Louisiana primary chat

[Democratic Hawk]

I read that last exit poll as Mittens gets no less than 30% of the vote, and no more than 40%.  Mittens wins big with the winner and right experience group, and loses even bigger with the character and strong conservative group.

Which, of course, may destroy him in the end given that his favorables among the wider general electorate suck

[Democratic Hawk]

Would it appease Romney supporters to know that in 2008 McCain carried Catholics

[Democratic Hawk]

For the record, Louisiana Cathoics do behave, politicially, much more like evangelicals than Catholics elsewhere.

In her Senate re-election in 2008, Mary Landrieu lost Catholics winning 36% of the white Catholic vote and 28% of the white Protestant vote; with Obama winning, 12% and 11%, respectively

So, yes, politically, more similar than different

[Democratic Hawk]

Santorum winning Catholics (37%), 43-32 and moderates/liberals (24%), 38-30

[Democratic Hawk]

I recall being in Prague at the time of the South Carolina primary and jumping for joy when Newt won .... "We have a race. We have a race" ... but someway along the line he blew it

[Democratic Hawk]

A Santorum sweep of the counties, or something very close to it, would not surprise me at this point.

Romney's leading by hairs save Caddo (Shreveport), which Obama flipped in 2008

[Democratic Hawk]

Any hope of Santorum crossing 50 and Romney crashing below 25?

[Democratic Hawk]

Romney's lead in Caddo Parish down to 2%.

Clearly Santorum could win it yet

[Democratic Hawk]

Obama is losing Livingston Parish.

Figures.

According to the SoS, Obama is now leading in Livingston on 34%; he's running 3rd in West Carroll

[Democratic Hawk]

Wow, St. Martin Parish is actually noncontiguous.

From wiki:

The parish is split into two noncontiguous parts because of a surveying error dating to 1868, when Iberia Parish was created by the Louisiana Legislature. St. Martin has the highest percentage of French-speaking residents of any county or parish in the United States.

[Democratic Hawk]

Obama lost La Salle Parish.  That's Jena.

FWIW, he lost by 14 votes.

The precinct level results in La Salle are... somewhat expected.  Obama won one precinct 41-1.  He received zero votes in a whole bunch of other precincts.

In the South, especially the rural South, there are black precincts and there are white precincts.  

True enough but aren't African-Americans more scattered across Louisiana relative to the rest of the Deep South?