Will Obama win Virginia? If he doesn't, he will lose re-election (user search)
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  Will Obama win Virginia? If he doesn't, he will lose re-election (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Will he win Virginia?
#1
YES		  
#2
NO		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 52

Author Topic: Will Obama win Virginia? If he doesn't, he will lose re-election  (Read 4202 times)
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« on: March 26, 2012, 06:06:23 PM »
Given that Romney's style appeals slightly more to white-collar Virginia than blue-collar Ohio, I'd say that Obama will do slightly better in the Buckeye State unless he makes a second "guns and religion" gaffe (that probably cost him SW PA in 2008). A default Romney victory is probably an exact copy of the 2000 map, with Obama winning Colorado, then Ohio, then Nevada, then Virginia.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #1 on: March 26, 2012, 06:19:43 PM »
If it's Romney, he'll flip New Hampshire before any other state except IN (maybe NC/FL). Obama does probably need at least one of the Big 3 swing states to win.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #2 on: March 26, 2012, 06:43:47 PM »
I'm not saying Romney will win NH, I'm saying that if he does, he'll win it before OH or VA.
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