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Author Topic: WI PrimR: Rasmussen: Wisconsin = Safe Romney  (Read 1605 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: March 23, 2012, 11:07:12 am »

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Rasmussen on 2012-03-21

Summary:
Romney:
46%
Santorum:
33%
Paul:
8%
Gingrich:
7%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Torie
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« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2012, 11:42:48 am »
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Wow!
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argentarius
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« Reply #2 on: March 23, 2012, 11:44:07 am »
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Fake poll (as in they made up the numbers). And if he really has surged by that much then there are a ton of swing voters who could go back to Rick in LA.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: March 23, 2012, 11:46:13 am »
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After sweeping Mississippi's bayous, Mittens is ready to conquer the cheeseheads.
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« Reply #4 on: March 23, 2012, 11:55:17 am »
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Doing just as well as in Illinois? Ok then i think I will wait for PPP to confirm if that's true or not.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #5 on: March 23, 2012, 11:58:10 am »

Doing just as well as in Illinois? Ok then i think I will wait for PPP to confirm if that's true or not.

It's most likely true. Same story like in Washington, just with a primary.
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oakvale
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« Reply #6 on: March 23, 2012, 12:04:16 pm »
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Fake poll (as in they made up the numbers). And if he really has surged by that much then there are a ton of swing voters who could go back to Rick in LA.

It's PPP, not ARG.
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Erc
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« Reply #7 on: March 23, 2012, 12:10:55 pm »
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Game over, man.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #8 on: March 23, 2012, 12:30:08 pm »
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Uh. No.
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argentarius
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« Reply #9 on: March 23, 2012, 12:34:38 pm »
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Fake poll (as in they made up the numbers). And if he really has surged by that much then there are a ton of swing voters who could go back to Rick in LA.

It's PPP, not ARG.
No, it's Rasmussen.
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oakvale
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« Reply #10 on: March 23, 2012, 12:37:17 pm »
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Fake poll (as in they made up the numbers). And if he really has surged by that much then there are a ton of swing voters who could go back to Rick in LA.

It's PPP, not ARG.
No, it's Rasmussen.

So it is. I'm an idiot.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #11 on: March 23, 2012, 12:39:25 pm »
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Doing just as well as in Illinois? Ok then i think I will wait for PPP to confirm if that's true or not.

Actually he is doing better than Illinois. Rass had Mittens nine points ahead in Illinois.

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Meeker
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« Reply #12 on: March 23, 2012, 01:03:23 pm »
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This shouldn't be surprising.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #13 on: March 23, 2012, 01:05:52 pm »
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Uh. No.
Yeah, keep telling yourself that.

Wisconsin is a must-win state for Santorum to win the nomination, and it looks like he might not get it. Even if Romney's lead isn't this large, it'll be very difficult for Santorum to catch up considering Romney has more momentum and money right now.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #14 on: March 23, 2012, 01:08:45 pm »
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That momentum is going to get you a big win tomorrow, right? No? Ok.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #15 on: March 23, 2012, 01:11:46 pm »
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That momentum is going to get you a big win tomorrow, right? No? Ok.
How long are you going to remain in denial and believe Santorum has a real shot at winning the nomination?

Can't wait to see your reaction when Romney officially passes the delegate threshhold.
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« Reply #16 on: March 23, 2012, 01:16:12 pm »
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If Santorum can't win in places like Wisconsin, there's no way he can stop Romney from winning a majority on the first ballot, barring shenanigans.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #17 on: March 23, 2012, 01:21:04 pm »
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That momentum is going to get you a big win tomorrow, right? No? Ok.
How long are you going to remain in denial and believe Santorum has a real shot at winning the nomination?

Can't wait to see your reaction when Romney officially passes the delegate threshhold.

I never once said it was likely that he'd win the nomination at this point. You, though, are in denial about the party coalescing around Romney when we clearly are now. I can't wait to see your reaction when he gets walloped...again...after being declared the "presumptive nominee."

And either way, you're going to be waiting a long time to see Romney or anyone pass the delegate threshold, genius.
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Torie
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« Reply #18 on: March 23, 2012, 02:09:23 pm »
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I don't think one Romney supporter here expects him to come in first in Louisiana - not one. The Rick/Newt candidate gets the old slave states (exclusive of Delaware and Maryland, and yes, maybe Texas - the Sean Trende demographic regression analysis figure there is 45% Mittens of the 3 party vote - better than Wisconsin at 43%), plus the plains, and Mittens gets most everything else, other than some of those caucus cf's. That's the deal.  Life is good!
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #19 on: March 23, 2012, 02:22:54 pm »
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No one said the Romney supporters expect a win tomorrow. That's not the point. The point is that you can't shout about how this is over and the party is coalescing around your candidate while he gets soundly defeated in a primary made up of voters that represent the national GOP base.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #20 on: March 23, 2012, 02:24:17 pm »
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That momentum is going to get you a big win tomorrow, right? No? Ok.
How long are you going to remain in denial and believe Santorum has a real shot at winning the nomination?

Can't wait to see your reaction when Romney officially passes the delegate threshhold.

I never once said it was likely that he'd win the nomination at this point. You, though, are in denial about the party coalescing around Romney when we clearly are now. I can't wait to see your reaction when he gets walloped...again...after being declared the "presumptive nominee."

And either way, you're going to be waiting a long time to see Romney or anyone pass the delegate threshold, genius.
Roll Eyes
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #21 on: March 23, 2012, 02:39:01 pm »
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Torie and the rest of Mitt's cheerleaders don't understand that the problem isn't only the fact that there is stiff resistance among conservatives but mainly the fact that he is unable to put away such weak challengers.

Like Josh Marshall said watching Romney trying to beat Santorum and Gingrich is like watching a fisherman struggling to land an one pound fish or a bully trying (and failing) to steal candy from a baby.
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Wiz from Wis in Mass
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« Reply #22 on: March 23, 2012, 03:00:26 pm »
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But was this pre or post Etch a Sketch!
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Torie
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« Reply #23 on: March 23, 2012, 03:02:03 pm »
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No one said the Romney supporters expect a win tomorrow. That's not the point. The point is that you can't shout about how this is over and the party is coalescing around your candidate while he gets soundly defeated in a primary made up of voters that represent the national GOP base.

It is over if the demographic model holds (as it has been like a Swiss watch, with Mittens apparently adding a bit of Newt vote as he fades away), but yes, there is no coalescing either, in the sense that Santorum/Newt are holding their demographic as well.
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Torie
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« Reply #24 on: March 23, 2012, 03:08:35 pm »
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Torie and the rest of Mitt's cheerleaders don't understand that the problem isn't only the fact that there is stiff resistance among conservatives but mainly the fact that he is unable to put away such weak challengers.

Like Josh Marshall said watching Romney trying to beat Santorum and Gingrich is like watching a fisherman struggling to land an one pound fish or a bully trying (and failing) to steal candy from a baby.

Actually, this demographic divide in the party does not surprise me at all, and I am for one am not bothered in the slightest that it is taking time for this demographic model to play out, nor am I particularly worried that this lengthy exercise will have much impact on the general election. We will just have to wait until after say the first debate in the General election and what the polls say then, to assess whether the Mittbots' current serenity just reflects an inability to perceive reality, or whether all this rather anxious chatter from you guys was well ... just noise. In the meantime all of this back and forth speculating about the future is at once redundant and futile, because none of us are going to agree. As Sam Spade would say - patience!
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