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| |-+  2012 Elections (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | |-+  Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?
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Question: Which of the following will receive at least 25% of the vote in the Louisiana Primary?
Newt Gingrich   -15 (12.8%)
Ron Paul   -2 (1.7%)
Mitt Romney   -49 (41.9%)
Rick Santorum   -51 (43.6%)
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Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: Who breaks 25% in Louisiana?  (Read 661 times)
Erc
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« on: March 21, 2012, 12:22:59 pm »
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There is a 25% threshold to receive delegates in Louisiana, which is the highest in the country among all the 'proportional' states.

Which of the candidates will meet that threshold this Saturday?

Related question for discussion:  Does Newt Gingrich have any relevance in the race anymore if he fails to meet the threshold?
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firennice
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« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2012, 12:31:26 pm »
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With the contests that are left, and becoming more and more a fringe candidate, I think he will only keep the diehards.
He is just hanging on hoping for some miracle, great speaking slot, or even to get his name out there as much as possible for the next election cycle.
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politicus
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« Reply #2 on: March 21, 2012, 01:01:09 pm »
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There is a 25% threshold to receive delegates in Louisiana, which is the highest in the country among all the 'proportional' states.

Which of the candidates will meet that threshold this Saturday?
Santorum and Romney

Related question for discussion:  Does Newt Gingrich have any relevance in the race anymore if he fails to meet the threshold?
No, but he is already irrelevant.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2012, 01:26:50 pm »
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is roemer on the ballot?  (is he still 'in' the race?)
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2012, 05:18:06 pm »
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Santorum and Romney will. Gingrich has a shot at it, but I'd bet against it.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2012, 06:43:49 pm »
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is roemer on the ballot?  (is he still 'in' the race?)
Yes, he is still on the ballot.  I highly doubt he will break 5%, however.  And Erc, Gingrich hasn't been relevant since he lost Alabama and Mississippi.
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J. J.
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« Reply #6 on: March 22, 2012, 08:14:55 am »
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etch n skecth comment will give louisanna to santorum.

He already had LA.  I think Santorum still does, but it will be close to a 60-40 delegate split.
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J. J.

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ajb
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« Reply #7 on: March 22, 2012, 11:19:05 am »
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Romney's almost bound to hit 25%, if Gingrich and Paul are non-factors. Santorum's best shot for a sweep of the at-large delegates would be something like
Santorum 40
Romney 24
Gingrich 24
Paul 12
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #8 on: March 22, 2012, 11:20:24 am »
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etch n skecth comment will give louisanna to santorum.

Etch a Sketch... not "n".
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #9 on: March 22, 2012, 12:23:19 pm »
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My prediction:

Santorum: 43%
Romney: 33%

Gingrich: 19%
Paul: 5%
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lawlz
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« Reply #10 on: March 23, 2012, 03:28:45 pm »
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My prediction:

Santorum: 43%
Romney: 33%

Gingrich: 19%
Paul: 5%

Looks about right.
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A-Bob
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« Reply #11 on: March 23, 2012, 08:46:08 pm »
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Romney and Santorum
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