Well, if the judges decide to overturn this law by a 5-4 margin, the only significant binding precedent will have been Bush v. Gore for having led to the current composition of the Supreme Court. Schade.
I think it might be like Bush v. Gore, a 7-2 vote on the mandate, and
possibly a 5-4 decision on the rest.
As already mentioned, this will make Mitt's campaign so much easier, removing a huge obstacle for him. And this would be a train wreck for Obama - essentially his first two years in the trash, along side his (mostly) failed stimulus.
At this rate, the guy will only be able to run on economic numbers, and even those - while a slight improvement - aren't good.....
Obama needs to hope it's not struck down. If it his, I think he's lost re-election and he is destined to be remembered as the weak president he has ultimately been.
Yes, I think this could
do two things, strengthens Romney, slightly, and weakens Obama, greatly.
On so many fronts, having this struck down destroys Obama. The presumed "strengths" of Obamacare.
1. While this isn't a direct effect of any SCOTUS decision, a selling point is that Obamacare would become popular. It hasn't. It's a drag on the Democratic Party.
2. A strike down will make Obama look [even more] ineffective. He will have four years and nothing to show for it.
3. It plays into the "Obama is a Socialist willing to violate the Constitution" argument. This is even worse since he claimed to be a "constitutional professor."
4. Because some form of "socialized medicine" has long been a major piece of Democratic policy, the Holy Grail of it, it has a fair chance of discrediting the party as a whole.
I think #1 and #4 have further reaching effects than just Obama.