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| | |-+  does romney break 60% in alabama?
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yes   -25 (50%)
no   -25 (50%)
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Author Topic: does romney break 60% in alabama?  (Read 2037 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: March 21, 2012, 06:57:27 pm »
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close.

but i say yes.  in the end, alabamans are more distrustful of negros than mormons.
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R2D2
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« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2012, 07:11:37 pm »
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Nah.
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Klecly
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« Reply #2 on: March 21, 2012, 07:23:32 pm »
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63%, so yea
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2012, 07:25:08 pm »
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Narrowly, I'd guess.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2012, 07:39:32 pm »
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Indeed he does.

Alabaman's are concerned about the economy too.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2012, 07:47:47 pm »
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Alabaman's are concerned about the economy too.

not true.

if alabamans voted their economic self interest, obama would win in a landslide.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #6 on: March 21, 2012, 07:59:08 pm »
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Alabaman's are concerned about the economy too.

not true.

if alabamans voted their economic self interest, obama would win in a landslide.

Sorry, but with official unemployment at 8+%, and real terms unemployment maybe 17%, and 4$ - $5 per gallon gasoline, does not make for a good economy.
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R2D2
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« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2012, 08:21:11 pm »
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Alabaman's are concerned about the economy too.

not true.

if alabamans voted their economic self interest, obama would win in a landslide.

Sorry, but with official unemployment at 8+%, and real terms unemployment maybe 17%, and 4$ - $5 per gallon gasoline, does not make for a good economy.

I mean, it's no thanks to outrageous Defense spending as well as the spending to uphold corrupt bureaucracies like DHS...spending that has been constantly perpetrated by Republicans...
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2012, 08:27:55 pm »
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Obama is the President.  Those not happy with the economy will not be looking at GWB, they will be looking at BHO.
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Scott
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« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2012, 10:00:06 pm »
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He'll get pretty damn close to 60%, but he won't break it.
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Gabriel Cáceres

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« Reply #10 on: March 22, 2012, 03:05:01 pm »
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Alabaman's are concerned about the economy too.

not true.

if alabamans voted their economic self interest, obama would win in a landslide.

Which Alabamans you talkin' bout?
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King
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« Reply #11 on: March 22, 2012, 03:40:13 pm »
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Not unless he changes as a candidate. Whites won't vote Obama, of course, but if turnout is depressed then black Alabama will give him a low 40s showing.
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« Reply #12 on: March 22, 2012, 03:54:02 pm »
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Of course.  Who else are they going to vote for?  The Constitution Party candidate?
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TCash101
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« Reply #13 on: March 28, 2012, 04:53:01 pm »
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I don't think so, but it'll be close
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« Reply #14 on: March 28, 2012, 05:23:00 pm »
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I saiy no. McCain just barely hit 60% last time around, and I don't think Romney would outperform him in any southern state, except maybe North Carolina.
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R2D2
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« Reply #15 on: March 28, 2012, 05:24:52 pm »
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Of course.  Who else are they going to vote for?  The Constitution Party candidate?

If it's this guy, then yes.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #16 on: March 28, 2012, 08:38:06 pm »
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I think Republicans are going to get 60%+ of the vote in Alabama in every presidential election for at least the next couple of decades. The Yellow Dog Dems are dying off. Their grandchildren have grown up being told the Democratic Party is the party of welfare and abortion and sharia law.

In the long term, I think you're going to see the "central" South (Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee) trending more Republican. The "outer" South (Virginia, the Carolinas) will continue to trend Democratic.
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True Federalist
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« Reply #17 on: March 28, 2012, 11:57:03 pm »
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A tossup.  While it won't really matter, Alabama is likely to swing more than the national swing.  If Romney is close to a victory nationally, it'll energize the base vote to come out and vote against Obama so they can say they were a part of defeating him.  If Romney isn't close, the base in Alabama will find other things to do election day.
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« Reply #18 on: April 01, 2012, 02:50:15 am »
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Probably not. 59% maybe, because many Republicans will stay home.
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jmc247
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« Reply #19 on: April 01, 2012, 02:54:35 am »
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It depends in my view on if his VP can energize the base which is something Romney badly needs.
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Charlotte Hebdo
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« Reply #20 on: April 01, 2012, 06:14:56 am »
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In the long term, I think you're going to see the "central" South (Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee) trending more Republican. The "outer" South (Virginia, the Carolinas and Georgia) will continue to trend Democratic.
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Antonio V
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« Reply #21 on: April 01, 2012, 06:26:24 am »
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Guys, this is Alabama. Don't hold any hopes.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #22 on: April 01, 2012, 06:36:26 am »
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He can't even break 30%.
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