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Author Topic: Harris poll-National and in the swing states of 08  (Read 468 times)
Ben Romney
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« on: March 24, 2012, 06:13:31 pm »
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Harris Poll
National: in all swing states of `08(CO;FL;IN;IA;NV;NH;NC;OH;VA):

Obama/Romney: 47/39 48/41
Obama/Santorum: 48/38 51/35
Obama/Gingrich: 50/31 52/31
Obama/Paul: 45/36 40/39

http://www.harrisinteractive.com/NewsRoom/HarrisPolls/tabid/447/ctl/ReadCustom%20Default/mid/1508/ArticleId/992/Default.aspx
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I was anti-Obama before it was cool
Nagas
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« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2012, 06:28:01 pm »
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These polls are useless.

Cease posting them.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2012, 06:45:48 pm »
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These polls are useless.

Cease posting them.

Its a general election poll but it also reports on swing states

General: Obama 47 / Romney 39; Swing states: Obama 48 / Romney 41

General: Obama 48 / Santorum 38; Swing states: Obama 51 / Santorum 35

General: Obama 51 / Gingrich 30; Swing states: Obama 52 / Gingrich 31 [looks like Obama could put deep red states into play against Gingrich]

General: Obama 45 / Paul 36; Swing states: Obama 48 / Paul 35
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2012, 08:40:17 pm »
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Interactive polls are worthless.
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« Reply #4 on: March 26, 2012, 10:20:46 am »
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The GOP is doing a little better in the swing states than how they are doing nationally, but without those states, the GOP has 100 less EVs than Obama. However, this is pretty useless...I guess it does give you a hunch about what is going on, though.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: March 26, 2012, 04:39:57 pm »
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The GOP is doing a little better in the swing states than how they are doing nationally, but without those states, the GOP has 100 less EVs than Obama. However, this is pretty useless...I guess it does give you a hunch about what is going on, though.

Another way of saying it is that the swing states in this election look to be those that the Republican nominee absolutely must win (except IA and NH -- trade those for IN and you have a wash). That says nothing that everybody already knows.

 
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argentarius
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« Reply #6 on: March 26, 2012, 05:01:27 pm »
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Imo if winning the all swing states will only get 300 EVs for the GOP they won't be near winning all of them. If they take the lead in most of the current swing states then we'll see other states come into play like Wisconsin and Michigan. But I don't think the republicans will get that close to winning.
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