Louisiana primary chat

[Lloyd Bentsen's Ghost]

The blacks in LaSalle are packed into two precincts in Ward 10.  There may be a few blacks in other places in LaSalle, maybe like 10 or so, and they may well still be slaves, or at best sharecroppers, for all I know.

They prefer the term "interns" in order to comply with state labor laws.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

BaconKing reports that Jefferson Parish precincts are disproportionately favorable to Santorum, and the end result should be significantly closer.

Now 81% reporting, with Jefferson at 11% and Orleans at 41%.  Santorum leads 50%-26%.

Hard to see Romney falling below 25% or Santorum breaking 50%.  Effectively impossible if BK is right about the precincts, which I'm sure he is.

[ilikeverin]

Jefferson is 48%-29% Santorum with 11% in.  Terrible performance for Romney, especially if he falls in later ballots.  It's no longer a near-sure thing he'll break 25%, although it's quite probable.

Keep in mind, though, Romney just needs to do better than 25% to keep his head above water.  It would take an epic fail for him to be doing worse than that in the Jefferson/Orleans that's left.  An entertainingly epic fail, but an epic fail nonetheless.

[Lief]

Delegates are going to be Santorum 10, Romney 5, Uncommitted 10. Really unlikely that that changes at this point.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Sign of how irrelevant this win probably is:  Pretty much every media outlet mentions Romney's high delegate lead in their headline captions.

[J. J.]

Protestant (57%): Santorum +23%
Catholic (37%): Santorum +11%

Santorum is cleaning up in the north.  It's closer in the Cajun areas, but he's still winning.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Santorum is winning???

[Grad Students are the Worst]

22% more of Jefferson in (to 33%) and Santorum actually did slightly better in these new ballots.  It's possible that's just the remainders of Santorum's stronghold areas coming in, though.

Also up to 67% reporting in Orleans.  A slightly better batch for Santorum this time, but Romney still won it by about 10 points.

[patrick1]

Sign of how irrelevant this win probably is:  Pretty much every media outlet mentions Romney's high delegate lead in their headline captions.

Ultimately I also think it is irrelevant but you don't think this will be a big topic on the various Sunday junkets?  I envision all the round tables questioning Romney's strength and base of support. etc.  

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Jefferson up to 48% reported and the new batch was better for Romney; the parish tightens to 46%-30% Santorum.

Santorum falls just a bit below 49.5% statewide.

Edit: And then a small Jefferson bump for Santorum.

88% reporting.

[J. J.]

Santorum is winning???

Yes, for the first time, in six weeks, Santorum has a day where he gains delegates over Romney.

[realisticidealist]

Santorum finished at 50.5% in Caddo Parish.

[Jayhawker]

Congratulations to Santorum - an expected victory but impressive. Too bad for him that it hardly awards any actual delegates.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Jefferson is 89% reporting, tightening to Santorum 45%-32% as he "only" wins new ballots by 11 points.

Romney isn't going to fall under 25%.  Santorum is very unlikely to hit 50%.

94% reporting.

Edit: And then 97% reporting, with not much change.

[Lloyd Bentsen's Ghost]

I expected Gingrich to perform better upstate. He hasn't been able to push Santorum below 40% anywhere.

[Colbert]

Santorum is winning???

Yes, for the first time, in six weeks, Santorum has a day where he gains delegates over Romney.

wathever happen, romney will not beat obama. All this money for nothing...

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Louisiana county parish map:

[Colbert]

What is an "unplegged RNC"

[realisticidealist]

Wolfe beat Obama in 3 parishes.

[platypeanArchcow]

Wolfe beat Obama in 3 parishes.

map?

[realisticidealist]

Wolfe beat Obama in 3 parishes.

map?

Wolfe won La Salle, Grant, and Cameron.

[Senator Snowstalker]

LOL, the most racist counties.

[realisticidealist]

Here is the Democratic race so far:

[Sibboleth]

Wolfe beat Obama in 3 parishes.

map?

Wolfe won La Salle, Grant, and Cameron.

The heart of David Duke country and that place that voted for Landrieu while giving Obama 16%. Though perhaps its interesting that they're still voting in Democratic primaries.

[Sam Spade]

Wolfe beat Obama in 3 parishes.

map?

Wolfe won La Salle, Grant, and Cameron.

The heart of David Duke country and that place that voted for Landrieu while giving Obama 16%. Though perhaps its interesting that they're still voting in Democratic primaries.

Well, LA is a closed primary and they did vote for Edwards in 2008 even though he had already dropped out.