suspect.

[opebo]

Romney's path to victory is

-OH
-PA
-VA

Pick two.

Really its more like NH-OH-VA, and that's it.  Just one way to win, realistically. 

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Romney can't win MI or PA, where the WWC hates him, before CO or NV. His victory map will be the exact same map as 2000.

[GLPman]

Right now it seems Romney is way behind in the key states but I think if he can get the national popular vote to swing in his favour it will show in the swing states big time. That's a huge ask though. If he's ahead in the popular vote a lot of states are in play and the map will resemble Bush vs. Kerry 2004 and all of a sudden winning places like Wisconsin and Michigan won't seem absurd. However I don't see him leading the popular vote at all, let alone leading it long enough for it to show in the state polls.

This is a good point. The bitter primary season is doing damage to Romney now, but it's reasonable to assume that his favorability will rise once he becomes the nominee.