What are the chances of this map coming true?

[Vern]

This would end up with a tie.

[Thomas D]

20%. Iowa is looking good for the President. But he won't win NE-2 again

[minionofmidas]

20%.

Uh... what? An exact scenario at 20%? And one that requires quite the swing towards Romney?
Someone needs to retake Probabilities 101.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Zero chance.  It's impossible for Obama to take NE-2 while losing both Iowa and Wisconsin.

This is probably the most likely tied EV map:

This is another plausible one, but not as likely as the first I gave:

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Pretty decent chance, though not extremely likely. The best scenario for a tie, in my opinion, would be this:

[cavalcade]

Kerry + OH + NM is also a tie.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Pretty decent chance, though not extremely likely. The best scenario for a tie, in my opinion, would be this:

Possible, but its chances have gone down the last few weeks as the Wisconsin bump from picking Ryan has faded.

Kerry + OH + NM is also a tie.

Possible by not likely.  It looks like if Obama only gets one of Ohio and Virginia he's far likelier to get Virginia instead of Ohio.

[5280]

This would end up with a tie.

Take out Nevada from Romney, and you have yourself a good map.

[opebo]

Take out Nevada from Romney, and you have yourself a good map.

I would be happy with that. 

Though I see no reason to expect it.

[Northeast Rep Snowball]

Take out Nevada from Romney, and you have yourself a good map.

I would be happy with that. 

(20th post, need 1 more, can't include map)
Though I see no reason to expect it.

It has a better probability than the originals though, I think maybe 3-4% chance that it will tie in general

[Antonio the Sixth]

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[Northeast Rep Snowball]

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Alittle higher, atleast 1%