Louisiana primary chat (user search)
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Author Topic: Louisiana primary chat  (Read 9226 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: March 24, 2012, 02:02:57 PM »
It's probably either some polling someone did or numbers he made up. Very unlikely to be actual exit polling.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2012, 02:09:06 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on March 24, 2012, 02:08:05 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 24, 2012, 02:02:57 PM
It's probably either some polling someone did or numbers he made up. Very unlikely to be actual exit polling.

It could early numbers, but I don't believe them.

If they are exit polls, that's good news for Santorum as he does his worst in the earliest exit polls.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2012, 02:26:45 PM »
Quote from: Torie on March 24, 2012, 02:24:34 PM
Mittens is now closing in!  

Latest update Santorum 41 Romney 35 Gingrich 16 Paul 8

Maybe in a couple of more updates, Mittens will pull into the lead. Maybe this race will be over before the polls close.  Tongue

I'll wait for real exit polls, thanks. Tongue
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2012, 02:28:51 PM »
Does anyone know what time the polls close?
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: March 24, 2012, 05:55:56 PM »
Also, Romney may have won the Tea Party vote in Illinois, but he sure won't be in Louisiana.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: March 24, 2012, 06:10:13 PM »
Quote from: IDS Legislator Progressive Realist on March 24, 2012, 06:05:48 PM
Question: are the evangelicals in Louisiana more middle-class suburban or more rural poor in demographic? Or mixed?

Most of Louisiana's evangelicals are in the more rural northern end of Louisiana. The southern part is surprisingly Catholic, though a good chunk of those are Cajuns in the southwest.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: March 24, 2012, 07:29:12 PM »
Quote from: argentarius on March 24, 2012, 07:25:05 PM
Why are the counties called parishes instead of counties? Anything to do with the french connections or catholicism?

Both.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: March 24, 2012, 08:00:28 PM »
CNN calls Louisiana for Santorum.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: March 24, 2012, 08:03:07 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 24, 2012, 08:01:45 PM
Exit poll is Santorum +19 (Santorum 47%, Romney 28%, Gingrich 16%)

edit: damn lief

Santorum has a slight, slight chance at breaking 50%. Wink
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: March 24, 2012, 08:07:15 PM »
First votes in already.

Santorum 39%
Romney 30%
Gingrich 22%
Paul 6%
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: March 24, 2012, 08:11:58 PM »
Roemer at 2.4%
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: March 24, 2012, 08:14:00 PM »
Early vote for Santorum in first Cajun parish over 50%.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #12 on: March 24, 2012, 08:29:44 PM »
Quote from: Nagas on March 24, 2012, 08:28:19 PM
Quote from: ChairmanSanchez on March 24, 2012, 08:26:10 PM
Obama only has 65% of the Democratic vote so far.

New Orleans will push him higher. Oklahoma will probably be his worst performance of the primary. 

West Virginia could give OK a run for its money.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #13 on: March 24, 2012, 08:43:08 PM »
A Santorum sweep of the parishes, or something very close to it, would not surprise me at this point.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #14 on: March 24, 2012, 08:46:19 PM »
Still nothing from Orleans or Jefferson Parishes.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #15 on: March 24, 2012, 08:47:03 PM »
Romney's lead in Caddo Parish down to 2%.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #16 on: March 24, 2012, 08:54:59 PM »

His lead in La Salle Parish is 2.1%.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #17 on: March 24, 2012, 08:59:17 PM »
Santorum now up by 10% in Caddo.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #18 on: March 24, 2012, 09:02:45 PM »
Still nothing from Orleans, so Rick's lead could shrink, though at this rate he might have won there too.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #19 on: March 24, 2012, 09:03:15 PM »
Santorum now at 49% on CNN.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #20 on: March 24, 2012, 09:05:29 PM »
Santorum now leads in all counties parishes with votes reported.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #21 on: March 24, 2012, 09:08:18 PM »
Quote from: memphis on March 24, 2012, 09:06:38 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 24, 2012, 09:02:45 PM
Still nothing from Orleans, so Rick's lead could shrink, though at this rate he might have won there too.
Don't think there are enough Republicans there to matter too much. McCain got about 3% of his LA votes from Orleans. Obama got about 15% there.

True. Jefferson Parish is another story though.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #22 on: March 24, 2012, 09:10:35 PM »
I can already tell that this state is going to look rather odd on the national county map.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #23 on: March 24, 2012, 09:12:17 PM »
Orleans finally starts to come in. Romney up there 47%-24%, but not a ton of votes.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #24 on: March 24, 2012, 09:17:38 PM »
CNN has Santorum at 50% now.
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